CF Pachuca
5/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect CF Pachuca’s results
Liga MXClausura - Quarter-finalsTHE MATCH CENTRECF Pachuca vs Toluca match centre
90′ · Live
2:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
E. Valencia10′ (pen)
Kenedy48′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate99.9%CF Pachuca
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Toluca
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: CF Pachuca 3.8% · no further goal 91.9% · Toluca 4.4%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.CF PachucaToluca
1.720Expected goals · API-Football0.690
4Shots on target3
13Total Shots16
36%Ball Possession64%
1Corner Kicks6
8Fouls8
2Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves2
249Total passes455
175Passes accurate376
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Liga MX, Clausura 2026Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 17 | +17 | 36 | — |
| 2 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | +16 | 36 | — |
| 3 | CF Pachuca | 18 | +8 | 34 | ↑ 1 |
| 4 |  Cruz Azul | 17 | +13 | 33 | ↓ 1 |
| 5 |  Toluca | 18 | +10 | 30 | — |
| 6 |  Atlas | 17 | -2 | 26 | — |
| 7 |  Tigres UANL | 17 | +10 | 25 | — |
| 8 |  Club America | 17 | +3 | 25 | — |
| 9 |  Club Tijuana | 17 | +2 | 23 | — |
| 10 |  Leon | 17 | -10 | 22 | — |
| 11 |  Club Queretaro | 17 | -4 | 20 | — |
| 12 |  FC Juarez | 17 | -6 | 19 | — |
| 13 |  Monterrey | 17 | -2 | 18 | — |
| 14 |  Atletico San Luis | 17 | -3 | 18 | — |
| 15 |  Necaxa | 17 | -6 | 18 | — |
| 16 |  Mazatlán | 17 | -15 | 15 | — |
| 17 |  Puebla | 17 | -13 | 13 | — |
| 18 |  Santos Laguna | 17 | -18 | 12 | — |
Clausura - Quarter-finalsCF Pachuca 2–0 Toluca
→Current progressionCF Pachuca
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
CF Pachuca 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Toluca 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Toluca
4/10Wins
2.2Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Toluca’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
CF Pachuca
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
Toluca
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game2.2
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Los Angeles FCHome · CONCACAF Champions League4–0Los Angeles FCAway · CONCACAF Champions League1–2LeonHome · Liga MX4–1MazatlánAway · Liga MX3–4Club AmericaAway · Liga MX1–2Los Angeles GalaxyAway · CONCACAF Champions League3–0Atletico San LuisHome · Liga MX1–1Los Angeles GalaxyHome · CONCACAF Champions League4–2Club QueretaroAway · Liga MX0–1PachucaAway · Liga MX1–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare CF Pachuca at home with Toluca away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:05 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Liga MX · 2025/26 · all league matches
CF PachucaToluca
36Matches played40
56Points earned77
16Wins22
1.4Goals scored / match2.0
1.2Goals conceded / match1.1
7Clean sheets13
11Failed to score9
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares CF Pachuca at home with Toluca away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
CF Pachuca
1wins5MEETINGS
Toluca
1winsSep 2024 – May 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with CF Pachuca first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
CF Pachuca
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Jaime Lozano
- 25
C. MorenoG - 14
C. SanchezD - 4
Eduardo BauermannD - 2
S. D. BarretoD - 12
B. A. Garcia CaprizoD - 16
C. RiveraM - 8
V. GuzmanM - 29
KenedyM - 28
E. MontielM - 11
O. IdrissiM - 10
E. ValenciaF
Substitutes (10)
31 · J. Eulogio
23 · S. Rondon
7 · L. Quinones
21 · R. Lopez
187 · G. Alvarez
18 · A. Dominguez
13 · J. Berlanga
5 · P. Pedraza
26 · A. Bautista
188 · S. Rodriguez
Toluca
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich Antonio
- 22
L. GarciaG - 2
D. BarbosaD - 4
Bruno MendezD - 25
E. del VillarD - 17
M. IsaisD - 5
F. RomeroM - 14
M. RuizM - 19
S. SimonM - 8
N. CastroM - 15
P. PerezM - 29
J. DiazF
Substitutes (10)
1 · H. Gonzalez
24 · F. Arce
11 · Helinho
35 · A. Alvarez
206 · E. Orta
33 · V. Arteaga
3 · A. Briseno
10 · J. Angulo
7 · S. Cordova
27 · F. Rossi
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
CF Pachuca
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Moreno | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 17 | — |
| Carlos Sánchez | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 14 | 1 |
| Eduardo Bauermann | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 8 | — |
| Sergio Barreto | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 10 | 1 |
| Brian García | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 25 | 1 |
| Christian Rivera | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 21 | 4 |
| Víctor Guzmán | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 18 | — |
| Kenedy | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 1 |
| Elías Montiel | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 11 | 2 |
| Oussama Idrissi | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 21 | — |
| Enner Valencia | 45 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | — |
| Jose Eulogio | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge Berlanga | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| René López | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Rodríguez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gael Álvarez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alan Bautista | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexei Domínguez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Pedraza | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Quiñones | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Salomón Rondón | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Toluca
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis García | 45 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 9 | 1 |
| Diego Barbosa | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 16 | — |
| Bruno Méndez | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 37 | — |
| Everardo López | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 38 | 1 |
| Mauricio Isais | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 24 | — |
| Franco Romero | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 41 | — |
| Marcel Ruíz | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 3 |
| Santiago Simón | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 17 | 2 |
| Nicolás Castro | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 25 | — |
| Pavel Pérez | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | 14 | — |
| Jorge Díaz | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 12 | — |
| Hugo Gonzalez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Erick Orta | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antonio Briseño | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Victor Arteaga | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Helinho | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fernando Arce Juárez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jesús Ricardo Angulo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastián Córdova | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alek Álvarez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Franco Rossi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | CF Pachuca | Draw | Toluca |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 3.25 | 3.60 | 2.10 |
Snapshot from 9 May 2026, 20:04 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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