T. DarikwaKnee Injury
Reported out
ChampionshipMatchweek 8THE MATCH CENTRELincoln vs Swansea match centre
Full time
1:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Reeco Hackett-Fairchild39′ (pen)
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo47′
Stephen Eustáquio51′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 10:04 UK.
Odds updated 19 Sep 11:11 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 6 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
LincolnSwansea
2.110Expected goals · API-Football0.920
5Shots on target4
14Total Shots10
58%Ball Possession42%
2Corner Kicks0
11Fouls11
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves4
237Total passes566
148Passes accurate459
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Lincoln 3 reported
M. MeliaThigh Injury
Reported out
T. HamerHealth problems
Doubtful
Swansea 2 reported
C. BurgessAchilles Tendon Injury
Reported out
R. StewartInjury
Reported outFetched 18 Sep, 21:36 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Lincoln
5/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Lincoln’s resultsSwansea
5/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Swansea’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Lincoln
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Bristol CityAway · Championship1–0PrestonAway · Championship1–0BournemouthAway · League Cup0–4SouthamptonHome · Championship1–1BlackburnHome · Championship0–0BoltonAway · Championship1–0BlackpoolAway · League Cup4–1PortsmouthHome · Championship1–3MiddlesbroughAway · Championship1–2DerbyAway · League Cup2–1
Swansea
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
BurnleyHome · Championship3–1SouthamptonAway · Championship1–3WrexhamHome · Championship0–0WatfordHome · Championship2–0DerbyAway · Championship3–0Sheffield UtdHome · Championship0–0Stoke CityAway · Championship2–1BirminghamHome · League Cup0–1LeganesHome · Friendlies Clubs1–0Merthyr TownAway · Friendlies Clubs0–3
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Lincoln at home with Swansea away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 08:38 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Championship · 2026/27 · all league matches
LincolnSwansea
6Matches played7
8Points earned14
2Wins4
0.9Goals scored / match1.6
1.0Goals conceded / match0.7
3Clean sheets4
1Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Lincoln at home with Swansea away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Lincoln
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Chris Cohen
- 1
G. WickensG - 25
D. ElereweD - 15
S. BradleyD - 6
R. TowlerD - 4
A. CoubișM - 8
T. BaylissM - 14
C. McGrandlesM - 3
A. ReachM - 7
R. HackettM - 18
B. HouseM - 34
F. DraperF
Substitutes (9)
29 · E. Wheatley
24 · I. Varfolomeev
17 · R. Street
33 · D. Oyegoke
27 · C. Ogbene
11 · M. Ladefoged
26 · Y. Konak
16 · D. Jefferies
46 · J. Gauci
Swansea
Confirmed formation4-3-3Vítor Matos
- 22
L. VigourouxG - 26
F. LissahD - 5
B. CabangoD - 23
S. WelshD - 14
J. TymonD - 8
E. JustM - 6
M. StamenićM - 46
S. EustáquioM - 49
M. YeoF - 33
A. IdahF - 7
M. WidellF
Substitutes (9)
9 · Z. Vipotnik
3 · J. Seelt
35 · Ronald
20 · Tiago Parente
30 · Joseph Okopu
16 · Tom Iorpenda
4 · J. Fulton
17 · Gonçalo Franco
1 · A. Fisher
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Swansea
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Vigouroux | 90 | 7.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 0 |
| M. Yeo | 60 | 7.8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 2 |
| M. Widell | 90 | 7.1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 49 | 0 |
| S. Welsh | 82 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 0 |
| J. Tymon | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 2 |
| M. Stamenić | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 74 | 0 |
| F. Lissah | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 70 | 4 |
| E. Just | 60 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 0 |
| A. Idah | 60 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 |
| S. Eustáquio | 77 | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 42 | 0 |
| B. Cabango | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 83 | 1 |
| Z. Vipotnik | 30 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| J. Seelt | 8 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Ronald | 30 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| Tiago Parente | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Joseph Okopu | 30 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 |
| Tom Iorpenda | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Fulton | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gonçalo Franco | 13 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| A. Fisher | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Lincoln
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Wickens | 90 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 0 |
| R. Towler | 77 | 5.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 1 |
| A. Reach | 64 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 |
| C. McGrandles | 64 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 |
| B. House | 64 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| R. Hackett | 90 | 7.1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 1 |
| D. Elerewe | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 2 |
| F. Draper | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 |
| A. Coubiș | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 1 |
| S. Bradley | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 1 |
| T. Bayliss | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 1 |
| E. Wheatley | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| I. Varfolomeev | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| R. Street | 13 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| D. Oyegoke | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Ogbene | 26 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| M. Ladefoged | 26 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| Y. Konak | 26 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| D. Jefferies | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Gauci | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Championship table
Current standings · Championship. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 17 | WWLDW |
| 2 |  West Ham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 15 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 | DDWWD |
| 4 |  Wolves | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 5 |  West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 6 |  QPR | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 | DDDLW |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 | WWDWW |
| 8 |  Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 | WLLWW |
| 9 |  Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 12 | LDDLD |
| 10 |  Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 | DWLDD |
| 11 |  Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 11 | DDLWL |
| 12 | Lincoln | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 11 | LWWDD |
| 13 |  Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 10 | LWWDD |
| 14 |  Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 | WLDDW |
| 15 |  Bolton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 10 | WWLLL |
| 16 |  Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 | DWLLD |
| 17 |  Norwich | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 | LLWWL |
| 18 |  Sheffield Utd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 | LLWLW |
| 19 |  Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 | DDWLL |
| 20 |  Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 | LLWLL |
| 21 |  Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | WLDLL |
| 22 |  Derby | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 23 |  Preston | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 4 | DLLWL |
| 24 |  Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 4 | DLDLD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Lincoln | Draw | Swansea |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.30 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.38 |
| Marathonbet | 2.92 | 3.20 | 2.38 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.25 | 2.38 |
| Pinnacle | 3.04 | 3.35 | 2.47 |
Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 11:11 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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