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DateCompetitionMarketMinimum estimate

← Previous daySunday, 27 September 2026Next day →

Probability or value? Probability describes how likely an outcome is. Value also considers its price. A high percentage alone does not make a good selection; estimates and odds can change.

About these probabilities and odds

Kickoff Edge combines recorded expected goals (xG) with opponent-adjusted team strengths. The xG model blends the recent xG signal and v3 equally, using up to ten previous matches per team, weighted toward recent performances. Both teams need at least five xG matches within six months. Where xG is unavailable, the labelled team-strength model remains in use, with recent-form fallback for limited competition history. Experimental recent-form fallbacks remain research only and are excluded from probability and value recommendation filters. Missing xG is never treated as zero. Competitive cup matches between verified domestic divisions also adjust team strength for the division gap, using earlier league appearances. The initial map covers 37 leagues in eight national pyramids; unknown or cross-country tiers are not guessed. All markets share one score distribution. These are pre-match estimates, not live forecasts or guaranteed outcomes. Historical testing showed lower overall error on the tested sample, but calibration and future performance remain under review. Odds show the highest stored price for each selection; bookmaker availability and prices can change. Additional xG and multi-source challengers are evaluated separately in the model observatory before public promotion. Bookmaker price movement is recorded from collection onwards; it does not reveal betting volume.

Over 2.5 goals

80 matching fixtures · 27 Sep

USA · Major League Soccer00:30 UK

Philadelphia Union4–2

Orlando City SC

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home63.5%Odds 1.56

Draw18.3%Odds 5.30

Away18.2%Odds 5.30

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

71.2%

1.28PinnacleSnapshot 26 Sep, 21:01 · Older than 24 hours

Shortening · 1.30 → 1.29 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.28 mean?

Potential return £128.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £28.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 78.1%. Displayed chance: 71.2%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	63.5%	1.56Pinnacle 26 Sep, 21:01
Draw	18.3%	5.30Betano 26 Sep, 21:01
Away win	18.2%	5.30Betano 26 Sep, 21:01
Over 0.5 goals	97.5%	1.02Betano 26 Sep, 21:01
Under 0.5 goals	2.5%	29.00Bet365 26 Sep, 21:01
Over 1.5 goals	88.2%	1.08Betano 26 Sep, 21:01
Under 1.5 goals	11.8%	10.00Bet365 26 Sep, 21:01
Over 2.5 goals	71.2%	1.28Pinnacle 26 Sep, 21:01
Under 2.5 goals	28.8%	4.10Betfair 26 Sep, 21:01
Over 3.5 goals	50.3%	1.70Betano 26 Sep, 21:01
Under 3.5 goals	49.7%	2.26Pinnacle 26 Sep, 21:01
Over 4.5 goals	31.0%	2.57Pinnacle 26 Sep, 21:01
Under 4.5 goals	69.0%	1.55Betano 26 Sep, 21:01
Both teams to score — Yes	65.1%	1.37Betano 26 Sep, 21:01
Both teams to score — No	34.9%	3.20BetVictor 26 Sep, 21:01
Home or draw	81.8%	1.19Betano 26 Sep, 21:01
Away or draw	36.5%	2.62Bet365 26 Sep, 21:01
Home or away	81.7%	1.18William Hill 26 Sep, 21:01
Home team to concede	71.3%	—
Away team to concede	91.2%	—

Calculated 27 Sep, 00:23 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

Netherlands · Eerste Divisie13:30 UK

De Graafschap1–0

Den Bosch

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home34.8%Odds 2.29

Draw21.7%Odds 4.33

Away43.5%Odds 2.82

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

70.2%

1.25PinnacleSnapshot 27 Sep, 13:00 · Older than 24 hours

Drifting · 1.27 → 1.28 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.25 mean?

Potential return £125.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £25.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 80.0%. Displayed chance: 70.2%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	34.8%	2.29Pinnacle 27 Sep, 13:00
Draw	21.7%	4.33BetVictor 27 Sep, 13:00
Away win	43.5%	2.821xBet 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 0.5 goals	97.3%	1.01Bet365 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 0.5 goals	2.7%	29.00Bet365 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 1.5 goals	87.7%	1.08Betano 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 1.5 goals	12.3%	10.00Bet365 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 2.5 goals	70.2%	1.25Pinnacle 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 2.5 goals	29.8%	4.20BetVictor 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 3.5 goals	49.0%	1.62Bet365 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 3.5 goals	51.0%	2.35Pinnacle 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 4.5 goals	29.8%	2.38Bet365 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 4.5 goals	70.2%	1.60Pinnacle 27 Sep, 13:00
Both teams to score — Yes	69.8%	1.25William Hill 27 Sep, 13:00
Both teams to score — No	30.2%	4.00Betfair 27 Sep, 13:00
Home or draw	56.5%	1.50Bet365 27 Sep, 13:00
Away or draw	65.2%	1.70Betano 27 Sep, 13:00
Home or away	78.3%	1.25Betano 27 Sep, 13:00
Home team to concede	85.3%	—
Away team to concede	81.8%	—

Calculated 27 Sep, 11:30 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

Germany · Regionalliga - West13:00 UK

Rot-weiss Oberhausen2–1

SV Rodinghausen

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home66.7%Odds 1.47

Draw17.9%Odds 4.47

Away15.4%Odds 5.97

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

67.9%

1.54PinnacleSnapshot 27 Sep, 13:00 · Older than 24 hours

Shortening · 1.58 → 1.55 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.54 mean?

