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World CupRound of 16THE MATCH CENTRE

Paraguay vs France match centre

Paraguay badgeParaguayHome · 3 in league
WLWDD
Momentum↘ Falling50/100OlderLatest
Full time
0:1
UK time · Europe/London
France badgeFranceAway
WWWWW
Momentum↑ Strong100/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
K. Mbappe70′ (pen)
Lincoln Financial Field · PhiladelphiaSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
ParaguayFrance
1Corner Kicks11
12Fouls10
0Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves1
181Total passes563
97Passes accurate504

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Paraguay 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

France 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Paraguay

5/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 2 available matches.

Inspect Paraguay’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

France

9/10Wins
2.9Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect France’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Paraguay at home with France away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:09 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

World Cup · 2026/27 · all league matches

ParaguayFrance
4Matches played4
7Points earned12
2Wins4
1.0Goals scored / match3.3
1.3Goals conceded / match0.5
2Clean sheets2
1Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Paraguay at home with France away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Paraguay

Confirmed formation5-4-1Gustavo Alfaro
  1. 12O. GillG
  2. 4J. CaceresD
  3. 2G. VelazquezD
  4. 15G. GomezD
  5. 3O. AldereteD
  6. 6J. AlonsoD
  7. 10M. AlmironM
  8. 8D. GomezM
  9. 14A. CubasM
  10. 23M. GalarzaM
  11. 19J. EncisoF
Substitutes (15)

1 · R. Fernandez

22 · G. Olveira

5 · Fabian Balbuena

21 · G. Avalos

9 · A. Sanabria

24 · G. Caballero

13 · J. Canale

25 · I. Pitta

11 · Mauricio

7 · R. Sosa

17 · Kaku

18 · A. Arce

20 · B. Ojeda

16 · D. Bobadilla

26 · A. Maidana

France

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Didier Deschamps
  1. 16M. MaignanG
  2. 5J. KoundeD
  3. 4D. UpamecanoD
  4. 17W. SalibaD
  5. 3L. DigneD
  6. 6M. KoneM
  7. 14A. RabiotM
  8. 7O. DembeleM
  9. 11M. OliseM
  10. 12B. BarcolaM
  11. 10K. MbappeF
Substitutes (15)

1 · B. Samba

23 · R. Risser

15 · I. Konate

8 · A. Tchouameni

26 · M. Lacroix

2 · M. Gusto

25 · M. Akliouche

18 · W. Zaire-Emery

13 · N. Kante

21 · L. Hernandez

9 · M. Thuram

19 · T. Hernandez

22 · J. Mateta

24 · R. Cherki

20 · D. Doue

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Paraguay

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Orlando Gill986.6———23—
Juan Cáceres986.3———153
Gustavo Velázquez986.2———131
Gustavo Gómez986.7———51
Omar Alderete586.7———5—
Junior Alonso986.7——2183
Miguel Almirón716.2———152
Diego Gómez716.3——1184
Andrés Cubas987.3———227
Matías Galarza986.3———261
Julio Enciso616.5———41
José Canale406.2———7—
Gustavo Caballero376.3———12
Mauricio276.9——161
Gabriel Ávalos276.5———3—
Gastón Olveira———————
Roberto Fernández———————
Fabián Balbuena———————
Alexandro Maidana———————
Damián Bobadilla———————
Braian Ojeda———————
Alejandro Romero———————
Ramón Sosa———————
Antonio Sanabria———————
Alex Arce———————
Isidro Pitta———————

France

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Mike Maignan987.3———28—
Jules Koundé987.2———592
Dayot Upamecano987.5———654
William Saliba987.0———66—
Lucas Digne986.9———543
Manu Koné986.9——2702
Adrien Rabiot986.9——261—
Ousmane Dembélé846.0——141—
Michael Olise986.7———581
Bradley Barcola616.5——1131
Kylian Mbappé987.01—527—
Désiré Doué377.3———16—
Rayan Cherki146.5———5—
Robin Risser———————
Brice Samba———————
Malo Gusto———————
Ibrahima Konaté———————
Theo Hernández———————
Lucas Hernández———————
Maxence Lacroix———————
Aurélien Tchouaméni———————
N'Golo Kanté———————
Warren Zaïre-Emery———————
Maghnes Akliouche———————
Marcus Thuram———————
Jean-Philippe Mateta———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

World Cup table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Group D. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1USA32018446
LWLWW
2Australia31112204
LDLW
3Paraguay311124-24
LWDWL
4Türkiye310235-23
WLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerParaguayDrawFrance
Bet36517.007.001.17

Snapshot from 4 Jul 2026, 08:02 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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