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League TwoMatchweek 8THE MATCH CENTRE

Newport County vs Grimsby match centre

Newport County badgeNewport CountyHome · 17 in league
LDDW
Momentum↗ Rising47/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Grimsby badgeGrimsbyAway · 6 in league
DWWL
Momentum→ Steady56/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Christian Doidge57′
Shaquille Gwengwe69′
Jordan Wright83′ (og)
Rodney Parade · NewportSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 26 Sep 14:01 UK.

Odds updated 26 Sep 14:15 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win4.00Our model 22.7%Market 23.5% Draw3.50Our model 23.4%Market 26.9% Away win1.90Our model 53.9%Market 49.6% Bet365 · Updated 26 Sep 14:15 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Newport CountyGrimsby
7Corner Kicks3
14Fouls8
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves2
214Total passes447
111Passes accurate351

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Newport County 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Grimsby 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 26 Sep, 12:13 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Newport County

2/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Newport County’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Grimsby

4/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Grimsby’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Newport County at home with Grimsby away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:56 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

League Two · 2026/27 · all league matches

Newport CountyGrimsby
7Matches played7
6Points earned13
1Wins3
1.4Goals scored / match1.6
1.6Goals conceded / match0.9
2Clean sheets4
2Failed to score1

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Newport County at home with Grimsby away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

Newport County

0wins
2 draws

Grimsby

2wins

Nov 2024 – Feb 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Newport County

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1H. Mullins
  1. 1J. WrightG
  2. 22C. NormanD
  3. 5L. JenkinsD
  4. 4K. CameronD
  5. 16M. JacobD
  6. 24M. Dibley-DiasM
  7. 6C. BrennanM
  8. 23M. Adu-PokuM
  9. 10H. BigginsM
  10. 9S. GwengweM
  11. 27C. DoidgeF
Substitutes (7)

7 · K. Evans

19 · G. Garner

18 · A. Lewis

33 · S. MacDonald

20 · Y. Bamba

8 · M. Smith

12 · Joe Thomas

Grimsby

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1D. Artell
  1. 31C. PymG
  2. 5H. RodgersD
  3. 2M. KacurriD
  4. 17C. McJannetD
  5. 3J. SweeneyD
  6. 29M. SheltonM
  7. 28F. CartwrightM
  8. 4K. GreenM
  9. 7J. WalkerM
  10. 30C. VernamM
  11. 9Iwan MorganF
Substitutes (7)

39 · A. Cook

8 · Cian Doyle

10 · S. Finch

16 · R. Staunton

14 · J. Amaluzor

11 · Ryley Reynolds

41 · S. Auton

2026/27 STANDINGS

League Two table

League centre ↗

Current standings · League Two. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Barnet74301710715
WWDDD
2Cheltenham84311612415
WDWDW
3Bristol Rovers85031311215
WLLWW
4York84221610614
WLWDL
5Walsall8350115614
DWDDD
6Grimsby8341128413
LWWDD
7Salford City84131210213
WWDWW
8Gillingham8332119212
LWWWD
9Crewe826086212
DDDDD
10Tranmere8251108211
DDLWD
11Chesterfield83231110111
LWWDD
12Swindon Town8323912-311
DLLWW
13Rotherham82421111010
DWDLD
14Fleetwood Town824299010
LLDWD
15Colchester82421012-210
DDDLL
16Rochdale8314911-210
WWDLW
17Newport County8233121209
WDDLL
18Shrewsbury8224713-68
DDWLL
19Accrington ST81431114-37
DDLWD
20Oldham8215913-47
LLLLD
21Exeter City813446-26
LDLDD
22Northampton713336-36
LLWDD
23Port Vale712439-65
LWLLD
24Crawley Town7115613-74
LLLDL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerNewport CountyDrawGrimsby
Marathonbet3.923.481.84
Betfair4.103.601.87
Pinnacle4.113.641.88
SBO3.473.191.90
William Hill3.803.301.85

Snapshot from 26 Sep 2026, 14:15 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

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