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Liga MXApertura - 2THE MATCH CENTRE

Toluca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas match centre

Toluca badgeTolucaHome · 1 in league
LLLDW
Momentum↗ Rising33/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:2
UK time · Europe/London
U.N.A.M. - Pumas badgeU.N.A.M. - PumasAway · 12 in league
WWWLL
Momentum↘ Falling51/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
J. Diaz Price14′
V. Arteaga57′
S. Cordova63′
Estadio Nemesio Diez · TolucaSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research No stored odds · open the match for form and team context Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
TolucaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
9Corner Kicks1
4Fouls11
1Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves3
562Total passes301
479Passes accurate232

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Toluca 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Toluca

4/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Toluca’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

6/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 6 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect U.N.A.M. - Pumas’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Toluca at home with U.N.A.M. - Pumas away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 08:39 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Liga MX · 2026/27 · all league matches

TolucaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
9Matches played0
19Points earned0
6Wins0
2.2Goals scored / match—
1.0Goals conceded / match—
4Clean sheets0
1Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Toluca at home with U.N.A.M. - Pumas away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

Toluca

1wins
3 draws

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

0wins

Oct 2024 – Mar 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Toluca first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Toluca

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich Antonio
  1. 1H. GonzalezG
  2. 2D. BarbosaD
  3. 4Bruno MendezD
  4. 13LuanD
  5. 17B. A. Garcia CaprizoD
  6. 7V. GuzmanM
  7. 24F. ArceM
  8. 11HelinhoM
  9. 10J. AnguloM
  10. 9A. VegaM
  11. 29J. Diaz PriceF
Substitutes (10)

22 · L. Garcia

35 · E. Gutierrez

19 · S. Simon

6 · F. Pereira

3 · A. Briseno

20 · J. Gallardo

8 · N. Castro

5 · F. Romero

25 · E. del Villar

191 · C. Carrillo

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Confirmed formation4-3-3Esteban Solari
  1. 1K. NavasG
  2. 2P. BennevendoD
  3. 6Nathan SilvaD
  4. 5R. DuarteD
  5. 77A. AnguloD
  6. 7R. LopezM
  7. 45P. ViteM
  8. 18V. ArteagaM
  9. 21U. AntunaF
  10. 23JuninhoF
  11. 31R. MoralesF
Substitutes (10)

35 · P. Lara

9 · G. Martinez

22 · A. Medina

24 · T. Leone

199 · K. Carranza

34 · A. Azuaje

12 · C. Calderon

17 · S. Cordova

20 · S. Trigos

203 · S. Garcia

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Toluca

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Hugo Gonzalez907.2—0—36—
Diego Barbosa866.3—0—367
Bruno Méndez906.7—0—821
Luan906.5—0—65—
Brian García766.7—0—501
Víctor Guzmán666.9—0—55—
Fernando Arce Juárez906.9—01593
Helinho907.2—14471
Jesús Ricardo Angulo666.3—0123—
Alexis Vega666.7—0—311
Jorge Díaz907.710128—
Jesús Gallardo246.9—0—12—
Franco Romero246.9—0—26—
Nicolás Castro246.9—0116—
Carlos Carrillo146.2—015—
Santiago Simón116.3—0—5—
Luis García———————
Federico Pereira———————
Everardo López———————
Antonio Briseño———————
Érick Gutiérrez———————

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Keylor Navas906.9—0—34—
Pablo Bennevendo456.7—0—14—
Nathan Silva907.0—0—371
Rubén Duarte906.7—0—251
Álvaro Angulo906.9—0—242
Rodrigo Lopez906.9—12282
Pedro Vite907.3—0—403
Victor Arteaga908.0102243
Uriel Antuna896.5—0124—
Juninho886.9—0—203
Robert Morales896.6—11202
Sebastián Córdova457.5101151
Alan Medina96.7—0———
Antonio Leone1——0———
Guillermo Martínez1——0—1—
Pablo Lara———————
Cristian Calderón———————
Kleber Carranza———————
Angel Azuaje———————
Santiago Trigos———————
Stanley García———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Liga MX table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Liga MX: Apertura. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Toluca96122091119
LWWWW
2Guadalajara Chivas9531178918
DWWDW
3Club America8521178917
DLWWW
4Cruz Azul95041615115
LWWWL
5Club Queretaro8422118314
DWWLD
6Club Tijuana84221210214
DLWLW
7Leon94231210214
DWLDW
8Puebla94231111014
DLWLW
9Atlas94231315-214
DLDLW
10Monterrey84131410413
WDLLW
11CF Pachuca93331510512
DWWDD
12U.N.A.M. - Pumas93331213-112
DLWLD
13Atletico San Luis92341116-59
WLLWD
14Atlante FC9153813-58
DLDDL
15Necaxa92251016-68
LLDLD
16Tigres UANL9144913-47
LDDDW
17Santos Laguna9216915-67
WWLDL
18FC Juarez9108623-173
WLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerTolucaDrawU.N.A.M. - Pumas
Bet3651.654.005.00

Snapshot from 21 Jul 2026, 16:26 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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