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World CupRound of 32THE MATCH CENTRE

Portugal vs Croatia match centre

Portugal badgePortugalHome · 2 in league
WWDWD
Momentum→ Steady69/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Croatia badgeCroatiaAway
LWLWW
Momentum↗ Rising66/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
C. Ronaldo68′ (pen)
G. Ramos90′
I. Perisic53′
BMO Field · TorontoSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
PortugalCroatia
9Corner Kicks5
6Fouls12
1Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
5Goalkeeper Saves2
577Total passes366
526Passes accurate311

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Portugal 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Croatia 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Portugal

5/10Wins
2.2Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect Portugal’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Croatia

7/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect Croatia’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Portugal at home with Croatia away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 00:26 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

World Cup · 2026/27 · all league matches

PortugalCroatia
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Portugal at home with Croatia away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Portugal

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Roberto Martinez
  1. 1D. CostaG
  2. 20J. CanceloD
  3. 3R. DiasD
  4. 13R. VeigaD
  5. 25N. MendesD
  6. 15J. NevesM
  7. 23VitinhaM
  8. 18P. NetoM
  9. 8B. FernandesM
  10. 17R. LeaoM
  11. 7C. RonaldoF
Substitutes (15)

12 · J. Sa

22 · R. Silva

19 · G. Guedes

2 · N. Semedo

5 · D. Dalot

9 · G. Ramos

14 · G. Inacio

24 · Samu Costa

6 · M. Nunes

10 · B. Silva

21 · R. Neves

11 · Joao Felix

16 · Trincao

4 · T. Araujo

26 · F. Conceicao

Croatia

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Zlatko Dalic
  1. 1D. LivakovicG
  2. 2J. StanisicD
  3. 6J. SutaloD
  4. 3M. PongracicD
  5. 14I. PerisicD
  6. 10L. ModricM
  7. 8M. KovacicM
  8. 13N. VlasicM
  9. 17P. SucicM
  10. 16M. BaturinaM
  11. 11A. BudimirF
Substitutes (15)

23 · D. Kotarski

12 · I. Pandur

9 · A. Kramaric

5 · D. Caleta-Car

7 · N. Moro

25 · M. Erlic

18 · K. Jakic

21 · L. Sucic

4 · J. Gvardiol

24 · M. Pasalic

20 · I. Matanovic

15 · M. Pasalic

26 · P. Musa

19 · T. Fruk

22 · L. Vuskovic

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Portugal

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Diogo Costa907.7—0—13—
João Cancelo636.7—01314
Rúben Dias907.5—0—943
Renato Veiga907.0—0267—
Nuno Mendes907.7—0—602
João Neves907.0—01515
Vitinha627.2—0—752
Pedro Neto636.2—0—281
Bruno Fernandes636.6—01311
Rafael Leão906.5—1252—
Cristiano Ronaldo817.2101221
Nélson Semedo276.9—0—15—
Bernardo Silva286.5—0—11—
Francisco Conceição276.7—0110—
Gonçalo Ramos277.910211—
Rúben Neves96.6—0—13—
José Sá———————
Rui Silva———————
Tomás Araújo———————
Matheus Nunes———————
Gonçalo Inácio———————
Diogo Dalot———————
Francisco Trincão———————
Gonçalo Guedes———————
Samú Costa———————
João Félix———————

Croatia

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Dominik Livaković906.5—0—27—
Josip Stanišić906.3—0—261
Josip Šutalo906.6—0—342
Marin Pongračić906.2—0—581
Ivan Perišić907.9101253
Luka Modrić906.9—0—523
Mateo Kovačić897.2—03521
Nikola Vlašić896.2—01157
Petar Sučić906.5—01393
Martin Baturina686.5—0—14—
Ante Budimir456.5—021—
Igor Matanović456.2—0261
Mario Pašalić226.5—01101
Joško Gvardiol176.3—0—7—
Andrej Kramarić136.3—0—2—
Ivor Pandur———————
Dominik Kotarski———————
Duje Ćaleta-Car———————
Luka Vušković———————
Martin Erlić———————
Nikola Moro———————
Marco Pašalić———————
Toni Fruk———————
Luka Sučić———————
Kristijan Jakić———————
Petar Musa———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

World Cup table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Group K. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Colombia32104137
LWDWW
2Portugal31206155
LWDWD
3Congo DR31114314
LWLD
4Uzbekistan3003211-90
LLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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