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BundesligaMatchweek 7THE MATCH CENTRE

Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz match centre

Red Bull Salzburg badgeRed Bull SalzburgHome · 2 in league
WWWDW
Momentum↘ Falling85/100OlderLatest
Full time
3:0
UK time · Europe/London
Sturm Graz badgeSturm GrazAway · 4 in league
DLWWD
Momentum↗ Rising56/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Nikolas Veratschnig71′
Kevin Boma76′
Aboubacar Sidiki Camara83′
Red Bull Arena · SalzburgSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 20 Sep 15:06 UK.

Odds updated 20 Sep 13:01 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win1.60Our model 59.5%Market 59.1% Draw4.50Our model 21.5%Market 21.0% Away win4.75Our model 19.0%Market 19.9% Bet365 · Updated 20 Sep 13:01 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Red Bull SalzburgSturm Graz
3Corner Kicks8
9Fouls14
0Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves4
427Total passes335
350Passes accurate245

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Red Bull Salzburg 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Sturm Graz 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 20 Sep, 15:30 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Sturm Graz

4/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Sturm Graz’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Red Bull Salzburg at home with Sturm Graz away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:41 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Bundesliga · 2026/27 · all league matches

Red Bull SalzburgSturm Graz
6Matches played6
14Points earned11
4Wins3
2.5Goals scored / match1.3
0.7Goals conceded / match1.0
2Clean sheets2
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Red Bull Salzburg at home with Sturm Graz away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

Red Bull Salzburg

0wins
3 draws

Sturm Graz

1wins

Sep 2025 – May 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Red Bull Salzburg first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Red Bull Salzburg

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1D. Röhl
  1. 52Christian ZawieschitzkyG
  2. 18N. VeratschnigD
  3. 44K. BomaD
  4. 47Valentin ZabranskyD
  5. 31D. SchmidD
  6. 32A. BarryM
  7. 15B. MazurekM
  8. 23D. RedzicM
  9. 19K. KonatéM
  10. 20E. BaidooM
  11. 9H. TabakovićF
Substitutes (9)

33 · A. Camara

1 · C. Früchtl

35 · J. Lindstrøm

8 · S. Kitano

13 · F. Krätzig

39 · L. Morgalla

7 · U. Tohumcu

11 · Y. Vertessen

21 · T. Drexler

Sturm Graz

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1F. Ingolitsch
  1. 53D. KhudyakovG
  2. 23A. MalicD
  3. 2J. QuarshieD
  4. 30P. KollerD
  5. 28J. HeilD
  6. 4J. Gorenc StankovičM
  7. 39Luca WeinhandlM
  8. 43Jacob Peter HödlM
  9. 19S. SeidlM
  10. 78V. MatoshiM
  11. 11A. KayomboF
Substitutes (9)

26 · B. Beganović

14 · O. Diakité

6 · G. Haider

22 · A. Helac

10 · O. Kiteishvili

15 · G. Mamageishvili

21 · P. Petrović

27 · L. Balbo

8 · F. Rózga

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Red Bull Salzburg

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
A. Camara377.910270
T. Drexler00.000000
Christian Zawieschitzky906.5000470
N. Veratschnig908.5103282
K. Boma908.4101610
Valentin Zabransky907.8000432
D. Schmid907.8010353
A. Barry666.9000374
B. Mazurek867.7011485
E. Baidoo537.0002113
K. Konaté526.4001210
D. Redzic526.8000141
H. Tabaković906.4002180
Y. Vertessen386.600092
U. Tohumcu247.2000251
L. Morgalla00.000000
F. Krätzig47.2001120
S. Kitano386.9012230
J. Lindstrøm00.000000
C. Früchtl00.000000

Sturm Graz

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
F. Rózga246.300182
L. Balbo00.000000
B. Beganović00.000000
O. Diakité326.300070
G. Haider00.000000
A. Helac00.000000
O. Kiteishvili246.0002130
G. Mamageishvili65.800140
P. Petrović66.100000
D. Khudyakov905.8000330
A. Malic846.6000343
J. Quarshie906.5000282
P. Koller906.2002420
J. Heil765.2001403
Luca Weinhandl846.4000281
J. Gorenc Stankovič906.1001432
V. Matoshi666.2003130
S. Seidl665.9000160
Jacob Peter Hödl905.5002260
A. Kayombo585.900190
2026/27 STANDINGS

Bundesliga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Bundesliga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Rapid Vienna76012171418
WWLWW
2Red Bull Salzburg75201841417
WDWWW
3Lask Linz75111971216
DLWWW
4Sturm Graz732289-111
LWLDW
5Ried72231112-18
WDLWL
6TSV Hartberg72231013-38
DDWWL
7WSG Wattens7223912-38
LDWWL
8Austria Lustenau7223811-38
WLLDW
9Grazer AK7223616-108
DWDLL
10Austria Vienna7214713-67
DWLLW
11Wolfsberger AC7124713-65
LLLDL
12SCR Altach7106512-73
LLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerRed Bull SalzburgDrawSturm Graz
William Hill1.574.204.60
Bet3651.604.504.75
Marathonbet1.554.454.90
Betfair1.574.504.60
BetVictor1.574.604.80

Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 13:01 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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