Hamburger SV
3/8Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Hamburger SV’s results
BundesligaMatchweek 26THE MATCH CENTREHamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln match centre
90′ · Live
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
F. Vieira39′
S. El Mala45′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate3.1%Hamburger SV
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate4.4%1. FC Köln
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Hamburger SV 3.2% · no further goal 92.3% · 1. FC Köln 4.5%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Hamburger SV1. FC Köln
0.350Expected goals · API-Football1.220
1Shots on target2
3Total Shots10
45%Ball Possession55%
0Corner Kicks8
10Fouls12
1Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves0
374Total passes453
303Passes accurate374
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Bundesliga Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | +86 | 89 | — |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 34 | +36 | 73 | — |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 34 | +19 | 65 | — |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 34 | +22 | 62 | — |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | +13 | 61 | — |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | +21 | 59 | — |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | -6 | 47 | — |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | -4 | 44 | — |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | -16 | 43 | — |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | -9 | 40 | — |
| 11 |  Union Berlin | 34 | -14 | 39 | — |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 35 | -14 | 39 | ↑ 1 |
| 13 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | -11 | 38 | ↓ 1 |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 35 | -14 | 33 | — |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen | 34 | -23 | 32 | — |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | -24 | 29 | — |
| 17 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
| 18 |  FC St. Pauli | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Hamburger SV 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
1. FC Köln 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
1. FC Köln
2/8Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect 1. FC Köln’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Hamburger SV
8 matchesResults3 wins · 4 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals4 of 8
Both teams scored5 of 8
Past results, not predictions.
1. FC Köln
8 matchesResults2 wins · 1 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals6 of 8
Both teams scored6 of 8
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Hamburger SV at home with 1. FC Köln away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:06 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Hamburger SV1. FC Köln
25Matches played25
29Points earned24
7Wins6
1.2Goals scored / match1.4
1.4Goals conceded / match1.7
6Clean sheets3
9Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Hamburger SV at home with 1. FC Köln away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Hamburger SV
2wins5MEETINGS
1. FC Köln
2winsJan 2022 – Nov 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Hamburger SV first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Hamburger SV
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Merlin Polzin
- 1
D. Heuer FernandesG - 17
W. OmariD - 44
L. VuskovicD - 25
J. TorunarighaD - 2
W. MikelbrencisM - 21
N. RembergM - 6
A. S. LokongaM - 28
M. MuheimM - 20
F. VieiraF - 11
R. KonigsdorfferF - 19
D. DownsF
Substitutes (9)
12 · S. Tangvik
7 · J. Dompe
14 · R. Philippe
45 · F. Balde
49 · O. Stange
9 · R. Glatzel
16 · G. Gocholeishvili
8 · D. Elfadli
27 · P. Otele
1. FC Köln
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Lukas Kwasniok
- 1
M. SchwabeG - 5
T. KraussD - 33
R. van den BergD - 39
C. OzkacarD - 32
K. LundD - 18
I. JohannessonM - 6
E. MartelM - 38
Y. NiangM - 16
J. KaminskiM - 13
S. El MalaM - 9
R. AcheF
Substitutes (9)
20 · R. Zieler
11 · F. Kainz
7 · L. Waldschmidt
37 · L. Maina
36 · C. Neumann
27 · F. Chavez
3 · D. Heintz
30 · M. Bulter
28 · S. Sebulonsen
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Hamburger SV
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Heuer Fernandes | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 39 | — |
| Warmed Omari | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 36 | 1 |
| Luka Vušković | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 47 | 4 |
| Jordan Torunarigha | 79 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| William Mikelbrencis | 79 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 1 | 24 | 2 |
| Nicolai Remberg | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 1 |
| Albert Sambi Lokonga | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 42 | — |
| Miro Muheim | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 48 | 1 |
| Fábio Vieira | 89 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 1 |
| Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer | 67 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Damion Downs | 67 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 4 | 3 |
| Jean-Luc Dompé | 23 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Otto Stange | 23 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Daniel Elfadli | 11 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | — |
| Fabio Baldé | 11 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 1 |
| Philip Otele | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Sander Tangvik | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giorgi Gocholeishvili | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robert Glatzel | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rayan Philippe | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
1. FC Köln
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Schwäbe | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 36 | — |
| Tom Krauß | 84 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 40 | 2 |
| Rav van den Berg | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 59 | — |
| Cenk Özkaçar | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 72 | 3 |
| Kristoffer Lund | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 46 | 3 |
| Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 52 | — |
| Eric Martel | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 64 | 4 |
| Youssoupha Niang | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 |
| Jakub Kamiński | 89 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 39 | — |
| Said El Mala | 74 | 6.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Ragnar Ache | 74 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 1 |
| Linton Maina | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 |
| Sebastian Sebulonsen | 16 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Marius Bülter | 16 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Felipe Chávez | 15 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 2 | 1 |
| Florian Kainz | 8 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Ron-Robert Zieler | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dominique Heintz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cenny Neumann | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Waldschmidt | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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