Potential return £154.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £54.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 64.9%. Displayed chance: 67.9%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	66.7%	1.47Pinnacle 27 Sep, 13:00
Draw	17.9%	4.47Pinnacle 27 Sep, 13:00
Away win	15.4%	5.971xBet 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 0.5 goals	97.0%	1.011xBet 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 0.5 goals	3.0%	13.701xBet 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 1.5 goals	86.4%	1.17Betano 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 1.5 goals	13.6%	4.95Marathonbet 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 2.5 goals	67.9%	1.54Pinnacle 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 2.5 goals	32.1%	2.39Pinnacle 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 3.5 goals	46.3%	2.34Pinnacle 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 3.5 goals	53.7%	1.57Pinnacle 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 4.5 goals	27.4%	3.90Marathonbet 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 4.5 goals	72.6%	1.21Betano 27 Sep, 13:00
Both teams to score — Yes	60.3%	1.67William Hill 27 Sep, 13:00
Both teams to score — No	39.7%	2.121xBet 27 Sep, 13:00
Home or draw	84.6%	1.14William Hill 27 Sep, 13:00
Away or draw	33.3%	2.60Betano 27 Sep, 13:00
Home or away	82.1%	1.22William Hill 27 Sep, 13:00
Home team to concede	66.2%	—
Away team to concede	91.1%	—

Calculated 27 Sep, 12:38 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

Germany · Regionalliga - West14:00 UK

SG Wattenscheid 091–1

Bonner SC

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home32.9%Odds —

Draw22.2%Odds —

Away45.0%Odds —

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

67.3%

No stored odds for this selection.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	32.9%	—
Draw	22.2%	—
Away win	45.0%	—
Over 0.5 goals	96.9%	—
Under 0.5 goals	3.1%	—
Over 1.5 goals	86.1%	—
Under 1.5 goals	13.9%	—
Over 2.5 goals	67.3%	—
Under 2.5 goals	32.7%	—
Over 3.5 goals	45.6%	—
Under 3.5 goals	54.4%	—
Over 4.5 goals	26.8%	—
Under 4.5 goals	73.2%	—
Both teams to score — Yes	67.4%	—
Both teams to score — No	32.6%	—
Home or draw	55.0%	—
Away or draw	67.1%	—
Home or away	77.8%	—
Home team to concede	84.8%	—
Away team to concede	79.5%	—

Calculated 27 Sep, 13:43 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 115:00 UK

Mirandes1–0

Unionistas de Salamanca

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home59.9%Odds 1.50

Draw19.8%Odds 4.33

Away20.2%Odds 6.50

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

67.2%

1.80SBOSnapshot 27 Sep, 13:00 · Older than 24 hours

Drifting · 1.76 → 1.78 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.80 mean?

Potential return £180.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £80.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 55.6%. Displayed chance: 67.2%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	59.9%	1.50Betano 27 Sep, 13:00
Draw	19.8%	4.33Betfair 27 Sep, 13:00
Away win	20.2%	6.50Betfair 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 0.5 goals	96.9%	1.04Bet365 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 0.5 goals	3.1%	11.00BetVictor 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 1.5 goals	86.0%	1.24Betano 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 1.5 goals	14.0%	4.00Bet365 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 2.5 goals	67.2%	1.80SBO 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 2.5 goals	32.8%	2.05Bet365 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 3.5 goals	45.5%	2.91Pinnacle 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 3.5 goals	54.5%	1.40Bet365 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 4.5 goals	26.7%	5.75BetVictor 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 4.5 goals	73.3%	1.14Bet365 27 Sep, 13:00
Both teams to score — Yes	63.2%	1.91Bet365 27 Sep, 13:00
Both teams to score — No	36.8%	1.85William Hill 27 Sep, 13:00
Home or draw	79.8%	1.13Betano 27 Sep, 13:00
Away or draw	40.1%	2.70Betfair 27 Sep, 13:00
Home or away	80.2%	1.22William Hill 27 Sep, 13:00
Home team to concede	70.8%	—
Away team to concede	89.2%	—

Calculated 27 Sep, 14:49 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

USA · Major League Soccer00:30 UK

CF Montreal3–1

FC Cincinnati

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home37.6%Odds 2.83

Draw22.6%Odds 4.00

Away39.7%Odds 2.37

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

66.0%

1.50BetanoSnapshot 26 Sep, 21:01 · Older than 24 hours

Drifting · 1.44 → 1.45 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.50 mean?

Potential return £150.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £50.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 66.7%. Displayed chance: 66.0%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	37.6%	2.83Pinnacle 26 Sep, 21:01
Draw	22.6%	4.00Betfair 26 Sep, 21:01
Away win	39.7%	2.37Pinnacle 26 Sep, 21:01
Over 0.5 goals	96.7%	1.03Betano 26 Sep, 21:01
Under 0.5 goals	3.3%	19.00Bet365 26 Sep, 21:01
Over 1.5 goals	85.3%	1.16Betano 26 Sep, 21:01
Under 1.5 goals	14.7%	6.50Betfair 26 Sep, 21:01
Over 2.5 goals	66.0%	1.50Betano 26 Sep, 21:01
Under 2.5 goals	34.0%	2.88Betfair 26 Sep, 21:01
Over 3.5 goals	44.1%	2.20Betano 26 Sep, 21:01
Under 3.5 goals	55.9%	1.74Pinnacle 26 Sep, 21:01
Over 4.5 goals	25.6%	3.75Bet365 26 Sep, 21:01
Under 4.5 goals	74.4%	1.32Pinnacle 26 Sep, 21:01
Both teams to score — Yes	66.8%	1.42Betano 26 Sep, 21:01
Both teams to score — No	33.2%	2.88Betfair 26 Sep, 21:01
Home or draw	60.3%	1.65Betano 26 Sep, 21:01
Away or draw	62.4%	1.47Betano 26 Sep, 21:01
Home or away	77.4%	1.26Betano 26 Sep, 21:01
Home team to concede	82.2%	—
Away team to concede	81.3%	—

Calculated 27 Sep, 00:23 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

Germany · Regionalliga - Nord14:00 UK

Bremer SV0–3

Weiche Flensburg

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home18.2%Odds 4.49

Draw20.1%Odds 4.70

Away61.8%Odds 1.61

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

62.6%

1.40PinnacleSnapshot 27 Sep, 13:00 · Older than 24 hours

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 1.40 mean?

Potential return £140.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £40.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 71.4%. Displayed chance: 62.6%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	18.2%	4.491xBet 27 Sep, 13:00
Draw	20.1%	4.70Pinnacle 27 Sep, 13:00
Away win	61.8%	1.61Pinnacle 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 0.5 goals	96.0%	1.011xBet 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 0.5 goals	4.0%	17.501xBet 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 1.5 goals	83.2%	1.11Betano 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 1.5 goals	16.8%	6.05Marathonbet 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 2.5 goals	62.6%	1.40Pinnacle 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 2.5 goals	37.4%	2.85Pinnacle 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 3.5 goals	40.4%	2.04Pinnacle 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 3.5 goals	59.6%	1.77Pinnacle 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 4.5 goals	22.4%	3.14Marathonbet 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 4.5 goals	77.6%	1.31Betano 27 Sep, 13:00
Both teams to score — Yes	58.3%	1.45Betano 27 Sep, 13:00
Both teams to score — No	41.7%	2.62William Hill 27 Sep, 13:00
Home or draw	38.2%	2.25William Hill 27 Sep, 13:00
Away or draw	81.8%	1.20William Hill 27 Sep, 13:00
Home or away	79.9%	1.20William Hill 27 Sep, 13:00
Home team to concede	88.3%	—
Away team to concede	66.0%	—

Calculated 27 Sep, 13:43 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

USA · Major League Soccer01:30 UK

Seattle Sounders3–1

Minnesota United FC

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home43.6%Odds 2.12

Draw23.2%Odds 3.82

Away33.2%Odds 3.42

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

62.3%

1.57BetanoSnapshot 27 Sep, 01:00 · Older than 24 hours

Drifting · 1.55 → 1.57 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.57 mean?

Potential return £157.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £57.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 63.7%. Displayed chance: 62.3%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	43.6%	2.12Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Draw	23.2%	3.82Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Away win	33.2%	3.42Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 0.5 goals	96.0%	1.04Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 0.5 goals	4.0%	17.00Betfair 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 1.5 goals	83.0%	1.19Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 1.5 goals	17.0%	5.50Betfair 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 2.5 goals	62.3%	1.57Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 2.5 goals	37.7%	2.63Betfair 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 3.5 goals	40.0%	2.40Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 3.5 goals	60.0%	1.64Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 4.5 goals	22.2%	4.04Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 4.5 goals	77.8%	1.26Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Both teams to score — Yes	63.6%	1.50Bet365 27 Sep, 01:00
Both teams to score — No	36.4%	2.80Betfair 27 Sep, 01:00
Home or draw	66.8%	1.38Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Away or draw	56.4%	1.80Bet365 27 Sep, 01:00
Home or away	76.8%	1.28Bet365 27 Sep, 01:00
Home team to concede	77.4%	—
Away team to concede	82.2%	—

Calculated 27 Sep, 00:23 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

USA · Major League Soccer03:30 UK

San Jose Earthquakes3–1

Portland Timbers

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home42.9%Odds 2.00

Draw23.3%Odds 4.10

Away33.8%Odds 3.47

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

61.8%

1.38BetanoSnapshot 27 Sep, 01:00 · Older than 24 hours

Shortening · 1.40 → 1.38 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.38 mean?

Potential return £138.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £38.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 72.5%. Displayed chance: 61.8%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	42.9%	2.00Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Draw	23.3%	4.10Bet365 27 Sep, 01:00
Away win	33.8%	3.47Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 0.5 goals	95.9%	1.02Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 0.5 goals	4.1%	26.00Bet365 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 1.5 goals	82.8%	1.12Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 1.5 goals	17.2%	8.00Bet365 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 2.5 goals	61.8%	1.38Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 2.5 goals	38.2%	3.40Bet365 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 3.5 goals	39.5%	1.93Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 3.5 goals	60.5%	1.99Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 4.5 goals	21.8%	3.00Betfair 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 4.5 goals	78.2%	1.41Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Both teams to score — Yes	63.3%	1.35William Hill 27 Sep, 01:00
Both teams to score — No	36.7%	3.30Betfair 27 Sep, 01:00
Home or draw	66.2%	1.35William Hill 27 Sep, 01:00
Away or draw	57.1%	1.86SBO 27 Sep, 01:00
Home or away	76.7%	1.24Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Home team to concede	77.4%	—
Away team to concede	81.8%	—

Calculated 27 Sep, 02:35 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

USA · Major League Soccer03:30 UK

Vancouver Whitecaps3–3

DC United

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home74.7%Odds 1.28

Draw16.1%Odds 7.50

Away9.2%Odds 11.00

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

60.0%

1.40BetanoSnapshot 27 Sep, 01:00 · Older than 24 hours

Drifting · 1.39 → 1.40 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.40 mean?

Potential return £140.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £40.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 71.4%. Displayed chance: 60.0%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	74.7%	1.28Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Draw	16.1%	7.50Bet365 27 Sep, 01:00
Away win	9.2%	11.00Marathonbet 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 0.5 goals	95.5%	1.02Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 0.5 goals	4.5%	23.00Bet365 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 1.5 goals	81.6%	1.13Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 1.5 goals	18.4%	7.50BetVictor 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 2.5 goals	60.0%	1.40Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 2.5 goals	40.0%	3.23Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 3.5 goals	37.7%	1.99Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 3.5 goals	62.3%	1.90Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 4.5 goals	20.3%	3.28Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 4.5 goals	79.7%	1.37Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Both teams to score — Yes	46.3%	1.83Betfair 27 Sep, 01:00
Both teams to score — No	53.7%	2.00William Hill 27 Sep, 01:00
Home or draw	90.8%	1.07Bet365 27 Sep, 01:00
Away or draw	25.3%	4.20Betfair 27 Sep, 01:00
Home or away	83.9%	1.12William Hill 27 Sep, 01:00
Home team to concede	51.0%	—
Away team to concede	90.9%	—

Calculated 27 Sep, 02:35 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

USA · Major League Soccer02:30 UK

Real Salt Lake3–0

New England Revolution

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home20.4%Odds 2.22

Draw21.4%Odds 3.87

Away58.2%Odds 3.10

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

59.9%

1.57PinnacleSnapshot 27 Sep, 01:00 · Older than 24 hours

Shortening · 1.59 → 1.57 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.57 mean?

Potential return £157.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £57.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 63.7%. Displayed chance: 59.9%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	20.4%	2.22Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Draw	21.4%	3.87Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Away win	58.2%	3.10Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 0.5 goals	95.5%	1.04Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 0.5 goals	4.5%	17.00Betfair 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 1.5 goals	81.6%	1.19Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 1.5 goals	18.4%	5.50Betfair 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 2.5 goals	59.9%	1.57Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 2.5 goals	40.1%	2.50Betfair 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 3.5 goals	37.6%	2.40Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 3.5 goals	62.4%	1.62Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 4.5 goals	20.2%	4.20Betfair 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 4.5 goals	79.8%	1.25Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Both teams to score — Yes	57.7%	1.50William Hill 27 Sep, 01:00
Both teams to score — No	42.3%	2.63Betfair 27 Sep, 01:00
Home or draw	41.8%	1.40Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Away or draw	79.6%	1.70Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Home or away	78.6%	1.28Bet365 27 Sep, 01:00
Home team to concede	86.5%	—
Away team to concede	66.7%	—

Calculated 27 Sep, 01:30 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

USA · Major League Soccer00:30 UK

Charlotte0–1

Chicago Fire

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home52.2%Odds 2.25

Draw22.6%Odds 4.05

Away25.2%Odds 3.00

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

59.8%

1.45BetanoSnapshot 26 Sep, 21:01 · Older than 24 hours

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 1.45 mean?

