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Liga MXApertura - 4THE MATCH CENTRE

Atlante FC vs Toluca match centre

Atlante FC badgeAtlante FCHome · 14 in league
DWWLL
Momentum↘ Falling42/100OlderLatest
Full time
0:0
UK time · Europe/London
Toluca badgeTolucaAway · 1 in league
LWWLW
Momentum→ Steady63/100OlderLatest
Estadio Banorte · Mexico CitySeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Atlante FCToluca
8Corner Kicks7
9Fouls7
2Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves5
378Total passes511
280Passes accurate408

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Atlante FC 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Toluca 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Atlante FC

2/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
2.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Atlante FC’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Toluca

4/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Toluca’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Atlante FC at home with Toluca away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 06:06 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Liga MX · 2026/27 · all league matches

Atlante FCToluca
3Matches played9
4Points earned19
1Wins6
1.7Goals scored / match2.2
1.7Goals conceded / match1.0
0Clean sheets4
0Failed to score1

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Atlante FC at home with Toluca away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Atlante FC

Confirmed formation5-3-2Ernesto Herrera Aguirre Miguel
  1. 1Óscar JiménezG
  2. 29Walter PortalesD
  3. 6Nicolas CarreraD
  4. 4Eduardo TerceroD
  5. 44Aarón QuirósD
  6. 34Edgar JiménezD
  7. 10Octavio VázquezM
  8. 8Eugenio PizzutoM
  9. 19Luis CalzadillaM
  10. 9Luis PuenteF
  11. 7Jhojan JulioF
Substitutes (10)

37 · Walter Clar

30 · Martín Sarrafiore

11 · Joaquin Moxica

33 · Jordan García

3 · Luis Sánchez

32 · Diogo Bagüí

14 · Cristobal Alfaro

16 · José González

21 · Javier Ibarra

13 · Maximiliano García

Toluca

Confirmed formation5-3-2Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich Antonio
  1. 22Luis GarcíaG
  2. 2Diego BarbosaD
  3. 4Bruno MéndezD
  4. 6Federico PereiraD
  5. 25Everardo LópezD
  6. 17Brian GarcíaD
  7. 10Jesús Ricardo AnguloM
  8. 5Franco RomeroM
  9. 35Érick GutiérrezM
  10. 29Jorge DíazF
  11. 16Federico ViñasF
Substitutes (10)

11 · Helinho

15 · Pavel Pérez

24 · Fernando Arce Juárez

1 · Hugo Gonzalez

7 · Víctor Guzmán

184 · Sebastian Aceves

3 · Antonio Briseño

13 · Luan

192 · Luis Navarrete

23 · Oswaldo Virgen

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Atlante FC

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Óscar Jiménez906.9—0—28—
Walter Portales907.3—02345
Nicolas Carrera907.7—0—496
Eduardo Tercero907.9—01467
Aarón Quirós906.3—0—421
Edgar Jiménez297.3—0—172
Octavio Vázquez536.2—0—20—
Eugenio Pizzuto906.3—0—46—
Luis Calzadilla907.5—02301
Luis Puente806.9—0—18—
Jhojan Julio906.6—0220—
Walter Clar617.2—0—113
Martín Sarrafiore376.9—0212—
Joaquin Moxica106.3—0151
Jordan García———————
Luis Sánchez———————
Diogo Bagüí———————
Cristobal Alfaro———————
José González———————
Javier Ibarra———————
Maximiliano García———————

Toluca

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Luis García757.7—0—27—
Diego Barbosa607.0—01302
Bruno Méndez906.9—0—44—
Federico Pereira908.3—0—653
Everardo López907.9—0—586
Brian García907.3—02443
Jesús Ricardo Angulo606.9—01322
Franco Romero907.2—0—505
Érick Gutiérrez747.2—0—424
Jorge Díaz826.0—0—321
Federico Viñas906.2—01201
Helinho306.5—0112—
Pavel Pérez306.5—0—25—
Fernando Arce Juárez166.6—0—12—
Hugo Gonzalez157.3—0—11—
Víctor Guzmán86.6—0—7—
Sebastian Aceves———————
Antonio Briseño———————
Luan———————
Luis Navarrete———————
Oswaldo Virgen———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Liga MX table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Liga MX: Apertura. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Toluca96122091119
LWWWW
2Guadalajara Chivas9531178918
DWWDW
3Club America8521178917
DLWWW
4Cruz Azul95041615115
LWWWL
5Club Queretaro8422118314
DWWLD
6Club Tijuana84221210214
DLWLW
7Leon94231210214
DWLDW
8Puebla94231111014
DLWLW
9Atlas94231315-214
DLDLW
10Monterrey84131410413
WDLLW
11CF Pachuca93331510512
DWWDD
12U.N.A.M. - Pumas93331213-112
DLWLD
13Atletico San Luis92341116-59
WLLWD
14Atlante FC9153813-58
DLDDL
15Necaxa92251016-68
LLDLD
16Tigres UANL9144913-47
LDDDW
17Santos Laguna9216915-67
WWLDL
18FC Juarez9108623-173
WLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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