Toluca
6/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Toluca’s results
Liga MXApertura - 6THE MATCH CENTREToluca vs FC Juarez match centre
Full time
4:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Hélinho10′
Jesus Murillo34′ (og)
Oswaldo Virgen73′
Federico Viñas79′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
TolucaFC Juarez
3.110Expected goals · API-Football0.160
10Shots on target2
26Total Shots6
65%Ball Possession35%
5Corner Kicks3
11Fouls8
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves7
663Total passes357
594Passes accurate282
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Toluca 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
FC Juarez 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
FC Juarez
3/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
2.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect FC Juarez’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Toluca
10 matchesResults6 wins · 1 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
AustinHome · Leagues Cup2–0Club QueretaroAway · Liga MX2–1Atlante FCAway · Liga MX0–0FC DallasHome · Leagues Cup3–1Los Angeles FCHome · Leagues Cup0–1Seattle SoundersHome · Leagues Cup3–0NecaxaHome · Liga MX3–1Cruz AzulHome · Campeón de Campeones1–3U.N.A.M. - PumasHome · Liga MX1–2Guadalajara ChivasAway · Liga MX2–0
FC Juarez
10 matchesResults3 wins · 1 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game2.2
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Club AmericaHome · Liga MX1–2MonterreyAway · Liga MX1–6Real Salt LakeAway · Leagues Cup0–3Vancouver WhitecapsAway · Leagues Cup3–1Minnesota United FCAway · Leagues Cup2–1U.N.A.M. - PumasHome · Liga MX1–5Guadalajara ChivasAway · Liga MX0–1PueblaHome · Liga MX0–1Colorado RapidsAway · Friendlies Clubs1–1Mineros de ZacatecasAway · Friendlies Clubs3–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Toluca at home with FC Juarez away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 11:55 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Liga MX · 2026/27 · all league matches
TolucaFC Juarez
9Matches played9
19Points earned3
6Wins1
2.2Goals scored / match0.7
1.0Goals conceded / match2.6
4Clean sheets1
1Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Toluca at home with FC Juarez away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Toluca
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich Antonio
- 1
Hugo GonzalezG - 184
Sebastian AcevesD - 13
LuanD - 6
Federico PereiraD - 25
Everardo LópezD - 5
Franco RomeroM - 23
Oswaldo VirgenM - 11
HelinhoM - 7
Víctor GuzmánM - 9
Alexis VegaM - 29
Jorge DíazF
Substitutes (10)
12 · Ronaldo Dimas
4 · Bruno Méndez
20 · Jesús Gallardo
3 · Antonio Briseño
24 · Fernando Arce Juárez
192 · Luis Navarrete
15 · Pavel Pérez
8 · Nicolás Castro
16 · Federico Viñas
198 · Jose Estrada
FC Juarez
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Salvador Valero
- 1
Sebastián JuradoG - 33
Francisco NevarezD - 3
Jesús MurilloD - 2
Gilberto SepúlvedaD - 20
Javier AquinoD - 13
Rodrigo DouradoM - 6
MonchuM - 5
Denzell GarciaM - 10
Jairo TorresM - 11
José Luis RodríguezM - 19
Óscar EstupiñánF
Substitutes (10)
24 · Benny Díaz
14 · Eder Lopez
4 · Alejandro Mayorga
23 · Haret Ortega
9 · Madson de Souza Silva
16 · Juan Sigala
201 · Jan Carmona
21 · Ricardinho
7 · Raymundo Fulgencio
8 · Guilherme Castilho
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Toluca
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. González | 90 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 0 |
| S. Aceves | 90 | 7.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 1 |
| Luan | 90 | 7.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 92 | 0 |
| F. Pereira | 45 | 7.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 2 |
| E. López | 90 | 8.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 50 | 1 |
| F. Romero | 70 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 51 | 0 |
| O. Virgen | 81 | 9.0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 0 |
| Helinho | 70 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 55 | 1 |
| V. Guzmán | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 74 | 3 |
| A. Vega | 45 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 41 | 0 |
| F. Viñas | 20 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| P. Pérez | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Navarrete | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| B. Méndez | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Gallardo | 45 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 0 |
| J. Estrada | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| F. Arce | 20 | 7.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 0 |
| R. Beltrán | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Briseño | 9 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| N. Castro | 45 | 7.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 0 |
| J. Díaz | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 47 | 0 |
FC Juarez
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Carmona | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Guilherme Castilho | 25 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 0 |
| B. Díaz | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| R. Fulgencio | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| E. López | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Mayorga | 25 | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
| Ricardinho | 9 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| H. Ortega | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Sigala | 9 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| Madson | 16 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 |
| S. Jurado | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 0 |
| F. Nevárez | 65 | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 2 |
| J. Murillo | 90 | 5.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 0 |
| G. Sepúlveda | 74 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 5 |
| J. Aquino | 90 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 1 |
| Rodrigo Dourado | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 3 |
| Monchu | 65 | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 0 |
| D. García | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 4 |
| J. Torres | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 2 |
| J. Rodríguez | 81 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 0 |
| Ó. Estupiñán | 81 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Liga MX table
Current standings · Liga MX: Apertura. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 19 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 18 | DWWDW |
| 3 |  Club America | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 | DLWWW |
| 4 |  Cruz Azul | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 | LWWWL |
| 5 |  Club Queretaro | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 14 | DWWLD |
| 6 |  Club Tijuana | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 | DLWLW |
| 7 |  Leon | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 | DWLDW |
| 8 |  Puebla | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 14 | DLWLW |
| 9 |  Atlas | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 14 | DLDLW |
| 10 |  Monterrey | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 13 | WDLLW |
| 11 |  CF Pachuca | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 12 | DWWDD |
| 12 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 | DLWLD |
| 13 |  Atletico San Luis | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 | WLLWD |
| 14 |  Atlante FC | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 8 | DLDDL |
| 15 |  Necaxa | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 | LLDLD |
| 16 |  Tigres UANL | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 | LDDDW |
| 17 |  Santos Laguna | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 | WWLDL |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 3 | WLLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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