B. De KeersmaeckerShoulder Injury
Reported out
ChampionshipMatchweek 8THE MATCH CENTREBristol City vs Watford match centre
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Dominic Ballard31′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 18 Sep 16:24 UK.
Odds updated 18 Sep 19:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Bristol CityWatford
—Expected goals · API-Football—
7Shots on target1
17Total Shots8
36%Ball Possession64%
2Corner Kicks4
11Fouls15
2Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves6
266Total passes480
205Passes accurate412
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Bristol City 3 reported
R. DickieInjury
Reported out
L. McNallyKnee Injury
Reported out
Watford 9 reported
T. AkomeahLacking Match Fitness
Reported out
K. BaahKnock
Reported out
M. BoaduInjury
Reported out
M. BolaHamstring Injury
Reported out
E. BoveKnee Injury
Reported out
J. ZemuraInactive
Reported out
J. GrievesLacking Match Fitness
DoubtfulB. MlacicInactive
Doubtful
J. NgakiaThigh Injury
DoubtfulFetched 18 Sep, 17:14 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Bristol City
3/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Bristol City’s resultsWatford
3/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Watford’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Bristol City
10 matchesResults3 wins · 3 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
LincolnHome · Championship0–1SouthamptonAway · Championship1–4BurnleyAway · Championship2–1PrestonAway · Championship3–1PortsmouthHome · Championship2–1BirminghamAway · Championship2–2MillwallHome · Championship0–2WalsallHome · League Cup0–1Exeter CityAway · Friendlies Clubs1–1PlymouthAway · Friendlies Clubs0–0
Watford
10 matchesResults3 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game0.9
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Stoke CityHome · Championship1–2PrestonHome · Championship2–1West BromAway · Championship0–1SwanseaAway · Championship0–2West HamHome · Championship1–1PeterboroughHome · League Cup1–5WrexhamAway · Championship1–1SouthamptonHome · Championship2–1Crawley TownHome · League Cup1–0FiorentinaHome · Friendlies Clubs0–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Bristol City at home with Watford away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 07:41 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Championship · 2026/27 · all league matches
Bristol CityWatford
6Matches played7
10Points earned8
3Wins2
1.7Goals scored / match1.0
1.8Goals conceded / match1.3
0Clean sheets0
1Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Bristol City at home with Watford away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Bristol City
2wins4MEETINGS
Watford
1winsApr 2025 – Feb 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Bristol City first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Bristol City
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1M. Skubala
- 1
S. TickleG - 19
G. TannerD - 38
N. EileD - 5
R. AtkinsonD - 21
Rio CardinesD - 8
J. WilliamsM - 4
A. RandellM - 7
Y. HirakawaM - 12
J. KnightM - 20
S. GreenwoodM - 23
D. BallardF
Substitutes (9)
45 · E. Adebayo
40 · B. Collins
2 · L. Eissat
14 · T. Horvat
3 · C. Pring
9 · L. Tolaj
10 · S. Twine
17 · J. Wallace
27 · G. Yah
Watford
Confirmed formation3-4-1-2A. Dionisi
- 1
F. RavagliaG - 4
K. KebenD - 6
M. PollockD - 29
Branimir MlačićD - 11
R. VataM - 5
H. KyprianouM - 39
E. KayembeM - 21
Amin NabizadaM - 17
Iker BravoM - 20
M. DoumbiaF - 9
L. KjerrumgaardF
Substitutes (9)
45 · S. Mavididi
7 · O. Maamma
43 · J. Grieves
10 · M. Boadu
24 · S. Walker
26 · D. Bachmann
19 · N. Chikovani
53 · James Andrew Clarridge
56 · Albert Eames
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Watford
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Vata | 62 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
| Iker Bravo | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 0 |
| M. Doumbia | 70 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 1 |
| E. Kayembe | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 2 |
| K. Keben | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 0 |
| L. Kjerrumgaard | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 |
| H. Kyprianou | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 54 | 0 |
| Branimir Mlačić | 62 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 1 |
| Amin Nabizada | 62 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 1 |
| M. Pollock | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 101 | 1 |
| F. Ravaglia | 90 | 7.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 0 |
| D. Bachmann | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Boadu | 20 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| J. Grieves | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| O. Maamma | 28 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0 |
| S. Mavididi | 28 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 2 |
| S. Walker | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| N. Chikovani | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| James Andrew Clarridge | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Albert Eames | 28 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0 |
Bristol City
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Williams | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 2 |
| R. Atkinson | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 2 |
| D. Ballard | 63 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Rio Cardines | 90 | 7.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 0 |
| N. Eile | 88 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 1 |
| S. Greenwood | 70 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 |
| Y. Hirakawa | 63 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 2 |
| J. Knight | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 0 |
| A. Randell | 88 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 0 |
| G. Tanner | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 5 |
| S. Tickle | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 0 |
| E. Adebayo | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| B. Collins | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Eissat | 2 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| T. Horvat | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Pring | 20 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| L. Tolaj | 27 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| S. Twine | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Wallace | 27 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| G. Yah | 2 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Championship table
Current standings · Championship. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 17 | WWLDW |
| 2 |  West Ham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 15 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 | DDWWD |
| 4 |  Wolves | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 5 |  West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 6 |  QPR | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 | DDDLW |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 | WWDWW |
| 8 | Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 | WLLWW |
| 9 |  Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 12 | LDDLD |
| 10 |  Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 | DWLDD |
| 11 |  Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 11 | DDLWL |
| 12 |  Lincoln | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 11 | LWWDD |
| 13 |  Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 10 | LWWDD |
| 14 |  Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 | WLDDW |
| 15 |  Bolton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 10 | WWLLL |
| 16 |  Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 | DWLLD |
| 17 |  Norwich | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 | LLWWL |
| 18 |  Sheffield Utd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 | LLWLW |
| 19 |  Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 | DDWLL |
| 20 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 | LLWLL |
| 21 |  Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | WLDLL |
| 22 |  Derby | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 23 |  Preston | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 4 | DLLWL |
| 24 |  Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 4 | DLDLD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Bristol City | Draw | Watford |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.70 | 3.70 | 4.40 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.71 | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.60 |
Snapshot from 18 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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