Toluca
4/10Wins
2.2Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Toluca’s results
CONCACAF Champions LeagueSemi-finalsTHE MATCH CENTREToluca vs Los Angeles FC match centre
90′ · Live
4:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Helinho49′ (pen)
E. del Villar58′
Paulinho90+2′
Paulinho90+4′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate100.0%Toluca
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Los Angeles FC
Another goal7.9%before full time
Next goal: Toluca 6.2% · no further goal 92.1% · Los Angeles FC 1.7%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.TolucaLos Angeles FC
5.040Expected goals · API-Football0.920
15Shots on target1
31Total Shots5
65%Ball Possession35%
3Corner Kicks2
9Fouls7
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves11
511Total passes270
458Passes accurate197
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
Semi-finalsToluca 4–0 Los Angeles FC
→Current progressionToluca
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Toluca 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Los Angeles FC 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Los Angeles FC
5/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Los Angeles FC’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Toluca
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game2.2
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Los Angeles FCAway · CONCACAF Champions League1–2LeonHome · Liga MX4–1MazatlánAway · Liga MX3–4Club AmericaAway · Liga MX1–2Los Angeles GalaxyAway · CONCACAF Champions League3–0Atletico San LuisHome · Liga MX1–1Los Angeles GalaxyHome · CONCACAF Champions League4–2Club QueretaroAway · Liga MX0–1PachucaAway · Liga MX1–1San DiegoHome · CONCACAF Champions League4–0
Los Angeles FC
10 matchesResults5 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
San DiegoAway · Major League Soccer2–2TolucaHome · CONCACAF Champions League2–1Minnesota United FCAway · Major League Soccer1–0Colorado RapidsHome · Major League Soccer0–0San Jose EarthquakesHome · Major League Soccer1–4Cruz AzulAway · CONCACAF Champions League1–1Portland TimbersAway · Major League Soccer1–2Cruz AzulHome · CONCACAF Champions League3–0Orlando City SCHome · Major League Soccer6–0LD AlajuelenseAway · CONCACAF Champions League2–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Toluca at home with Los Angeles FC away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:01 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
CONCACAF Champions League · 2026/27 · all league matches
TolucaLos Angeles FC
5Matches played7
9Points earned17
3Wins5
2.8Goals scored / match2.3
1.4Goals conceded / match0.7
2Clean sheets2
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Toluca at home with Los Angeles FC away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
1 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Toluca
0wins1MEETINGS
Los Angeles FC
1winsApr 2026 – Apr 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Toluca first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Toluca
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich Antonio
- 22
L. GarciaG - 19
S. SimonD - 4
Bruno MendezD - 25
E. del VillarD - 17
M. IsaisD - 5
F. RomeroM - 14
M. RuizM - 11
HelinhoM - 10
J. AnguloM - 8
N. CastroM - 26
PaulinhoF
Substitutes (10)
1 · H. Gonzalez
24 · F. Arce
2 · D. Barbosa
6 · F. Pereira
15 · P. Perez
35 · A. Alvarez
3 · A. Briseno
29 · J. Diaz
7 · S. Cordova
27 · F. Rossi
Los Angeles FC
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Marc Dos Santos
- 1
H. LlorisG - 5
R. PorteousD - 91
Nkosi TafariD - 33
A. LongD - 14
S. PalenciaM - 66
M. ChoiniereM - 8
M. DelgadoM - 18
J. ShaffelburgM - 99
D. BouangaF - 11
T. TillmanF - 7
Son Heung-MinF
Substitutes (12)
12 · T. Hasal
31 · C. Carter
19 · T. Boyd
24 · R. Hollingshead
46 · S. Eustaquio
21 · R. Raposo
27 · N. Ordaz
30 · D. Martinez
45 · K. Nielsen
4 · E. Segura
17 · J. Ebobisse
29 · A. Smolyakov
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Toluca
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis García | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 21 | — |
| Santiago Simón | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 44 | 3 |
| Bruno Méndez | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 48 | 1 |
| Everardo López | 90 | 8.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 50 | 2 |
| Mauricio Isais | 74 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 32 | 1 |
| Franco Romero | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 73 | 1 |
| Marcel Ruíz | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | 3 | 70 | 1 |
| Helinho | 82 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 42 | — |
| Jesús Ricardo Angulo | 82 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 37 | 1 |
| Nicolás Castro | 89 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 6 | 51 | 2 |
| Paulinho | 90 | 8.5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 22 | — |
| Diego Barbosa | 16 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 6 | 1 |
| Pavel Pérez | 8 | 7.6 | — | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| Fernando Arce Juárez | 8 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Antonio Briseño | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Hugo Gonzalez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Federico Pereira | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge Díaz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastián Córdova | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alek Álvarez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Franco Rossi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Los Angeles FC
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Lloris | 90 | 8.2 | — | 0 | — | 33 | — |
| Ryan Porteous | 86 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 3 |
| Nkosi Tafari | 90 | 5.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 22 | 1 |
| Aaron Long | 77 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 1 |
| Sergi Palencia | 76 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 7 |
| Mathieu Choinière | 59 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Mark Delgado | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 30 | 1 |
| Jacob Shaffelburg | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 4 | 1 |
| Denis Bouanga | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 3 | 10 | — |
| Timothy Tillman | 59 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 |
| Son Heung-min | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 23 | — |
| Ryan Hollingshead | 45 | 4.9 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Stephen Eustaquio | 31 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 20 | — |
| David Martínez Morales | 31 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 1 |
| Artem Smoliakov | 14 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 1 |
| Jeremy Ebobisse | 13 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 1 |
| Thomas Hasal | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cabral Carter | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eddie Segura | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kenny Nielsen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Raposo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Boyd | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nathan Ordaz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗CONCACAF Champions League table
Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Standings are not available for this competition and season.
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Toluca | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.36 | 4.50 | 6.50 |
Snapshot from 6 May 2026, 18:58 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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