Potential return £145.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £45.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 69.0%. Displayed chance: 59.8%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	52.2%	2.25Betano 26 Sep, 21:01
Draw	22.6%	4.05Pinnacle 26 Sep, 21:01
Away win	25.2%	3.00Bet365 26 Sep, 21:01
Over 0.5 goals	95.5%	1.03Betano 26 Sep, 21:01
Under 0.5 goals	4.5%	19.00Bet365 26 Sep, 21:01
Over 1.5 goals	81.5%	1.14Betano 26 Sep, 21:01
Under 1.5 goals	18.5%	6.50Betfair 26 Sep, 21:01
Over 2.5 goals	59.8%	1.45Betano 26 Sep, 21:01
Under 2.5 goals	40.2%	2.89Pinnacle 26 Sep, 21:01
Over 3.5 goals	37.4%	2.11SBO 26 Sep, 21:01
Under 3.5 goals	62.6%	1.81Pinnacle 26 Sep, 21:01
Over 4.5 goals	20.1%	3.40Pinnacle 26 Sep, 21:01
Under 4.5 goals	79.9%	1.34Pinnacle 26 Sep, 21:01
Both teams to score — Yes	59.8%	1.40Betfair 26 Sep, 21:01
Both teams to score — No	40.2%	3.00BetVictor 26 Sep, 21:01
Home or draw	74.8%	1.45Betano 26 Sep, 21:01
Away or draw	47.8%	1.67Bet365 26 Sep, 21:01
Home or away	77.4%	1.25William Hill 26 Sep, 21:01
Home team to concede	70.8%	—
Away team to concede	84.5%	—

Calculated 27 Sep, 00:23 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

USA · Major League Soccer01:30 UK

Nashville SC2–0

Toronto FC

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home70.0%Odds 1.40

Draw18.0%Odds 5.54

Away12.0%Odds 8.25

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

59.3%

1.47BetanoSnapshot 27 Sep, 01:00 · Older than 24 hours

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 1.47 mean?

Potential return £147.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £47.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 68.0%. Displayed chance: 59.3%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	70.0%	1.40William Hill 27 Sep, 01:00
Draw	18.0%	5.54Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Away win	12.0%	8.25Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 0.5 goals	95.4%	1.03Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 0.5 goals	4.6%	19.00Bet365 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 1.5 goals	81.2%	1.15Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 1.5 goals	18.8%	6.24Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 2.5 goals	59.3%	1.47Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 2.5 goals	40.7%	2.88Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 3.5 goals	36.9%	2.14SBO 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 3.5 goals	63.1%	1.78Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 4.5 goals	19.7%	3.59Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 4.5 goals	80.3%	1.33Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Both teams to score — Yes	50.0%	1.65Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Both teams to score — No	50.0%	2.25Betfair 27 Sep, 01:00
Home or draw	88.0%	1.11William Hill 27 Sep, 01:00
Away or draw	30.0%	3.15Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Home or away	82.0%	1.18William Hill 27 Sep, 01:00
Home team to concede	55.8%	—
Away team to concede	89.5%	—

Calculated 27 Sep, 00:23 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

Italy · Serie C - Girone C11:30 UK

Barletta1–4

Potenza

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home44.8%Odds 2.62

Draw24.0%Odds 3.42

Away31.1%Odds 2.56

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

57.3%

1.85Bet365Snapshot 27 Sep, 07:00 · Older than 24 hours

Shortening · 1.95 → 1.85 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.85 mean?

Potential return £185.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £85.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 54.1%. Displayed chance: 57.3%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	44.8%	2.62Pinnacle 27 Sep, 07:00
Draw	24.0%	3.42Marathonbet 27 Sep, 07:00
Away win	31.1%	2.56Pinnacle 27 Sep, 07:00
Over 0.5 goals	94.9%	1.06Betano 27 Sep, 07:00
Under 0.5 goals	5.1%	10.50BetVictor 27 Sep, 07:00
Over 1.5 goals	79.9%	1.27Betano 27 Sep, 07:00
Under 1.5 goals	20.1%	3.75Bet365 27 Sep, 07:00
Over 2.5 goals	57.3%	1.85Bet365 27 Sep, 07:00
Under 2.5 goals	42.7%	2.00Pinnacle 27 Sep, 07:00
Over 3.5 goals	34.9%	3.10BetVictor 27 Sep, 07:00
Under 3.5 goals	65.1%	1.37Betano 27 Sep, 07:00
Over 4.5 goals	18.2%	6.50BetVictor 27 Sep, 07:00
Under 4.5 goals	81.8%	1.14Betano 27 Sep, 07:00
Both teams to score — Yes	59.5%	1.67Bet365 27 Sep, 07:00
Both teams to score — No	40.5%	2.15William Hill 27 Sep, 07:00
Home or draw	68.9%	1.50Betano 27 Sep, 07:00
Away or draw	55.2%	1.50Betano 27 Sep, 07:00
Home or away	76.0%	1.33William Hill 27 Sep, 07:00
Home team to concede	73.7%	—
Away team to concede	80.8%	—

Calculated 27 Sep, 10:24 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

Italy · Serie C - Girone A16:30 UK

Athletic Carpi0–3

Arzignano Valchiampo

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home39.7%Odds 2.83

Draw25.0%Odds 3.10

Away35.3%Odds 2.54

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

54.1%

2.16PinnacleSnapshot 27 Sep, 14:31 · Older than 24 hours

Shortening · 2.17 → 2.16 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 2.16 mean?

