Estoril
6/10Wins
2.4Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Estoril’s results
Primeira LigaMatchweek 25THE MATCH CENTREEstoril vs Casa Pia match centre
90′ · Live
0:0
UK time · Europe/LondonTHE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate3.6%Estoril
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.9%Casa Pia
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Estoril 3.7% · no further goal 92.3% · Casa Pia 4.0%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.EstorilCasa Pia
0.650Expected goals · API-Football1.470
1Shots on target2
9Total Shots9
64%Ball Possession36%
4Corner Kicks5
10Fouls12
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves1
525Total passes285
463Passes accurate224
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primeira LigaProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 34 | +48 | 88 | — |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 34 | +65 | 82 | — |
| 3 |  Benfica | 34 | +49 | 80 | — |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | +28 | 59 | — |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 34 | +13 | 56 | — |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 34 | +9 | 50 | — |
| 7 |  Moreirense | 34 | -12 | 43 | — |
| 8 |  Guimaraes | 34 | -12 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 9 |  Arouca | 34 | -17 | 42 | ↓ 1 |
| 10 | Estoril | 35 | -3 | 40 | — |
| 11 |  Alverca | 34 | -17 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Santa Clara | 34 | -9 | 36 | ↑ 1 |
| 13 |  Rio Ave | 34 | -22 | 36 | ↓ 1 |
| 14 |  Nacional | 34 | -8 | 34 | — |
| 15 |  Casa Pia | 35 | -26 | 31 | ↑ 1 |
| 16 |  Estrela | 34 | -18 | 30 | ↓ 1 |
| 17 |  Tondela | 34 | -28 | 28 | — |
| 18 |  AVS | 34 | -40 | 21 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Estoril 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Casa Pia 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Casa Pia
3/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Casa Pia’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Estoril
10 matchesResults6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.4
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals9 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Sporting CPAway · Primeira Liga0–3GIL VicenteHome · Primeira Liga3–1AVSAway · Primeira Liga0–3TondelaHome · Primeira Liga2–2Santa ClaraAway · Primeira Liga4–2GuimaraesHome · Primeira Liga4–2EstrelaAway · Primeira Liga5–0SC BragaHome · Primeira Liga1–0Casa PiaAway · Primeira Liga2–2Casa PiaAway · Primeira Liga3–1
Casa Pia
10 matchesResults3 wins · 4 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
MoreirenseHome · Primeira Liga1–1FamalicaoAway · Primeira Liga0–2AroucaHome · Primeira Liga3–2NacionalAway · Primeira Liga0–0FC PortoHome · Primeira Liga2–1AVSHome · Primeira Liga3–3Sporting CPAway · Primeira Liga0–3AnçãAway · Taça de Portugal3–0EstorilHome · Primeira Liga2–2EstorilHome · Primeira Liga1–3
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Estoril at home with Casa Pia away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 05:15 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primeira Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
EstorilCasa Pia
24Matches played24
33Points earned23
9Wins5
2.0Goals scored / match1.1
1.8Goals conceded / match1.8
3Clean sheets4
7Failed to score10
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Estoril at home with Casa Pia away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Estoril
2wins5MEETINGS
Casa Pia
1winsNov 2023 – Oct 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Estoril first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Estoril
Confirmed formation4-3-3Ian Cathro
- 1
J. RoblesG - 22
P. CarvalhoD - 4
FerroD - 25
F. BacherD - 2
R. SanchezD - 6
JandroM - 5
A. TsounguiM - 10
J. HolsgroveM - 14
Y. BegraouiF - 99
R. GuitaneF - 9
A. MarquesF
Substitutes (9)
16 · M. Turk
21 · Pizzi
8 · Xeka
20 · G. Costa
7 · N. Lominadze
57 · L. Bimai
11 · K. Edwards
70 · Peixinho
91 · J. Montes
Casa Pia
Confirmed formation3-4-3Alvaro Pacheco
- 1
P. SequeiraG - 4
J. GoulartD - 3
KalyD - 18
A. GeraldesD - 72
G. LarrazabalM - 8
R. BritoM - 42
S. PerezM - 5
A. ConteM - 29
J. LivolantF - 90
CassianoF - 13
K. OsundinaF
Substitutes (9)
95 · I. Mandic
6 · J. Fonte
75 · P. Rosas
21 · T. Morais
99 · C. Mendes
24 · I. Mohamed
11 · J. Marques
10 · D. Livramento
19 · K. Prieto
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Estoril
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Robles | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 28 | — |
| Pedro Carvalho | 83 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 43 | 1 |
| Ferro | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 71 | 1 |
| Felix Bacher | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 71 | — |
| Ricard Sánchez | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 45 | 2 |
| Jandro Orellana | 69 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 30 | — |
| Antef Tsoungui | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 62 | 5 |
| Jordan Holsgrove | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 98 | — |
| Yanis Begraoui | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 22 | — |
| Rafik Guitane | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 38 | — |
| Alejandro Marqués | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 20 | 1 |
| Xeka | 21 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 1 |
| Gonçalo Costa | 11 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 1 |
| Martin Turk | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Longin Bimai | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan Montes | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pizzi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nodar Lominadze | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khayon Edwards | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Peixinho | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Casa Pia
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Sequeira | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 24 | — |
| João Goulart | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 37 | 2 |
| Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 1 |
| André Geraldes | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 33 | — |
| Gaizka Larrazabal | 76 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 32 | 2 |
| Rafael Brito | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 23 | 3 |
| Sebastián Pérez | 76 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 1 |
| Abdu Conté | 69 | 7.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 28 | 2 |
| Jérémy Livolant | 86 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 27 | 1 |
| Cassiano | 90 | 5.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 |
| Oluwakorede Osundina | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Dailon Rocha Livramento | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 |
| Pedro Rosas | 21 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Kevin Prieto | 14 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Iyad Mohamed | 14 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 3 |
| Joao Marques | 8 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Ivan Mandić | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Fonte | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Claudio Mendes | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Morais | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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