Guadalajara Chivas
5/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Guadalajara Chivas’s results
Liga MXApertura - 1THE MATCH CENTREGuadalajara Chivas vs Toluca match centre
Full time
0:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
A. Vega42′ (pen)
J. Gallardo74′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Guadalajara ChivasToluca
0.960Expected goals · API-Football1.930
4Shots on target10
13Total Shots15
40%Ball Possession60%
8Corner Kicks2
14Fouls13
2Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
8Goalkeeper Saves3
349Total passes553
282Passes accurate493
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Guadalajara Chivas 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Toluca 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Toluca
3/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Toluca’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Guadalajara Chivas
10 matchesResults5 wins · 4 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.1
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
Toluca
10 matchesResults3 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Atlante FCAway · Friendlies Clubs3–3CancúnAway · Friendlies Clubs0–1CF PachucaAway · Liga MX0–2Los Angeles FCHome · CONCACAF Champions League4–0Los Angeles FCAway · CONCACAF Champions League1–2LeonHome · Liga MX4–1MazatlánAway · Liga MX3–4Club AmericaAway · Liga MX1–2Los Angeles GalaxyAway · CONCACAF Champions League3–0Atletico San LuisHome · Liga MX1–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Guadalajara Chivas at home with Toluca away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:57 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Liga MX · 2026/27 · all league matches
Guadalajara ChivasToluca
9Matches played9
18Points earned19
5Wins6
1.9Goals scored / match2.2
0.9Goals conceded / match1.0
4Clean sheets4
1Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Guadalajara Chivas at home with Toluca away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Guadalajara Chivas
0wins4MEETINGS
Toluca
3winsJul 2024 – Feb 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Guadalajara Chivas first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Guadalajara Chivas
Confirmed formation3-1-4-2Gabriel Milito
- 1
Raúl RangelG - 23
Daniel AguirreD - 7
Luis RomoD - 3
Diego CampilloD - 28
Fernando GonzálezM - 37
Richard LedezmaM - 6
Omar GoveaM - 19
Kevin CastañedaM - 5
Bryan GonzálezM - 25
Roberto AlvaradoF - 9
Ángel SepúlvedaF
Substitutes (10)
11 · Brian Gutiérrez
34 · Armando González
33 · Jordan Carrillo
17 · Ricardo Marín
24 · Miguel Gómez
13 · Óscar Whalley
4 · Miguel Tapias
2 · José Castillo
18 · Jonathan Perez
16 · Luis Gabriel Rey
Toluca
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich Antonio
- 22
Luis GarcíaG - 19
Santiago SimónD - 6
Federico PereiraD - 25
Everardo LópezD - 20
Jesús GallardoD - 5
Franco RomeroM - 35
Érick GutiérrezM - 10
Jesús Ricardo AnguloM - 8
Nicolás CastroM - 9
Alexis VegaM - 29
Jorge DíazF
Substitutes (10)
11 · Helinho
7 · Víctor Guzmán
4 · Bruno Méndez
24 · Fernando Arce Juárez
1 · Hugo Gonzalez
2 · Diego Barbosa
3 · Antonio Briseño
17 · Brian García
13 · Luan
191 · Carlos Carrillo
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Guadalajara Chivas
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raúl Rangel | 90 | 8.3 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Daniel Aguirre | 86 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 31 | 3 |
| Luis Romo | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 47 | 3 |
| Diego Campillo | 85 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 39 | 1 |
| Fernando González | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 27 | 1 |
| Richard Ledezma | 56 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 21 | — |
| Omar Govea | 68 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 30 | 1 |
| Kevin Castañeda | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | — |
| Bryan González | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 19 | 1 |
| Roberto Alvarado | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 33 | 4 |
| Ángel Sepúlveda | 50 | 5.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 8 | — |
| Brian Gutiérrez | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 16 | — |
| Armando González | 34 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 8 | — |
| Jordan Carrillo | 22 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 20 | — |
| Ricardo Marín | 13 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Miguel Gómez | 12 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 4 | 1 |
| Óscar Whalley | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Tapias | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Castillo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Perez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Gabriel Rey | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Toluca
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis García | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 42 | — |
| Santiago Simón | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 45 | 4 |
| Federico Pereira | 90 | 8.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 70 | 2 |
| Everardo López | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 62 | 3 |
| Jesús Gallardo | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 50 | 1 |
| Franco Romero | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 57 | 1 |
| Érick Gutiérrez | 59 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 2 |
| Jesús Ricardo Angulo | 87 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 38 | 1 |
| Nicolás Castro | 87 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 62 | 1 |
| Alexis Vega | 70 | 6.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 37 | — |
| Jorge Díaz | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 20 | 1 |
| Helinho | 31 | 7.9 | — | 1 | 2 | 20 | — |
| Víctor Guzmán | 20 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Bruno Méndez | 11 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Fernando Arce Juárez | 11 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Hugo Gonzalez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Barbosa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antonio Briseño | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brian García | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Carrillo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Liga MX table
Current standings · Liga MX: Apertura. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 19 | LWWWW |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 18 | DWWDW |
| 3 |  Club America | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 | DLWWW |
| 4 |  Cruz Azul | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 | LWWWL |
| 5 |  Club Queretaro | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 14 | DWWLD |
| 6 |  Club Tijuana | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 | DLWLW |
| 7 |  Leon | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 | DWLDW |
| 8 |  Puebla | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 14 | DLWLW |
| 9 |  Atlas | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 14 | DLDLW |
| 10 |  Monterrey | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 13 | WDLLW |
| 11 |  CF Pachuca | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 12 | DWWDD |
| 12 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 | DLWLD |
| 13 |  Atletico San Luis | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 | WLLWD |
| 14 |  Atlante FC | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 8 | DLDDL |
| 15 |  Necaxa | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 | LLDLD |
| 16 |  Tigres UANL | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 | LDDDW |
| 17 |  Santos Laguna | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 | WWLDL |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 3 | WLLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Guadalajara Chivas | Draw | Toluca |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.80 |
Snapshot from 18 Jul 2026, 21:03 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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