M. JosephKnee Injury
Reported out
Premier LeagueMatchweek 5THE MATCH CENTRELeeds vs Crystal Palace match centre
Full time
0:0
UK time · Europe/LondonTHE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 20 Sep 12:14 UK.
Odds updated 20 Sep 13:01 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
LeedsCrystal Palace
1.310Expected goals · API-Football1.060
2Shots on target4
13Total Shots12
52%Ball Possession48%
4Corner Kicks3
10Fouls11
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves2
414Total passes408
336Passes accurate331
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Leeds 3 reported
J. RodonMuscle Injury
Reported out
H. WilsonMuscle Injury
Reported out
Crystal Palace 4 reported
A. DisasiRed Card
Reported out
D. HendersonFoot Injury
Reported out
J. MatetaHamstring Injury
Reported out
C. RiadKnee Injury
Reported outFetched 20 Sep, 10:44 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Leeds
6/10Wins
2.3Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Leeds’s resultsCrystal Palace
5/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Crystal Palace’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Leeds
10 matchesResults6 wins · 3 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.3
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
NewcastleHome · Premier League4–1ChelseaAway · League Cup3–6BrightonAway · Premier League1–1BrentfordHome · Premier League1–1Nottingham ForestAway · League Cup2–0Nottingham ForestAway · Premier League1–0FC AugsburgHome · Friendlies Clubs4–0Manchester UnitedAway · Friendlies Clubs1–1RB LeipzigHome · Friendlies Clubs2–0LiverpoolAway · Premier League - Summer Series4–2
Crystal Palace
10 matchesResults5 wins · 1 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Lech PoznanHome · UEFA Europa League4–0IpswichHome · Premier League2–3MiddlesbroughHome · League Cup3–0FulhamAway · Premier League3–2Manchester CityHome · Premier League1–4EvertonAway · Premier League0–2SC FreiburgAway · Friendlies Clubs0–3FulhamAway · Friendlies Clubs2–1Al UlaHome · Como Cup3–1FamalicaoAway · Como Cup0–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Leeds at home with Crystal Palace away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:12 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Premier League · 2026/27 · all league matches
LeedsCrystal Palace
4Matches played4
8Points earned3
2Wins1
1.8Goals scored / match1.5
0.8Goals conceded / match2.8
1Clean sheets0
0Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Leeds at home with Crystal Palace away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Leeds
1wins5MEETINGS
Crystal Palace
2winsJul 2022 – Mar 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Leeds
Confirmed formation3-5-2D. Farke
- 1
J. TraffordG - 30
N. ElvediD - 5
T. MuharemovićD - 24
J. JustinD - 2
J. BogleM - 18
A. StachM - 4
E. AmpaduM - 22
A. TanakaM - 3
G. GudmundssonM - 9
D. Calvert-LewinF - 19
N. OkaforF
Substitutes (9)
16 · M. Zetterer
26 · M. Bard
15 · J. Bijol
8 · S. Longstaff
7 · D. James
11 · B. Aaronson
23 · J. Bahoya
14 · L. Nmecha
44 · I. Gruev
Crystal Palace
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1P. Sage
- 44
W. BenítezG - 17
T. TomiyasuD - 26
C. RichardsD - 6
J. CanvotD - 25
A. KhalailiM - 23
Q. TimberM - 20
A. WhartonM - 3
T. MitchellM - 18
D. KamadaM - 10
Yeremy PinoM - 22
J. Strand LarsenF
Substitutes (9)
31 · R. Matthews
33 · B. Chilwell
30 · Óscar Mingueza
8 · J. Lerma
28 · C. Doucouré
11 · D. McNeil
24 · D. Osorio
7 · I. Sarr
9 · E. Nketiah
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Leeds
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Trafford | 90 | 7.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 0 |
| J. Justin | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 3 |
| I. Gruev | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Nmecha | 14 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| J. Bahoya | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| B. Aaronson | 22 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 |
| D. James | 23 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| S. Longstaff | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Bijol | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Bard | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Zetterer | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| N. Okafor | 76 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 |
| D. Calvert-Lewin | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 0 |
| G. Gudmundsson | 89 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 3 |
| A. Tanaka | 68 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 1 |
| E. Ampadu | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 3 |
| A. Stach | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 2 |
| J. Bogle | 67 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 0 |
| T. Muharemović | 90 | 7.4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 75 | 1 |
| N. Elvedi | 90 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 63 | 0 |
Crystal Palace
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Strand Larsen | 82 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 0 |
| Yeremy Pino | 82 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 0 |
| D. Kamada | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 46 | 1 |
| T. Mitchell | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 5 |
| A. Wharton | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 58 | 2 |
| Q. Timber | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 2 |
| A. Khalaili | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 2 |
| J. Canvot | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 49 | 1 |
| T. Tomiyasu | 45 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0 |
| C. Richards | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 2 |
| W. Benítez | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 0 |
| R. Matthews | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| B. Chilwell | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Óscar Mingueza | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Lerma | 45 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 2 |
| C. Doucouré | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| D. McNeil | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Osorio | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| I. Sarr | 8 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| E. Nketiah | 8 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Premier League table
Current standings · Premier League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 10 | WWDLW |
| 4 |  Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 | WDDDW |
| 5 | Leeds | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 | DWDDW |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 | WDWDD |
| 7 |  Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | WDDDW |
| 8 |  Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 | LDDWW |
| 9 |  Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 | WLDWD |
| 10 |  Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | LDLWW |
| 11 |  Ipswich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 | LWLLW |
| 12 |  Manchester United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 | DLDWL |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 14 |  Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLDWL |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 | DLWLL |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 | LDDDL |
| 18 |  Coventry | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 | WLLLL |
| 19 |  Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 | DDLLL |
| 20 |  Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | LDDLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Leeds | Draw | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.75 | 4.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.71 | 3.92 | 4.95 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.80 |
Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 13:01 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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