Kilmarnock
3/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Kilmarnock’s results
PremiershipMatchweek 7THE MATCH CENTREKilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian match centre
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Jamie McCart16′ (og)
Stephen Kingsley86′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 14:52 UK.
Odds updated 19 Sep 14:47 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 6 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
KilmarnockHeart Of Midlothian
0.230Expected goals · API-Football1.780
0Shots on target3
4Total Shots16
34%Ball Possession66%
3Corner Kicks6
13Fouls16
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves0
270Total passes525
179Passes accurate440
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Kilmarnock 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Heart Of Midlothian 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Fetched 18 Sep, 21:44 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Heart Of Midlothian
6/10Wins
2.5Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Heart Of Midlothian’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Kilmarnock
10 matchesResults3 wins · 3 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
HibernianAway · Premiership1–0AberdeenHome · League Cup1–1AberdeenAway · Premiership0–0ST MirrenHome · Premiership0–1Dundee UtdHome · Premiership0–4Ayr UtdHome · League Cup3–2CelticHome · Premiership1–5ST JohnstoneAway · Premiership3–4PeterheadAway · League Cup0–0Hamilton AcademicalHome · League Cup1–0
Heart Of Midlothian
10 matchesResults6 wins · 3 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.5
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FalkirkAway · Premiership1–2StenhousemuirAway · League Cup3–0DundeeHome · Premiership2–1HibernianAway · Premiership3–1ST JohnstoneHome · Premiership2–1Rapid ViennaAway · UEFA Europa Conference League1–1Rapid ViennaHome · UEFA Europa Conference League2–2Inverness CTHome · League Cup6–2BenficaHome · UEFA Europa League1–1Dundee UtdHome · Premiership4–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Kilmarnock at home with Heart Of Midlothian away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 07:14 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Premiership · 2026/27 · all league matches
KilmarnockHeart Of Midlothian
5Matches played5
1Points earned12
0Wins4
0.8Goals scored / match2.4
2.8Goals conceded / match1.0
1Clean sheets1
3Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Kilmarnock at home with Heart Of Midlothian away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Kilmarnock
1wins4MEETINGS
Heart Of Midlothian
2winsMay 2025 – Mar 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Kilmarnock first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Kilmarnock
Confirmed formation4-4-2N. McCann
- 12
C. FerrieG - 2
J. BrandonD - 4
C. McCarthyD - 14
G. StangerD - 21
M. Schjønning-LarsenD - 8
E. RingM - 18
T. LoweryM - 49
B. RiceM - 11
G. KiltieM - 10
T. John-JulesF - 9
J. HugillF
Substitutes (9)
39 · E. Bowie
37 · C. Burke
20 · N. Cleșcenco
7 · R. McKenzie
19 · J. Meier
5 · M. O'Hara
27 · I. Owen
40 · C. Armour
36 · A. Tshibola
Heart Of Midlothian
Confirmed formation4-4-2W. Vrancken
- 1
B. ReusG - 2
C. BorchgrevinkD - 5
J. McCartD - 17
S. FindlayD - 3
S. KingsleyD - 7
C. MillerM - 78
L. MendyM - 22
T. MagnússonM - 15
J. McPakeM - 21
J. WilsonF - 10
Cláudio BragaF
Substitutes (9)
30 · R. Fulton
31 · Y. Dhanda
29 · S. Kerjota
74 · R. Mato
18 · H. Milne
9 · J. Williams
23 · J. Altena
8 · Ageu
19 · S. Guendouz
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Kilmarnock
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Brandon | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 1 |
| A. Tshibola | 23 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| M. O'Hara | 14 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| J. Meier | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| R. McKenzie | 8 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| N. Cleșcenco | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Burke | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| E. Bowie | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Schjønning-Larsen | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 1 |
| E. Ring | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1 |
| B. Rice | 67 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 2 |
| C. McCarthy | 90 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 2 |
| T. Lowery | 82 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 2 |
| G. Kiltie | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 1 |
| J. Hugill | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1 |
| G. Stanger | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 2 |
| I. Owen | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Armour | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Ferrie | 90 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 0 |
| T. John-Jules | 76 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 3 |
Heart Of Midlothian
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wilson | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 2 |
| J. Altena | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Y. Dhanda | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| R. Fulton | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Guendouz | 31 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 0 |
| S. Kerjota | 21 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 1 |
| R. Mato | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| H. Milne | 58 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 4 |
| J. Williams | 31 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| C. Miller | 69 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 1 |
| L. Mendy | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 3 |
| J. McPake | 59 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 2 |
| J. McCart | 90 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 105 | 1 |
| T. Magnússon | 59 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 1 |
| S. Kingsley | 90 | 7.8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 73 | 2 |
| S. Findlay | 32 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0 |
| Cláudio Braga | 59 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 3 |
| C. Borchgrevink | 90 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 71 | 6 |
| B. Reus | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 0 |
| Ageu | 31 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Premiership table
Current standings · Premier League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 18 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  Rangers | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 16 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 13 | DLWWW |
| 4 |  Dundee | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 | WLDLW |
| 5 |  ST Mirren | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 | LLLWD |
| 6 |  ST Johnstone | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 | DLWDL |
| 7 |  Aberdeen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 8 | DWDLL |
| 8 |  Dundee Utd | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 | WDLWL |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 | LLLWD |
| 10 |  Hibernian | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 | DLLLW |
| 11 |  Falkirk | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 | DWDLL |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 | DWDLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Kilmarnock | Draw | Heart Of Midlothian |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 4.20 | 3.80 | 1.73 |
| Bet365 | 4.33 | 3.90 | 1.75 |
| Marathonbet | 4.40 | 3.86 | 1.70 |
| BetVictor | 4.20 | 4.00 | 1.73 |
| Pinnacle | 4.45 | 4.07 | 1.77 |
Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 14:47 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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