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World CupRound of 32THE MATCH CENTRE

Brazil vs Japan match centre

Brazil badgeBrazilHome · 1 in league
WWDWW
Momentum↗ Rising87/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Japan badgeJapanAway
WWDWD
Momentum→ Steady69/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Casemiro56′
G. Martinelli90′
K. Sano29′
NRG Stadium · HoustonSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
BrazilJapan
6Corner Kicks2
4Fouls11
2Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves4
676Total passes304
624Passes accurate256

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Brazil 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Japan 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Brazil

5/10Wins
2.2Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect Brazil’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Japan

7/9Wins
2.1Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect Japan’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Brazil at home with Japan away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 00:24 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

World Cup · 2026/27 · all league matches

BrazilJapan
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Brazil at home with Japan away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Brazil

Confirmed formation4-3-3Carlo Ancelotti
  1. 1AlissonG
  2. 13DaniloD
  3. 4MarquinhosD
  4. 3GabrielD
  5. 16Douglas SantosD
  6. 8Bruno GuimaraesM
  7. 5CasemiroM
  8. 20Lucas PaquetaM
  9. 26RayanF
  10. 9M. CunhaF
  11. 7Vinicius JuniorF
Substitutes (14)

23 · Ederson

12 · Weverton

10 · Neymar

6 · Alex Sandro

15 · Leo Pereira

24 · Ibanez

22 · G. Martinelli

2 · Ederson

21 · Luiz Henrique

19 · Endrick

17 · Fabinho

14 · Bremer

25 · I. Thiago

18 · Danilo Santos

Japan

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Hajime Moriyasu
  1. 1Z. SuzukiG
  2. 22T. TomiyasuD
  3. 3S. TaniguchiD
  4. 21H. ItoD
  5. 10R. DoanM
  6. 24K. SanoM
  7. 15D. KamadaM
  8. 13K. NakamuraM
  9. 14J. ItoF
  10. 11D. MaedaF
  11. 18A. UedaF
Substitutes (15)

12 · K. Osako

23 · T. Hayakawa

5 · Y. Nagatomo

4 · K. Itakura

20 · A. Seko

2 · Y. Sugawara

6 · S. Machino

17 · Y. Suzuki

25 · J. Suzuki

9 · K. Goto

19 · K. Ogawa

7 · A. Tanaka

8 · T. Kubo

16 · T. Watanabe

26 · K. Shiogai

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Brazil

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Alisson906.2—0—19—
Danilo905.9—0—74—
Marquinhos907.9—0—1112
Gabriel Magalhães907.9—1—135—
Douglas Santos907.5—0—662
Bruno Guimarães897.5—12492
Casemiro898.0102761
Lucas Paquetá456.9—0—422
Rayan907.5—0—312
Matheus Cunha666.2—03171
Vinícius Júnior907.7—0239—
Endrick456.2—018—
Gabriel Martinelli247.510213—
Fabinho86.7—011—
Danilo Santos1——0—1—
Ederson———————
Weverton———————
Alex Sandro———————
Bremer———————
Léo Pereira———————
Roger Ibañez———————
Éderson———————
Luiz Henrique———————
Igor Thiago———————
Neymar———————

Japan

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Zion Suzuki907.2—0—29—
Takehiro Tomiyasu907.7—0—33—
Shogo Taniguchi906.6—0—47—
Hiroki Itō906.2—0—36—
Ritsu Doan666.7—0—172
Kaishu Sano907.610132—
Daichi Kamada786.7—0—33—
Keito Nakamura666.5—0—211
Junya Ito786.9—0—201
Daizen Maeda896.9—0—142
Ayase Ueda906.2—0210—
Yukinari Sugawara246.7—0—51
Junnosuke Suzuki246.2—0—51
Ao Tanaka126.3—0—102
Shuto Machino126.3—0—3—
Koki Ogawa1——0———
Keisuke Osako———————
Tomoki Hayakawa———————
Ko Itakura———————
Yuto Nagatomo———————
Tsuyoshi Watanabe———————
Ayumu Seko———————
Yuito Suzuki———————
Takefusa Kubo———————
Kento Shiogai———————
Keisuke Goto———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

World Cup table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Group C. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Brazil32107167
LWWWD
2Morocco32106337
LWWWW
3Scotland310214-33
LLW
4Haiti300328-60
LLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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