Nacional
1/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Nacional’s results
Primeira LigaMatchweek 6THE MATCH CENTRENacional vs Alverca match centre
Full time
1:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Matchoi Djaló81′
Francisco Chissumba34′
Dawda Camara Sankharé36′
Dawda Camara Sankharé42′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
NacionalAlverca
2.200Expected goals · API-Football1.160
3Shots on target7
13Total Shots10
57%Ball Possession43%
2Corner Kicks0
7Fouls16
0Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves3
477Total passes358
395Passes accurate289
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Nacional 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Alverca 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Alverca
4/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Alverca’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Nacional
10 matchesResults1 wins · 4 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Sporting CPAway · Primeira Liga0–2EstrelaHome · Primeira Liga2–3Vitória SCAway · Primeira Liga0–1EstorilHome · Primeira Liga2–0Santa ClaraAway · Primeira Liga2–2EstrelaAway · Friendlies Clubs0–2LeganesHome · Friendlies Clubs0–0TondelaAway · Friendlies Clubs1–1LeixoesHome · Friendlies Clubs3–3MachicoHome · Friendlies Clubs1–2
Alverca
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
SC BragaHome · Primeira Liga1–2Santa ClaraHome · Primeira Liga1–1Sporting CPAway · Primeira Liga1–3EstrelaHome · Primeira Liga2–2FC PortoAway · Primeira Liga0–2Sporting CP BHome · Friendlies Clubs1–0MafraAway · Friendlies Clubs0–1EstorilHome · Friendlies Clubs2–0CF Os BelenensesHome · Friendlies Clubs2–1União de LeiriaAway · Friendlies Clubs1–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Nacional at home with Alverca away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 05:13 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primeira Liga · 2026/27 · all league matches
NacionalAlverca
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Nacional at home with Alverca away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Nacional
Confirmed formation4-3-3Alexandre Santos
- 1
Renato BellucciG - 52
Wesley GasolinaD - 33
Francisco GonçalvesD - 38
Zé VitorD - 21
W. KokoloD - 10
Daniel JúniorM - 6
Matheus DiasM - 8
Miguel BaezaM - 11
S. GavrielF - 99
Pablo RuanF - 7
M. JensenF
Substitutes (12)
50 · Kevyn
17 · F. Nava
9 · A. Obando
20 · Matchoi Djaló
26 · Joel da Silva
15 · C. Labidi
23 · Mateus Iseppe
12 · Song Min-Kyu
2 · Daniel Isai de la Cruz de la Cruz
88 · Deivison
13 · João Gonçalves
14 · Ivanildo Fernandes
Alverca
Confirmed formation3-4-3Sérgio Ferreira
- 31
Matheus MendesG - 4
Y. BojangD - 21
Sergi GómezD - 12
I. JamesD - 20
Diogo Filipe Spencer MarquesM - 6
D. GuiM - 25
Ian LuccasM - 55
Francisco ChissumbaM - 10
ChiquinhoF - 19
D. CamaraF - 22
FigueiredoF
Substitutes (12)
15 · I. Julian
18 · Z. Kassary
26 · Matheus França
11 · C. Nuozzi
23 · André Paulo
35 · Rayan
9 · Vivaldo Semedo
27 · Toni Tamarit
7 · André Vidigal
93 · Zé Rafael
91 · Jhonatan
17 · S. Merheg
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Nacional
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Baeza | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 0 |
| Song Min-Kyu | 45 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 2 |
| Joel da Silva | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Obando | 21 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| F. Nava | 12 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Kevyn | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mateus Iseppe | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Labidi | 36 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 2 |
| João Gonçalves | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ivanildo Fernandes | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Matchoi Djaló | 45 | 6.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 |
| Zé Vitor | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 82 | 2 |
| Wesley Gasolina | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 2 |
| Pablo Ruan | 78 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 0 |
| Matheus Dias | 54 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 0 |
| W. Kokolo | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 54 | 3 |
| M. Jensen | 45 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 |
| Francisco Gonçalves | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 73 | 4 |
| S. Gavriel | 69 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 3 |
| Renato Bellucci | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 0 |
| Daniel Isai de la Cruz de la Cruz | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Deivison | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Daniel Júnior | 45 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
Alverca
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo Filipe Spencer Marques | 90 | 8.3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 4 |
| I. James | 79 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 4 |
| Ian Luccas | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 43 | 0 |
| D. Gui | 79 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 36 | 2 |
| Sergi Gómez | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 2 |
| Figueiredo | 65 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 1 |
| Francisco Chissumba | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 1 |
| Chiquinho | 65 | 7.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 |
| D. Camara | 72 | 8.6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 |
| Y. Bojang | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 49 | 1 |
| I. Julian | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Z. Kassary | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Matheus França | 25 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| C. Nuozzi | 11 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| André Paulo | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rayan | 11 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Vivaldo Semedo | 18 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| Toni Tamarit | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| André Vidigal | 25 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Zé Rafael | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jhonatan | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Merheg | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Matheus Mendes | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Primeira Liga table
Current standings · Primeira Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 21 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 7 | 15 | 16 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 15 | DDWWW |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 15 | DWWDW |
| 5 |  Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 11 | DLDWL |
| 6 |  SC Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 11 | DWLWW |
| 7 |  Academico Viseu | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 | WWWLD |
| 8 |  Estrela | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 10 | LDWDW |
| 9 |  GIL Vicente | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 | DLLDW |
| 10 | Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 | WWLDL |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 | DLLLD |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 8 | DWLLW |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 7 | WDDDL |
| 14 |  Vitória SC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 | DLDLW |
| 15 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 18 |  Estoril | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 2 | LLDLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST
Open practice slip +Try it with virtual funds
Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗
Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →