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BundesligaMatchweek 33THE MATCH CENTRE

1. FC Köln vs 1. FC Heidenheim match centre

1. FC Köln badge1. FC KölnHome · 14 in league
DDDWD
Momentum↗ Rising48/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
1:3
UK time · Europe/London
1. FC Heidenheim badge1. FC HeidenheimAway · 17 in league
LLLDD
Momentum↗ Rising16/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
M. Bulter10′
J. Schoppner8′
A. Ibrahimovic28′
J. Schoppner72′
RheinEnergieSTADION · CologneSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research No stored odds · open the match for form and team context Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.0%1. FC Köln
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate99.9%1. FC Heidenheim
Another goal8.2%before full time

Next goal: 1. FC Köln 4.6% · no further goal 91.8% · 1. FC Heidenheim 3.6%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
1. FC Köln1. FC Heidenheim
3Corner Kicks4
9Fouls8
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves6
523Total passes269
455Passes accurate197

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Bundesliga

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Bayern München34+8689—
2Borussia Dortmund34+3673—
3RB Leipzig34+1965—
4VfB Stuttgart34+2262—
51899 Hoffenheim34+1361—
6Bayer Leverkusen34+2159—
7SC Freiburg34-647—
8Eintracht Frankfurt34-444—
9FC Augsburg34-1643—
10FSV Mainz 0534-940—
11Union Berlin34-1439—
12Borussia Mönchengladbach34-1138—
13Hamburger SV34-1438—
141. FC Köln35-1632—
15Werder Bremen34-2332—
16VfL Wolfsburg34-2429—
171. FC Heidenheim35-2929—
18FC St. Pauli34-3126—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

1. FC Köln 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

1. FC Heidenheim 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

1. FC Köln

1/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect 1. FC Köln’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

1. FC Heidenheim

2/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
2.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 9 available matches.

Inspect 1. FC Heidenheim’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare 1. FC Köln at home with 1. FC Heidenheim away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 6 Oct, 22:58 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches

1. FC Köln1. FC Heidenheim
32Matches played32
32Points earned23
7Wins5
1.5Goals scored / match1.2
1.8Goals conceded / match2.2
3Clean sheets1
4Failed to score11

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares 1. FC Köln at home with 1. FC Heidenheim away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

1. FC Köln

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Lukas Kwasniok
  1. 1M. SchwabeG
  2. 28S. SebulonsenD
  3. 2J. SchmiedD
  4. 39C. OzkacarD
  5. 32K. LundD
  6. 5T. KraussM
  7. 18I. JohannessonM
  8. 37L. MainaM
  9. 16J. KaminskiM
  10. 13S. El MalaM
  11. 30M. BulterF
Substitutes (9)

20 · R. Zieler

11 · F. Kainz

7 · L. Waldschmidt

29 · J. Thielmann

8 · D. Huseinbasic

3 · D. Heintz

17 · A. Castro-Montes

33 · R. van den Berg

38 · Y. Niang

1. FC Heidenheim

Confirmed formation4-2-2-2Frank Schmidt
  1. 40F. FellerG
  2. 23O. H. TraoreD
  3. 6P. MainkaD
  4. 19J. FohrenbachD
  5. 26H. BehrensD
  6. 3J. SchoppnerM
  7. 30N. DorschM
  8. 8E. DinkciM
  9. 22A. IbrahimovicM
  10. 18M. PieringerF
  11. 11B. ZivzivadzeF
Substitutes (9)

41 · D. Ramaj

9 · S. Schimmer

4 · T. Siersleben

25 · L. Stergiou

17 · M. Honsak

21 · A. Beck

10 · C. Conteh

16 · J. Niehues

20 · L. Kerber

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

1. FC Köln

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Marvin Schwäbe906.9—0—64—
Sebastian Sebulonsen905.9—02381
Joel Schmied717.0—0—56—
Cenk Özkaçar896.2—0—781
Kristoffer Lund896.2—0—411
Tom Krauß587.2—1—412
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson906.7—0—83—
Linton Maina717.2—0—26—
Jakub Kamiński907.0—0—40—
Said El Mala905.0—01151
Marius Bülter907.210327—
Luca Waldschmidt326.6—0313—
Alessio Castro-Montes196.5—0111—
Florian Kainz196.3—0117—
Dominique Heintz86.6—0—8—
Youssoupha Niang86.7—0—4—
Ron-Robert Zieler———————
Rav van den Berg———————
Denis Huseinbašić———————
Jan Uwe Thielmann———————

1. FC Heidenheim

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Frank Feller907.6—0—41—
Omar Haktab Traore766.7—0—174
Patrick Mainka907.0—0—212
Jonas Föhrenbach907.2—0—203
Hennes Behrens907.0—0—22—
Jan Schöppner908.7203263
Niklas Dorsch907.3—0—351
Eren Dinkçi837.3—0130—
Arijon Ibrahimović768.3112254
Marvin Pieringer896.2—03191
Budu Zivzivadze836.7—0—131
Leonidas Stergiou146.6—0—21
Christian Conteh146.7—0—3—
Mathias Honsak146.3—0—1—
Luca Kerber146.6—0—1—
Stefan Schimmer86.9—0—21
Diant Ramaj———————
Tim Siersleben———————
Adrian Beck———————
Julian Niehues———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
Bookmaker1. FC KölnDraw1. FC Heidenheim
Bet3651.954.103.30

Snapshot from 9 May 2026, 20:25 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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