Estoril
1/10Wins
0.6Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Estoril’s results
Primeira LigaMatchweek 7THE MATCH CENTREEstoril vs Casa Pia match centre
Full time
1:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Ricard Sanchez Sendra70′
Selvi Clua72′
Benjamin Pauwels89′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 20 Sep 13:06 UK.
Odds updated 20 Sep 14:58 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
EstorilCasa Pia
0.950Expected goals · API-Football2.170
6Shots on target3
14Total Shots11
53%Ball Possession47%
7Corner Kicks4
7Fouls11
3Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves5
387Total passes343
297Passes accurate269
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Estoril 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Casa Pia 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Fetched 20 Sep, 10:48 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Casa Pia
2/10Wins
0.7Goals / game
2.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Casa Pia’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Estoril
10 matchesResults1 wins · 4 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game0.6
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals2 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
SC BragaAway · Primeira Liga0–1AroucaHome · Primeira Liga0–0BenficaAway · Primeira Liga1–2Rio AveHome · Primeira Liga0–2NacionalAway · Primeira Liga0–2FamalicaoHome · Primeira Liga1–1CF Os BelenensesAway · Friendlies Clubs1–1TorreenseHome · Friendlies Clubs0–0AlvercaAway · Friendlies Clubs0–2Atlético CPHome · Friendlies Clubs3–0
Casa Pia
10 matchesResults2 wins · 1 draws · 7 losses
Goals scored per game0.7
Goals conceded per game2.3
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FC PortoHome · Primeira Liga1–4Vitória SCAway · Primeira Liga0–0MoreirenseHome · Primeira Liga0–1GIL VicenteAway · Primeira Liga0–2BenficaHome · Primeira Liga0–7MaritimoAway · Primeira Liga0–1LeixoesAway · Friendlies Clubs2–6Benfica BAway · Friendlies Clubs0–1EstrelaAway · Friendlies Clubs2–1TorreenseHome · Primeira Liga2–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Estoril at home with Casa Pia away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 04:23 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primeira Liga · 2026/27 · all league matches
EstorilCasa Pia
6Matches played6
2Points earned1
0Wins0
0.3Goals scored / match0.2
1.3Goals conceded / match2.5
1Clean sheets1
4Failed to score5
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Estoril at home with Casa Pia away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Estoril
1wins5MEETINGS
Casa Pia
1winsApr 2024 – Mar 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Estoril
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Vasco Matos
- 1
Joel RoblesG - 2
Ricard SánchezD - 6
Xavi SintesD - 15
Isma SierraD - 21
R. JurišićD - 10
J. HolsgroveM - 44
M. RobinM - 11
N. OmerovićM - 12
João CarvalhoM - 9
A. CamblanM - 14
Y. BegraouiF
Substitutes (12)
90 · Tiago Brito
35 · S. Amissah
7 · André Lacximicant
99 · R. Guitane
3 · Fernando Medrano
19 · Tiago Parreira Parente
17 · Peixinho
22 · Pedro Carvalho
42 · J. Arnolin
43 · fletcher lowe
5 · A. Tsoungui
16 · M. Turk
Casa Pia
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Filipe Coelho
- 95
Ivan MandićG - 18
GeraldesD - 3
KalyD - 43
David SousaD - 75
Pedro RosasD - 16
SilviM - 80
L. OforiM - 11
M. El BoukammiriM - 70
João Pedro Seno Luís RêgoM - 98
JPM - 9
Henrique AraújoF
Substitutes (12)
24 · S. Pérez
19 · K. Prieto
77 · B. Pauwels
17 · E. Maurin
20 · A. Jatta
4 · João Goulart
44 · Felipe Silva
8 · Gabi Pereira
90 · Cassiano
59 · Abdu Dafe
10 · Rochinha
1 · P. Sequeira
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Estoril
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiago Brito | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Turk | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Tsoungui | 30 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 |
| fletcher lowe | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Arnolin | 45 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 0 |
| Pedro Carvalho | 10 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Peixinho | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tiago Parreira Parente | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Fernando Medrano | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| R. Guitane | 30 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| André Lacximicant | 10 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Amissah | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Joel Robles | 90 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 0 |
| Ricard Sánchez | 90 | 7.1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 2 |
| Isma Sierra | 90 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 1 |
| Xavi Sintes | 80 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 0 |
| R. Jurišić | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 1 |
| J. Holsgrove | 90 | 7.7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 80 | 3 |
| M. Robin | 60 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 3 |
| N. Omerović | 60 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 |
| João Carvalho | 80 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 0 |
| A. Camblan | 45 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
| Y. Begraoui | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 1 |
Casa Pia
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochinha | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Abdu Dafe | 3 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Cassiano | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gabi Pereira | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Felipe Silva | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| João Goulart | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Jatta | 45 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| E. Maurin | 25 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| B. Pauwels | 25 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| K. Prieto | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Pérez | 16 | 6.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| P. Sequeira | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ivan Mandić | 90 | 7.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 0 |
| Geraldes | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 2 |
| Kaly | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 1 |
| David Sousa | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 3 |
| Pedro Rosas | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 0 |
| Silvi | 74 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 1 |
| L. Ofori | 90 | 7.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 41 | 3 |
| M. El Boukammiri | 65 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 38 | 2 |
| João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo | 87 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 41 | 2 |
| JP | 65 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| Henrique Araújo | 45 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Primeira Liga table
Current standings · Primeira Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 21 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 7 | 15 | 16 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 15 | DDWWW |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 15 | DWWDW |
| 5 |  Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 11 | DLDWL |
| 6 |  SC Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 11 | DWLWW |
| 7 |  Academico Viseu | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 | WWWLD |
| 8 |  Estrela | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 10 | LDWDW |
| 9 |  GIL Vicente | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 | DLLDW |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 | WWLDL |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 | DLLLD |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 8 | DWLLW |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 7 | WDDDL |
| 14 |  Vitória SC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 | DLDLW |
| 15 |  Nacional | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 18 | Estoril | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 2 | LLDLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Estoril | Draw | Casa Pia |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.70 | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.68 | 3.84 | 4.55 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 3.80 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 3.75 | 4.50 |
Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 14:58 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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