Potential return £216.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £116.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 46.3%. Displayed chance: 54.1%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	39.7%	2.83Pinnacle 27 Sep, 14:31
Draw	25.0%	3.10Betfair 27 Sep, 14:31
Away win	35.3%	2.54Pinnacle 27 Sep, 14:31
Over 0.5 goals	94.2%	1.08Betano 27 Sep, 14:31
Under 0.5 goals	5.8%	9.00Betfair 27 Sep, 14:31
Over 1.5 goals	77.6%	1.37Betano 27 Sep, 14:31
Under 1.5 goals	22.4%	3.02Pinnacle 27 Sep, 14:31
Over 2.5 goals	54.1%	2.16Pinnacle 27 Sep, 14:31
Under 2.5 goals	45.9%	1.67Pinnacle 27 Sep, 14:31
Over 3.5 goals	31.8%	4.10BetVictor 27 Sep, 14:31
Under 3.5 goals	68.2%	1.25Bet365 27 Sep, 14:31
Over 4.5 goals	15.9%	9.00BetVictor 27 Sep, 14:31
Under 4.5 goals	84.1%	1.09Betano 27 Sep, 14:31
Both teams to score — Yes	57.5%	1.83Bet365 27 Sep, 14:31
Both teams to score — No	42.5%	1.91Betfair 27 Sep, 14:31
Home or draw	64.7%	1.50Betano 27 Sep, 14:31
Away or draw	60.3%	1.44Betano 27 Sep, 14:31
Home or away	75.0%	1.35William Hill 27 Sep, 14:31
Home team to concede	74.7%	—
Away team to concede	77.0%	—

Calculated 27 Sep, 15:56 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

World · UEFA Nations League19:45 UK

Norway1–2

Portugal

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home—Odds 2.41

Draw—Odds 3.85

Away—Odds 2.85

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

—

1.54PinnacleSnapshot 27 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Shortening · 1.48 → 1.47 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.54 mean?

Potential return £154.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £54.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 64.9%. Displayed chance: —. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	—	2.41Marathonbet 27 Sep, 19:00
Draw	—	3.85Pinnacle 27 Sep, 19:00
Away win	—	2.85Pinnacle 27 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals	—	1.03Betano 27 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals	—	19.00Bet365 27 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals	—	1.16Betano 27 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals	—	6.00Bet365 27 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals	—	1.54Pinnacle 27 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals	—	2.65Betano 27 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals	—	2.33Pinnacle 27 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals	—	1.70Betano 27 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals	—	4.10BetVictor 27 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals	—	1.29Betano 27 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes	—	1.44Betano 27 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No	—	2.80Betfair 27 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw	—	1.47Marathonbet 27 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw	—	1.65Betano 27 Sep, 19:00
Home or away	—	1.30Marathonbet 27 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede	—	—
Away team to concede	—	—

Calculated 27 Sep, 19:29 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

USA · Major League Soccer01:30 UK

FC Dallas1–0

Los Angeles FC

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home46.2%Odds 2.22

Draw24.8%Odds 3.51

Away29.0%Odds 3.42

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

53.0%

1.93PinnacleSnapshot 27 Sep, 01:00 · Older than 24 hours

Drifting · 1.65 → 1.85 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.93 mean?

Potential return £193.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £93.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 51.8%. Displayed chance: 53.0%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	46.2%	2.22Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Draw	24.8%	3.51Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Away win	29.0%	3.42Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 0.5 goals	93.9%	1.06Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 0.5 goals	6.1%	12.00Bet365 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 1.5 goals	76.9%	1.28Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 1.5 goals	23.1%	3.92Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 2.5 goals	53.0%	1.93Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 2.5 goals	47.0%	2.00Bet365 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 3.5 goals	30.8%	3.30Betfair 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 3.5 goals	69.2%	1.40Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 4.5 goals	15.2%	7.00Betfair 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 4.5 goals	84.8%	1.15Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Both teams to score — Yes	55.9%	1.68Marathonbet 27 Sep, 01:00
Both teams to score — No	44.1%	2.15Betfair 27 Sep, 01:00
Home or draw	71.0%	1.36Bet365 27 Sep, 01:00
Away or draw	53.8%	1.71SBO 27 Sep, 01:00
Home or away	75.2%	1.31Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Home team to concede	70.2%	—
Away team to concede	79.6%	—

Calculated 27 Sep, 00:23 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

England · FA Trophy15:00 UK

Southall2–3

Carshalton Athletic

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home48.4%Odds —

Draw24.6%Odds —

Away27.1%Odds —

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

52.8%

No stored odds for this selection.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	48.4%	—
Draw	24.6%	—
Away win	27.1%	—
Over 0.5 goals	93.8%	—
Under 0.5 goals	6.2%	—
Over 1.5 goals	76.7%	—
Under 1.5 goals	23.3%	—
Over 2.5 goals	52.8%	—
Under 2.5 goals	47.2%	—
Over 3.5 goals	30.5%	—
Under 3.5 goals	69.5%	—
Over 4.5 goals	15.0%	—
Under 4.5 goals	85.0%	—
Both teams to score — Yes	55.1%	—
Both teams to score — No	44.9%	—
Home or draw	72.9%	—
Away or draw	51.6%	—
Home or away	75.4%	—
Home team to concede	68.6%	—
Away team to concede	80.4%	—

Calculated 27 Sep, 14:49 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

Germany · Regionalliga - Nordost13:00 UK

Erzgebirge Aue1–2

BSG Chemie Leipzig

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home50.1%Odds 1.53

Draw24.3%Odds 4.00

Away25.5%Odds 4.86

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

52.5%

1.55MarathonbetSnapshot 27 Sep, 13:00 · Older than 24 hours

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 1.55 mean?

