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World CupGroup Stage - 3THE MATCH CENTRE

Japan vs Sweden match centre

Japan badgeJapanHome · 2 in league
WWWDW
Momentum↘ Falling85/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London
Sweden badgeSwedenAway · 3 in league
WLDWL
Momentum→ Steady44/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
D. Maeda56′
A. Elanga62′
AT&T Stadium · ArlingtonSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
JapanSweden
2Corner Kicks8
20Fouls11
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves2
—Total passes—
—Passes accurate—

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Japan 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Sweden 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Japan

7/8Wins
2.3Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect Japan’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Sweden

2/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
2.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Sweden’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Japan at home with Sweden away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 00:27 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

World Cup · 2026/27 · all league matches

JapanSweden
1Matches played1
1Points earned3
0Wins1
2.0Goals scored / match5.0
2.0Goals conceded / match1.0
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Japan at home with Sweden away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Japan

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Hajime Moriyasu
  1. 1Z. SuzukiG
  2. 20A. SekoD
  3. 4K. ItakuraD
  4. 21H. ItoD
  5. 2Y. SugawaraM
  6. 7A. TanakaM
  7. 15D. KamadaM
  8. 13K. NakamuraM
  9. 10R. DoanF
  10. 11D. MaedaF
  11. 18A. UedaF
Substitutes (14)

12 · K. Osako

23 · T. Hayakawa

5 · Y. Nagatomo

22 · T. Tomiyasu

6 · S. Machino

17 · Y. Suzuki

25 · J. Suzuki

9 · K. Goto

3 · S. Taniguchi

14 · J. Ito

19 · K. Ogawa

24 · K. Sano

16 · T. Watanabe

26 · K. Shiogai

Sweden

Confirmed formation3-4-3Graham Potter
  1. 1J. Widell ZetterstromG
  2. 2G. LagerbielkeD
  3. 4I. HienD
  4. 5G. GudmundssonD
  5. 21A. BernhardssonM
  6. 3V. LindelofM
  7. 18Y. AyariM
  8. 24E. StroudM
  9. 11A. ElangaF
  10. 17V. GyökeresF
  11. 9A. IsakF
Substitutes (15)

23 · K. Nordfeldt

12 · V. Johansson

15 · C. Starfelt

25 · G. Nilsson

19 · M. Svanberg

10 · B. Nygren

6 · H. Johansson

26 · T. Ali

13 · K. Sema

16 · J. Karlstrom

20 · E. Smith

14 · H. Ekdal

8 · D. Svensson

7 · L. Bergvall

22 · B. Zeneli

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Japan

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Zion Suzuki907.2—0—25—
Ayumu Seko756.5—0—381
Ko Itakura397.0—0—29—
Hiroki Itō906.9—0—381
Yukinari Sugawara906.7—01342
Ao Tanaka907.5—01763
Daichi Kamada907.0—0—76—
Keito Nakamura757.2—0128—
Ritsu Doan676.6—1—28—
Daizen Maeda907.9102114
Ayase Ueda666.5—0—9—
Shogo Taniguchi516.3—0—31—
Koki Ogawa246.2—013—
Junya Ito236.6—0—51
Tsuyoshi Watanabe156.9—0—111
Yuto Nagatomo156.9—0—3—
Keisuke Osako———————
Tomoki Hayakawa———————
Junnosuke Suzuki———————
Takehiro Tomiyasu———————
Yuito Suzuki———————
Kaishu Sano———————
Kento Shiogai———————
Shuto Machino———————
Keisuke Goto———————

Sweden

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Jacob Widell Zetterström907.2—0—35—
Gustaf Lagerbielke906.7—02552
Isak Hien376.9—0—24—
Gabriel Gudmundsson887.5—0—452
Alexander Bernhardsson756.2—01221
Victor Lindelöf876.6—0144—
Yasin Ayari907.3—0—281
Elliot Stroud756.7—0—24—
Anthony Elanga907.610225—
Viktor Gyökeres906.3—1—17—
Alexander Isak906.0—0216—
Lucas Bergvall536.2—0—27—
Daniel Svensson156.6—0—11—
Ken Sema156.6—0—31
Carl Starfelt106.6—0—11—
Benjamin Nygren96.7—0—8—
Viktor Johansson———————
Kristoffer Nordfeldt———————
Eric Smith———————
Hjalmar Ekdal———————
Jesper Karlström———————
Mattias Svanberg———————
Taha Abdi Ali———————
Herman Johansson———————
Besfort Zeneli———————
Gustaf Nilsson———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

World Cup table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Group F. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Netherlands321010467
LWWD
2Japan31207345
LDWD
3Sweden31117704
LDLW
4Tunisia3003212-100
LLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerJapanDrawSweden
Bet3651.853.504.33

Snapshot from 24 Jun 2026, 20:04 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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