1. FC Heidenheim
3/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect 1. FC Heidenheim’s results
BundesligaMatchweek 34THE MATCH CENTRE1. FC Heidenheim vs FSV Mainz 05 match centre
90′ · Live
0:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
P. Tietz7′
N. Amiri43′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.0%1. FC Heidenheim
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate99.9%FSV Mainz 05
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: 1. FC Heidenheim 3.9% · no further goal 91.9% · FSV Mainz 05 4.2%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.1. FC HeidenheimFSV Mainz 05
2.630Expected goals · API-Football3.460
4Shots on target9
14Total Shots15
53%Ball Possession47%
6Corner Kicks3
7Fouls12
1Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
5Goalkeeper Saves4
405Total passes372
329Passes accurate294
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Bundesliga Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | +86 | 89 | — |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 34 | +36 | 73 | — |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 34 | +19 | 65 | — |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 34 | +22 | 62 | — |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | +13 | 61 | — |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | +21 | 59 | — |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | -6 | 47 | — |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | -4 | 44 | — |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 35 | -7 | 43 | ↑ 1 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | -16 | 43 | ↓ 1 |
| 11 |  Union Berlin | 34 | -14 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | -11 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV | 34 | -14 | 38 | — |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 34 | -14 | 32 | — |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen | 34 | -23 | 32 | — |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | -24 | 29 | — |
| 17 |  FC St. Pauli | 34 | -31 | 26 | ↑ 1 |
| 18 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 35 | -33 | 26 | ↓ 1 |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
1. FC Heidenheim 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
FSV Mainz 05 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
FSV Mainz 05
5/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect FSV Mainz 05’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
1. FC Heidenheim
10 matchesResults3 wins · 3 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game1.9
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
1. FC KölnAway · Bundesliga3–1Bayern MünchenAway · Bundesliga3–3FC St. PauliHome · Bundesliga2–0SC FreiburgAway · Bundesliga1–2Union BerlinHome · Bundesliga3–1Borussia MönchengladbachAway · Bundesliga2–2Bayer LeverkusenHome · Bundesliga3–3Eintracht FrankfurtAway · Bundesliga0–11899 HoffenheimHome · Bundesliga2–4Werder BremenAway · Bundesliga0–2
FSV Mainz 05
10 matchesResults5 wins · 1 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Union BerlinHome · Bundesliga1–3FC St. PauliAway · Bundesliga2–1Bayern MünchenHome · Bundesliga3–4Borussia MönchengladbachAway · Bundesliga1–1StrasbourgAway · UEFA Europa Conference League0–4SC FreiburgHome · Bundesliga0–1StrasbourgHome · UEFA Europa Conference League2–01899 HoffenheimAway · Bundesliga2–1Eintracht FrankfurtHome · Bundesliga2–1Sigma OlomoucHome · UEFA Europa Conference League2–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare 1. FC Heidenheim at home with FSV Mainz 05 away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:09 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
1. FC HeidenheimFSV Mainz 05
32Matches played32
23Points earned37
5Wins9
1.2Goals scored / match1.3
2.2Goals conceded / match1.6
1Clean sheets3
11Failed to score10
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares 1. FC Heidenheim at home with FSV Mainz 05 away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
1. FC Heidenheim
2wins5MEETINGS
FSV Mainz 05
2winsDec 2023 – Jan 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with 1. FC Heidenheim first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
1. FC Heidenheim
Confirmed formation4-4-1-1Frank Schmidt
- 40
F. FellerG - 2
M. BuschD - 6
P. MainkaD - 19
J. FohrenbachD - 26
H. BehrensD - 8
E. DinkciM - 3
J. SchoppnerM - 30
N. DorschM - 22
A. IbrahimovicM - 18
M. PieringerF - 11
B. ZivzivadzeF
Substitutes (9)
41 · D. Ramaj
9 · S. Schimmer
4 · T. Siersleben
17 · M. Honsak
21 · A. Beck
10 · C. Conteh
23 · O. H. Traore
16 · J. Niehues
20 · L. Kerber
FSV Mainz 05
Confirmed formation3-5-2Urs Fischer
- 33
D. BatzG - 31
D. KohrD - 4
S. PoschD - 48
K. PotulskiD - 30
S. WidmerM - 8
P. NebelM - 6
K. SanoM - 10
N. AmiriM - 2
P. MweneM - 20
P. TietzF - 23
S. BeckerF
Substitutes (9)
27 · R. Zentner
19 · A. Caci
15 · L. Maloney
11 · A. Sieb
24 · S. Kawasaki
21 · D. da Costa
7 · Lee Jae-Sung
22 · N. Veratschnig
44 · N. Weiper
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
1. FC Heidenheim
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Feller | 90 | 8.7 | — | 0 | — | 30 | 1 |
| Marnon Busch | 45 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 1 |
| Patrick Mainka | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 48 | — |
| Jonas Föhrenbach | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 68 | 4 |
| Hennes Behrens | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 49 | 2 |
| Eren Dinkçi | 73 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 24 | — |
| Jan Schöppner | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 45 | 4 |
| Niklas Dorsch | 73 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 40 | 1 |
| Arijon Ibrahimović | 65 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 23 | — |
| Marvin Pieringer | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 10 | — |
| Budu Zivzivadze | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 4 | 12 | 2 |
| Omar Haktab Traore | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 1 |
| Christian Conteh | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Stefan Schimmer | 25 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | — | 2 |
| Adrian Beck | 17 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 1 |
| Mathias Honsak | 17 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 1 |
| Diant Ramaj | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tim Siersleben | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julian Niehues | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Kerber | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
FSV Mainz 05
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Batz | 90 | 9.3 | — | 0 | — | 37 | — |
| Dominik Kohr | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 32 | 3 |
| Stefan Posch | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Kacper Potulski | 90 | 8.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 40 | 2 |
| Silvan Widmer | 68 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 3 |
| Paul Nebel | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 33 | 1 |
| Kaishu Sano | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 37 | 1 |
| Nadiem Amiri | 68 | 8.3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 45 | 2 |
| Phillipp Mwene | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 41 | 3 |
| Phillip Tietz | 84 | 6.9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 1 |
| Sheraldo Becker | 77 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 17 | — |
| Danny da Costa | 45 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 1 |
| Jae-sung Lee | 22 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 8 | 2 |
| Anthony Caci | 22 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Lennard Maloney | 13 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Nelson Weiper | 10 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Robin Zentner | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikolas Veratschnig | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sota Kawasaki | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Armindo Sieb | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | 1. FC Heidenheim | Draw | FSV Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 4.20 | 3.40 |
Snapshot from 16 May 2026, 04:22 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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