Potential return £155.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £55.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 64.5%. Displayed chance: 52.5%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	50.1%	1.531xBet 27 Sep, 13:00
Draw	24.3%	4.00Marathonbet 27 Sep, 13:00
Away win	25.5%	4.861xBet 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 0.5 goals	93.8%	1.011xBet 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 0.5 goals	6.2%	13.401xBet 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 1.5 goals	76.5%	1.14Marathonbet 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 1.5 goals	23.5%	4.40Marathonbet 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 2.5 goals	52.5%	1.55Marathonbet 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 2.5 goals	47.5%	2.24Marathonbet 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 3.5 goals	30.3%	2.33Marathonbet 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 3.5 goals	69.7%	1.48Marathonbet 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 4.5 goals	14.9%	4.00Marathonbet 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 4.5 goals	85.1%	1.17Marathonbet 27 Sep, 13:00
Both teams to score — Yes	54.5%	1.61Marathonbet 27 Sep, 13:00
Both teams to score — No	45.5%	2.131xBet 27 Sep, 13:00
Home or draw	74.5%	1.10Marathonbet 27 Sep, 13:00
Away or draw	49.9%	2.18Marathonbet 27 Sep, 13:00
Home or away	75.7%	1.15Marathonbet 27 Sep, 13:00
Home team to concede	67.2%	—
Away team to concede	81.0%	—

Calculated 27 Sep, 12:38 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

Italy · Serie C - Girone B13:30 UK

Ostia Mare1–1

Forli

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home40.8%Odds 2.26

Draw25.5%Odds 3.44

Away33.7%Odds 3.02

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

51.8%

1.80Bet365Snapshot 27 Sep, 13:00 · Older than 24 hours

Drifting · 1.75 → 1.80 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.80 mean?

Potential return £180.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £80.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 55.6%. Displayed chance: 51.8%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	40.8%	2.26Pinnacle 27 Sep, 13:00
Draw	25.5%	3.44Pinnacle 27 Sep, 13:00
Away win	33.7%	3.02Pinnacle 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 0.5 goals	93.6%	1.05Bet365 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 0.5 goals	6.4%	10.801xBet 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 1.5 goals	76.0%	1.25Bet365 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 1.5 goals	24.0%	3.90BetVictor 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 2.5 goals	51.8%	1.80Bet365 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 2.5 goals	48.2%	2.05Pinnacle 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 3.5 goals	29.6%	3.00Bet365 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 3.5 goals	70.4%	1.39Betano 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 4.5 goals	14.4%	5.75BetVictor 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 4.5 goals	85.6%	1.15Betano 27 Sep, 13:00
Both teams to score — Yes	55.6%	1.62Bet365 27 Sep, 13:00
Both teams to score — No	44.4%	2.20William Hill 27 Sep, 13:00
Home or draw	66.3%	1.39Betano 27 Sep, 13:00
Away or draw	59.2%	1.65Betano 27 Sep, 13:00
Home or away	74.5%	1.30William Hill 27 Sep, 13:00
Home team to concede	72.6%	—
Away team to concede	76.6%	—

Calculated 27 Sep, 12:38 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

Italy · Serie C - Girone B19:30 UK

Pescara1–2

Spezia

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home22.1%Odds 2.90

Draw23.8%Odds 3.50

Away54.0%Odds 2.36

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

51.4%

1.75BetanoSnapshot 27 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Shortening · 1.78 → 1.75 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.75 mean?

Potential return £175.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £75.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 57.1%. Displayed chance: 51.4%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	22.1%	2.90Bet365 27 Sep, 19:00
Draw	23.8%	3.50Betfair 27 Sep, 19:00
Away win	54.0%	2.36Pinnacle 27 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals	93.5%	1.05Betano 27 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals	6.5%	11.301xBet 27 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals	75.7%	1.25Betano 27 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals	24.3%	4.33Bet365 27 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals	51.4%	1.75Betano 27 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals	48.6%	2.14Pinnacle 27 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals	29.2%	2.88Betfair 27 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals	70.8%	1.44Bet365 27 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals	14.2%	5.50Betfair 27 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals	85.8%	1.17Bet365 27 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes	52.2%	1.62Betano 27 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No	47.8%	2.30BetVictor 27 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw	46.0%	1.62Betano 27 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw	77.9%	1.42Betano 27 Sep, 19:00
Home or away	76.2%	1.30William Hill 27 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede	82.1%	—
Away team to concede	63.6%	—

Calculated 27 Sep, 18:17 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

Germany · Regionalliga - Nordost13:00 UK

Luckenwalde2–3

SV Babelsberg 03

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home25.2%Odds —

Draw24.6%Odds —

Away50.3%Odds —

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

51.2%

No stored odds for this selection.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	25.2%	—
Draw	24.6%	—
Away win	50.3%	—
Over 0.5 goals	93.4%	—
Under 0.5 goals	6.6%	—
Over 1.5 goals	75.5%	—
Under 1.5 goals	24.5%	—
Over 2.5 goals	51.2%	—
Under 2.5 goals	48.8%	—
Over 3.5 goals	29.1%	—
Under 3.5 goals	70.9%	—
Over 4.5 goals	14.0%	—
Under 4.5 goals	86.0%	—
Both teams to score — Yes	53.3%	—
Both teams to score — No	46.7%	—
Home or draw	49.7%	—
Away or draw	74.8%	—
Home or away	75.4%	—
Home team to concede	80.6%	—
Away team to concede	66.2%	—

Calculated 27 Sep, 12:38 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

USA · Major League Soccer01:30 UK

Houston Dynamo0–2

Sporting Kansas City

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home61.6%Odds 1.70

Draw22.0%Odds 4.35

Away16.4%Odds 5.10

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

51.0%

1.62PinnacleSnapshot 27 Sep, 01:00 · Older than 24 hours

Drifting · 1.61 → 1.62 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.62 mean?

Potential return £162.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £62.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 61.7%. Displayed chance: 51.0%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	61.6%	1.70Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Draw	22.0%	4.35Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Away win	16.4%	5.10Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 0.5 goals	93.4%	1.04Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 0.5 goals	6.6%	17.00Bet365 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 1.5 goals	75.4%	1.20Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 1.5 goals	24.6%	5.00Betfair 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 2.5 goals	51.0%	1.62Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 2.5 goals	49.0%	2.38Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 3.5 goals	28.9%	2.58Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 3.5 goals	71.1%	1.57Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 4.5 goals	13.9%	4.68Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 4.5 goals	86.1%	1.23Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Both teams to score — Yes	48.2%	1.67William Hill 27 Sep, 01:00
Both teams to score — No	51.8%	2.25Betfair 27 Sep, 01:00
Home or draw	83.6%	1.22Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Away or draw	38.4%	2.30Betfair 27 Sep, 01:00
Home or away	78.0%	1.22William Hill 27 Sep, 01:00
Home team to concede	57.0%	—
Away team to concede	84.6%	—

Calculated 27 Sep, 00:23 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

USA · Major League Soccer01:30 UK

Austin3–3

San Diego

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home44.7%Odds 2.69

Draw25.4%Odds 3.75

Away29.9%Odds 2.55

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

51.0%

1.62PinnacleSnapshot 27 Sep, 01:00 · Older than 24 hours

Drifting · 1.62 → 1.63 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.62 mean?

