S. BornauwMuscle Injury
Reported out
BundesligaMatchweek 4THE MATCH CENTREHamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln match centre
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Nicolás Capaldo44′
Yussuf Poulsen49′
Ragnar Ache90′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 14:08 UK.
Odds updated 19 Sep 11:38 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 6 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Hamburger SV1. FC Köln
—Expected goals · API-Football—
7Shots on target5
12Total Shots18
45%Ball Possession55%
3Corner Kicks5
12Fouls14
1Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves5
267Total passes566
202Passes accurate499
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Hamburger SV 3 reported
A. Rossing-LelesiitAnkle Injury
Reported out
M. VuskovicDoping
Reported out
1. FC Köln 1 reported
T. HubersKnee Injury
Reported outFetched 18 Sep, 21:10 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Hamburger SV
3/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
2.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Hamburger SV’s results1. FC Köln
4/10Wins
2.3Goals / game
2.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect 1. FC Köln’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Hamburger SV
10 matchesResults3 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game2.2
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
RB LeipzigAway · Bundesliga0–5FSV Mainz 05Home · Bundesliga0–5Borussia DortmundAway · Bundesliga0–2VerlAway · DFB Pokal3–0ToulouseAway · Friendlies Clubs2–1LilleHome · Friendlies Clubs2–2EvertonHome · Friendlies Clubs1–21. FC HeidenheimAway · Friendlies Clubs3–1Rapid ViennaAway · Friendlies Clubs2–3Bayer LeverkusenAway · Bundesliga1–1
1. FC Köln
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game2.3
Goals conceded per game2.1
Games with 3+ goals9 of 10
Both teams scored9 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Werder BremenHome · Bundesliga1–1VfB StuttgartAway · Bundesliga1–41899 HoffenheimHome · Bundesliga3–2Würzburger KickersAway · DFB Pokal2–1Real SociedadHome · Friendlies Clubs2–1Hertha BSCHome · Friendlies Clubs2–2Bergisch GladbachAway · Friendlies Clubs8–0Bayern MünchenAway · Bundesliga1–51. FC HeidenheimHome · Bundesliga1–3Union BerlinAway · Bundesliga2–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Hamburger SV at home with 1. FC Köln away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:01 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2026/27 · all league matches
Hamburger SV1. FC Köln
3Matches played3
0Points earned4
0Wins1
0.0Goals scored / match1.7
4.0Goals conceded / match2.3
0Clean sheets0
3Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Hamburger SV at home with 1. FC Köln away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Hamburger SV
2wins4MEETINGS
1. FC Köln
1winsAug 2024 – Mar 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Hamburger SV first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Hamburger SV
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1M. Polzin
- 1
Daniel Heuer FernandesG - 24
N. CapaldoD - 23
J. TorunarighaD - 17
W. OmariD - 7
Z. El OuahdiM - 6
A. Sambi LokongaM - 21
N. RembergM - 3
D. Møller WolfeM - 20
Fábio VieiraM - 11
A. GrønbækM - 9
T. MoffiF
Substitutes (9)
37 · L. Lemke
4 · B. Nadir
15 · Y. Poulsen
43 · S. Nandja
5 · M. Adeline
27 · P. Daka
18 · B. Jatta
19 · Otto Emerson Stange
12 · S. Tangvik
1. FC Köln
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1René Wagner
- 1
M. SchwäbeG - 17
A. Castro-MontesD - 22
Jahmai Simpson-PuseyD - 24
L. LochoshviliD - 14
G. MensahD - 5
T. KraußM - 6
E. SkhiriM - 37
L. MainaM - 47
M. MooreM - 10
S. El MalaM - 27
T. DallingaF
Substitutes (9)
30 · M. Bülter
2 · J. Schmied
28 · S. Sebulonsen
3 · B. Sosa
29 · J. Thielmann
7 · L. Waldschmidt
20 · R. Zieler
9 · R. Ache
8 · Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Hamburger SV
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Omari | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 0 |
| Daniel Heuer Fernandes | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 0 |
| S. Tangvik | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Otto Emerson Stange | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Y. Poulsen | 45 | 7.4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 |
| S. Nandja | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| B. Nadir | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Lemke | 13 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| B. Jatta | 13 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
| P. Daka | 23 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| M. Adeline | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Grønbæk | 67 | 8.3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| Fábio Vieira | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 1 |
| D. Møller Wolfe | 77 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 |
| N. Remberg | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 1 |
| A. Sambi Lokonga | 89 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 2 |
| Z. El Ouahdi | 77 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 5 |
| N. Capaldo | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 4 |
| J. Torunarigha | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 1 |
| T. Moffi | 45 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
1. FC Köln
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Dallinga | 64 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
| R. Ache | 26 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| M. Bülter | 9 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson | 23 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 1 |
| J. Schmied | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Sebulonsen | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| B. Sosa | 26 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 0 |
| J. Thielmann | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Waldschmidt | 9 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| R. Zieler | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| S. El Mala | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 1 |
| M. Moore | 90 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 1 |
| L. Maina | 81 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 0 |
| T. Krauß | 81 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 0 |
| E. Skhiri | 90 | 7.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 68 | 2 |
| G. Mensah | 64 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 66 | 2 |
| L. Lochoshvili | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 99 | 0 |
| Jahmai Simpson-Pusey | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 91 | 0 |
| A. Castro-Montes | 67 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 |
| M. Schwäbe | 90 | 7.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Bundesliga table
Current standings · Bundesliga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Bayern München | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 10 | WWDW |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 10 | DWWW |
| 4 |  FC Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 7 | LDWW |
| 5 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 7 | WDWL |
| 6 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 7 | WLWD |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | DLWW |
| 8 |  Werder Bremen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WDWL |
| 9 |  RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 6 | LWLW |
| 10 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 | DWLD |
| 11 |  FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 | DWDL |
| 12 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | WLLD |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 | LDLW |
| 14 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3 | LWLL |
| 15 |  VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | LLWL |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 3 | WLLL |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 | LLLD |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 0 | LLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Hamburger SV | Draw | 1. FC Köln |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 3.50 | 2.55 |
| Marathonbet | 2.73 | 3.58 | 2.52 |
| BetVictor | 2.63 | 3.60 | 2.45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.78 | 3.59 | 2.57 |
Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 11:38 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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