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World CupRound of 32THE MATCH CENTRE

Germany vs Paraguay match centre

Germany badgeGermanyHome
WWWWL
Momentum↘ Falling74/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London
Paraguay badgeParaguayAway · 3 in league
LWLWD
Momentum↗ Rising48/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
K. Havertz54′
J. Enciso42′
Gillette Stadium · BostonSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
GermanyParaguay
16Corner Kicks6
18Fouls12
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves6
799Total passes257
719Passes accurate161

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Germany 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Paraguay 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Germany

9/10Wins
3.3Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Germany’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Paraguay

5/9Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect Paraguay’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Germany at home with Paraguay away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 00:26 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

World Cup · 2026/27 · all league matches

GermanyParaguay
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Germany at home with Paraguay away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Germany

Confirmed formation4-4-2Julian Nagelsmann
  1. 1M. NeuerG
  2. 6J. KimmichD
  3. 4J. TahD
  4. 2A. RudigerD
  5. 18N. BrownD
  6. 19L. SaneM
  7. 23F. NmechaM
  8. 5A. PavlovicM
  9. 17F. WirtzM
  10. 7K. HavertzF
  11. 26D. UndavF
Substitutes (14)

12 · O. Baumann

21 · A. Nubel

13 · P. Gross

8 · L. Goretzka

20 · N. Amiri

14 · M. Beier

24 · M. Thiaw

11 · N. Woltemade

9 · J. Leweling

3 · W. Anton

22 · D. Raum

16 · A. Stiller

10 · J. Musiala

25 · A. Ouedraogo

Paraguay

Confirmed formation4-4-2Gustavo Alfaro
  1. 12O. GillG
  2. 4J. CaceresD
  3. 15G. GomezD
  4. 13J. CanaleD
  5. 6J. AlonsoD
  6. 10M. AlmironM
  7. 16D. BobadillaM
  8. 14A. CubasM
  9. 23M. GalarzaM
  10. 21G. AvalosF
  11. 19J. EncisoF
Substitutes (14)

1 · R. Fernandez

22 · G. Olveira

2 · G. Velazquez

5 · Fabian Balbuena

9 · A. Sanabria

24 · G. Caballero

3 · O. Alderete

25 · I. Pitta

11 · Mauricio

7 · R. Sosa

17 · Kaku

18 · A. Arce

20 · B. Ojeda

26 · A. Maidana

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Germany

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Manuel Neuer1206.9—0—27—
Joshua Kimmich1207.3—031411
Jonathan Tah1207.3—01117—
Antonio Rüdiger1107.3—0—123—
Nathaniel Brown1207.0—0—495
Leroy Sané886.3—0—541
Felix Nmecha456.5—0—141
Aleksandar Pavlović796.5—0—74—
Florian Wirtz1108.3—11802
Kai Havertz1207.510336—
Deniz Undav636.3—015—
Leon Goretzka756.5—01161
Jamal Musiala576.6—0—251
Waldemar Anton416.6—0124—
Nick Woltemade326.9—0121
Malick Thiaw106.7—0—7—
Nadiem Amiri106.7—0151
Alexander Nübel———————
Oliver Baumann———————
David Raum———————
Pascal Groß———————
Angelo Stiller———————
Assan Ouédraogo———————
Jamie Leweling———————
Maximilian Beier———————

Paraguay

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Orlando Gill1208.2—0—45—
Juan Cáceres996.9—0—232
Gustavo Gómez1206.5—01151
José Canale1207.5—0—105
Junior Alonso1196.3—01254
Miguel Almirón907.2—0—222
Damián Bobadilla997.0—0—175
Andrés Cubas1206.6—0—205
Matías Galarza1206.9—1—244
Gabriel Ávalos556.7—0—12—
Julio Enciso577.61025—
Gustavo Caballero656.6—0191
Mauricio637.2—0—162
Gustavo Velázquez306.6—0—3—
Braian Ojeda216.3—0—8—
Antonio Sanabria216.9—0—32
Fabián Balbuena1——0———
Gastón Olveira———————
Roberto Fernández———————
Omar Alderete———————
Alexandro Maidana———————
Alejandro Romero———————
Ramón Sosa———————
Alex Arce———————
Isidro Pitta———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

World Cup table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Group D. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1USA32018446
LWLWW
2Australia31112204
LDLW
3Paraguay311124-24
LWDWL
4Türkiye310235-23
WLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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