Potential return £162.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £62.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 61.7%. Displayed chance: 51.0%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	44.7%	2.69Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Draw	25.4%	3.75Bet365 27 Sep, 01:00
Away win	29.9%	2.55Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 0.5 goals	93.4%	1.04Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 0.5 goals	6.6%	15.00Bet365 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 1.5 goals	75.4%	1.20Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 1.5 goals	24.6%	5.02Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 2.5 goals	51.0%	1.62Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 2.5 goals	49.0%	2.38Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 3.5 goals	28.9%	2.52Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 3.5 goals	71.1%	1.57Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 4.5 goals	13.9%	4.50Betfair 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 4.5 goals	86.1%	1.24Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Both teams to score — Yes	54.5%	1.53Betfair 27 Sep, 01:00
Both teams to score — No	45.5%	2.55Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Home or draw	70.1%	1.55Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Away or draw	55.3%	1.50Bet365 27 Sep, 01:00
Home or away	74.6%	1.30William Hill 27 Sep, 01:00
Home team to concede	69.7%	—
Away team to concede	78.1%	—

Calculated 27 Sep, 00:23 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

Italy · Serie C - Girone A19:30 UK

Albinoleffe1–1

Alcione

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home46.0%Odds 2.29

Draw25.3%Odds 3.10

Away28.6%Odds 3.33

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

50.5%

2.30PinnacleSnapshot 27 Sep, 19:00 · Older than 24 hours

Drifting · 2.27 → 2.30 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 2.30 mean?

Potential return £230.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £130.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 43.5%. Displayed chance: 50.5%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	46.0%	2.29Pinnacle 27 Sep, 19:00
Draw	25.3%	3.10Marathonbet 27 Sep, 19:00
Away win	28.6%	3.33Pinnacle 27 Sep, 19:00
Over 0.5 goals	93.2%	1.09Betano 27 Sep, 19:00
Under 0.5 goals	6.8%	8.10Marathonbet 27 Sep, 19:00
Over 1.5 goals	75.0%	1.40Pinnacle 27 Sep, 19:00
Under 1.5 goals	25.0%	2.88Betfair 27 Sep, 19:00
Over 2.5 goals	50.5%	2.30Pinnacle 27 Sep, 19:00
Under 2.5 goals	49.5%	1.62Pinnacle 27 Sep, 19:00
Over 3.5 goals	28.4%	4.40BetVictor 27 Sep, 19:00
Under 3.5 goals	71.6%	1.23Betano 27 Sep, 19:00
Over 4.5 goals	13.6%	9.00BetVictor 27 Sep, 19:00
Under 4.5 goals	86.4%	1.08Betano 27 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — Yes	53.8%	1.91William Hill 27 Sep, 19:00
Both teams to score — No	46.2%	1.85Betfair 27 Sep, 19:00
Home or draw	71.4%	1.34Betano 27 Sep, 19:00
Away or draw	54.0%	1.65William Hill 27 Sep, 19:00
Home or away	74.7%	1.35William Hill 27 Sep, 19:00
Home team to concede	68.6%	—
Away team to concede	78.5%	—

Calculated 27 Sep, 19:29 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

USA · Major League Soccer00:30 UK

Atlanta United FC2–2

New York City FC

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home39.3%Odds 2.55

Draw25.9%Odds 3.75

Away34.8%Odds 2.72

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

50.3%

1.67PinnacleSnapshot 26 Sep, 21:01 · Older than 24 hours

Shortening · 1.69 → 1.67 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.67 mean?

Potential return £167.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £67.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 59.9%. Displayed chance: 50.3%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	39.3%	2.55Betfair 26 Sep, 21:01
Draw	25.9%	3.75Betano 26 Sep, 21:01
Away win	34.8%	2.72Pinnacle 26 Sep, 21:01
Over 0.5 goals	93.2%	1.04Betano 26 Sep, 21:01
Under 0.5 goals	6.8%	15.00Bet365 26 Sep, 21:01
Over 1.5 goals	74.9%	1.22Betano 26 Sep, 21:01
Under 1.5 goals	25.1%	4.79Pinnacle 26 Sep, 21:01
Over 2.5 goals	50.3%	1.67Pinnacle 26 Sep, 21:01
Under 2.5 goals	49.7%	2.30Pinnacle 26 Sep, 21:01
Over 3.5 goals	28.3%	2.70Betfair 26 Sep, 21:01
Under 3.5 goals	71.7%	1.53Betano 26 Sep, 21:01
Over 4.5 goals	13.5%	5.00Betfair 26 Sep, 21:01
Under 4.5 goals	86.5%	1.21Betano 26 Sep, 21:01
Both teams to score — Yes	54.6%	1.55William Hill 26 Sep, 21:01
Both teams to score — No	45.4%	2.45Betfair 26 Sep, 21:01
Home or draw	65.2%	1.52Betano 26 Sep, 21:01
Away or draw	60.7%	1.53Bet365 26 Sep, 21:01
Home or away	74.1%	1.30William Hill 26 Sep, 21:01
Home team to concede	72.6%	—
Away team to concede	75.1%	—

Calculated 27 Sep, 00:23 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

Italy · Serie C - Girone B16:30 UK

Perugia1–0

Reggiana

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home21.1%Odds 3.73

Draw23.9%Odds 3.26

Away55.0%Odds 2.10

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

50.1%

2.15Bet365Snapshot 27 Sep, 13:00 · Older than 24 hours

Drifting · 2.10 → 2.15 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 2.15 mean?

Potential return £215.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £115.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 46.5%. Displayed chance: 50.1%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	21.1%	3.73Pinnacle 27 Sep, 13:00
Draw	23.9%	3.26Pinnacle 27 Sep, 13:00
Away win	55.0%	2.10Bet365 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 0.5 goals	93.1%	1.08Betano 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 0.5 goals	6.9%	9.00BetVictor 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 1.5 goals	74.7%	1.36Betfair 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 1.5 goals	25.3%	3.10Betfair 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 2.5 goals	50.1%	2.15Bet365 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 2.5 goals	49.9%	1.70Pinnacle 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 3.5 goals	28.1%	4.10Betfair 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 3.5 goals	71.9%	1.26Betano 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 4.5 goals	13.4%	8.50BetVictor 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 4.5 goals	86.6%	1.09Betano 27 Sep, 13:00
Both teams to score — Yes	50.7%	1.91Bet365 27 Sep, 13:00
Both teams to score — No	49.3%	1.87Betfair 27 Sep, 13:00
Home or draw	45.0%	1.73Betfair 27 Sep, 13:00
Away or draw	78.9%	1.31Betano 27 Sep, 13:00
Home or away	76.1%	1.33William Hill 27 Sep, 13:00
Home team to concede	82.0%	—
Away team to concede	61.8%	—

Calculated 27 Sep, 15:56 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

USA · Major League Soccer03:30 UK

Los Angeles Galaxy3–2

Colorado Rapids

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home37.6%Odds 2.24

Draw26.2%Odds 3.91

Away36.2%Odds 3.02

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

48.9%

1.62PinnacleSnapshot 27 Sep, 01:00 · Older than 24 hours

Shortening · 1.64 → 1.62 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.62 mean?

Potential return £162.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £62.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 61.7%. Displayed chance: 48.9%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	37.6%	2.24Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Draw	26.2%	3.91Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Away win	36.2%	3.02Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 0.5 goals	92.8%	1.04Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 0.5 goals	7.2%	15.00Bet365 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 1.5 goals	73.8%	1.20Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 1.5 goals	26.2%	5.00Betfair 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 2.5 goals	48.9%	1.62Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 2.5 goals	51.1%	2.40Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 3.5 goals	27.0%	2.58Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 3.5 goals	73.0%	1.57Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Over 4.5 goals	12.7%	4.60Pinnacle 27 Sep, 01:00
Under 4.5 goals	87.3%	1.23Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Both teams to score — Yes	53.5%	1.53William Hill 27 Sep, 01:00
Both teams to score — No	46.5%	2.50Betfair 27 Sep, 01:00
Home or draw	63.8%	1.42Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Away or draw	62.4%	1.70Betano 27 Sep, 01:00
Home or away	73.8%	1.25William Hill 27 Sep, 01:00
Home team to concede	72.7%	—
Away team to concede	73.5%	—

Calculated 27 Sep, 02:35 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

Spain · Segunda División13:00 UK

Valladolid3–1

Cordoba

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home31.2%Odds 2.40

Draw26.0%Odds 3.50

Away42.7%Odds 3.12

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

48.6%

1.991xBetSnapshot 27 Sep, 13:00 · Older than 24 hours

Shortening · 1.79 → 1.77 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.99 mean?

Potential return £199.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £99.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 50.3%. Displayed chance: 48.6%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	31.2%	2.40Pinnacle 27 Sep, 13:00
Draw	26.0%	3.50Bet365 27 Sep, 13:00
Away win	42.7%	3.12Pinnacle 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 0.5 goals	92.7%	1.07Betano 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 0.5 goals	7.3%	13.00Bet365 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 1.5 goals	73.6%	1.311xBet 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 1.5 goals	26.4%	4.00Bet365 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 2.5 goals	48.6%	1.991xBet 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 2.5 goals	51.4%	2.00Bet365 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 3.5 goals	26.8%	3.371xBet 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 3.5 goals	73.2%	1.40Bet365 27 Sep, 13:00
Over 4.5 goals	12.5%	7.00BetVictor 27 Sep, 13:00
Under 4.5 goals	87.5%	1.14Pinnacle 27 Sep, 13:00
Both teams to score — Yes	52.9%	1.781xBet 27 Sep, 13:00
Both teams to score — No	47.1%	2.15Marathonbet 27 Sep, 13:00
Home or draw	57.3%	1.40Bet365 27 Sep, 13:00
Away or draw	68.8%	1.60Betano 27 Sep, 13:00
Home or away	74.0%	1.33William Hill 27 Sep, 13:00
Home team to concede	76.1%	—
Away team to concede	69.5%	—

Calculated 27 Sep, 11:30 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →

Italy · Serie C - Girone C11:30 UK

Casertana1–2

Catania

Match Finished

Match research · stored prices and team context

Home48.4%Odds 2.94

Draw25.5%Odds 3.20

Away26.1%Odds 2.45

Selected market · estimated chanceOver 2.5 goals

48.3%

2.15Bet365Snapshot 27 Sep, 07:00 · Older than 24 hours

Shortening · 2.20 → 2.15 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 2.15 mean?

Potential return £215.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £115.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 46.5%. Displayed chance: 48.3%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +

Market	Estimate	Stored odds
Home win	48.4%	2.94Pinnacle 27 Sep, 07:00
Draw	25.5%	3.20BetVictor 27 Sep, 07:00
Away win	26.1%	2.45Bet365 27 Sep, 07:00
Over 0.5 goals	92.6%	1.08Betano 27 Sep, 07:00
Under 0.5 goals	7.4%	9.00Marathonbet 27 Sep, 07:00
Over 1.5 goals	73.3%	1.37Betano 27 Sep, 07:00
Under 1.5 goals	26.7%	3.16Pinnacle 27 Sep, 07:00
Over 2.5 goals	48.3%	2.15Bet365 27 Sep, 07:00
Under 2.5 goals	51.7%	1.72Pinnacle 27 Sep, 07:00
Over 3.5 goals	26.5%	4.10Betfair 27 Sep, 07:00
Under 3.5 goals	73.5%	1.25Bet365 27 Sep, 07:00
Over 4.5 goals	12.3%	8.50BetVictor 27 Sep, 07:00
Under 4.5 goals	87.7%	1.09Betano 27 Sep, 07:00
Both teams to score — Yes	51.4%	1.91Bet365 27 Sep, 07:00
Both teams to score — No	48.6%	1.91Betfair 27 Sep, 07:00
Home or draw	73.9%	1.55Betano 27 Sep, 07:00
Away or draw	51.6%	1.40Betano 27 Sep, 07:00
Home or away	74.5%	1.34Betano 27 Sep, 07:00
Home team to concede	65.4%	—
Away team to concede	78.6%	—

Calculated 27 Sep, 10:24 UKMatch centre →

Research only · selections closedCapture history →Manual journal →