Iceland
3/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Iceland’s results
World Cup - Qualification EuropeGroup Stage - 7THE MATCH CENTREIceland vs Ukraine match centre
Full time
3:5
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. E. Ellertsson35′
A. Gudmundsson59′
A. Gudmundsson75′
R. Malinovskyi14′
O. Gutsulyak45′
R. Malinovskyi45′
I. Kaliuzhnyi85′
O. Ocheretko88′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
IcelandUkraine
1.110Expected goals · API-Football0.780
—Shots on target—
—Total Shots—
—Ball Possession—
—Corner Kicks—
—Fouls—
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
—Goalkeeper Saves—
—Total passes—
—Passes accurate—
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Iceland 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Ukraine 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Ukraine
4/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Ukraine’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Iceland
10 matchesResults3 wins · 1 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game1.9
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FranceAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe1–2AzerbaijanHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe5–0Northern IrelandAway · Friendlies0–1ScotlandAway · Friendlies3–1KosovoHome · UEFA Nations League1–3KosovoAway · UEFA Nations League1–2WalesAway · UEFA Nations League1–4MontenegroAway · UEFA Nations League2–0TürkiyeHome · UEFA Nations League2–4WalesHome · UEFA Nations League2–2
Ukraine
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
AzerbaijanAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe1–1FranceHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe0–2New ZealandAway · Friendlies2–1CanadaAway · Friendlies2–4BelgiumAway · UEFA Nations League0–3BelgiumHome · UEFA Nations League3–1AlbaniaAway · UEFA Nations League2–1GeorgiaAway · UEFA Nations League1–1CzechiaHome · UEFA Nations League1–1GeorgiaHome · UEFA Nations League1–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Iceland at home with Ukraine away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:48 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
World Cup - Qualification Europe · 2024/25 · all league matches
IcelandUkraine
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Iceland at home with Ukraine away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Iceland
Confirmed formationPending
- 1
E. OlafssonG - 4
V. PalssonD - 5
S. I. IngasonD - 3
D. L. Gretarsson - 23
M. E. EllertssonD - 11
J. ThorsteinssonM - 7
H. HaraldssonM - 8
I. JohannessonM - 10
A. GudmundssonM - 22
A. GudjohnsenF - 9
S. MagnussonF
Substitutes (12)
12 · H. R. Valdimarsson
13 · A. Einarsson
2 · L. Tomasson
6 · G. Thordarson
14 · T. J. Helgason
15 · B. Willumsson
16 · S. T. Thordarson
17 · A. Gunnarsson
18 · M. Anderson
19 · B. Bjarkason
20 · K. Hlynsson
21 · D. T. Gudjohnsen
Ukraine
Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Serhii Rebrov
- 12
A. TrubinG - 2
Y. KonoplyaD - 13
I. ZabarnyiD - 22
M. MatviienkoD - 16
V. MykolenkoD - 21
I. KaliuzhnyiM - 9
O. GutsulyakM - 8
R. MalinovskyiM - 10
M. ShaparenkoM - 17
G. SudakovM - 7
V. VanatF
Substitutes (12)
1 · G. Bushchan
23 · D. Riznyk
3 · B. Mykhaylichenko
4 · O. Svatok
5 · V. Bondar
6 · V. Brazhko
11 · A. Dovbyk
14 · O. Nazarenko
15 · O. Ocheretko
18 · A. Bondarenko
19 · N. Voloshyn
20 · V. Veleten
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Iceland
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elías Ólafsson | 90 | 5.5 | — | 0 | — | 28 | — |
| Victor Pálsson | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 65 | — |
| Sverrir Ingi Ingason | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 110 | 1 |
| Daníel Grétarsson | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 97 | — |
| Mikael Ellertsson | 86 | 6.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 2 |
| Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson | 69 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 27 | — |
| Hakon Arnar Haraldsson | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | 89 | — |
| Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson | 86 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 90 | 2 |
| Albert Guðmundsson | 90 | 8.7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 45 | — |
| Andri Guðjohnsen | 86 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | 21 | 1 |
| Sævar Atli Magnússon | 69 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 1 |
| Logi Tomasson | 21 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 16 | — |
| Kristian Hlynsson | 21 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Gisli Thordarson | 10 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 7 | — |
| Mikael Anderson | 10 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 2 | 1 |
| Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson | 10 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anton Ari Einarsson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Þórir Jóhann Helgason | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stefán Teitur Þórðarson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aron Gunnarsson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bjarki Steinn Bjarkason | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daníel Tristan Guðjohnsen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Ukraine
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anatoliy Trubin | 90 | 5.6 | — | 0 | — | 33 | — |
| Yukhym Konoplia | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 1 |
| Ilya Zabarnyi | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 36 | 1 |
| Mykola Matviyenko | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 47 | 1 |
| Vitaliy Mykolenko | 90 | 7.9 | — | 1 | — | 31 | 2 |
| Ivan Kalyuzhnyi | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 2 |
| Oleksii Hutsuliak | 87 | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 1 |
| Ruslan Malinovskyi | 87 | 7.9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 1 |
| Mykola Shaparenko | 70 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 1 |
| Georgiy Sudakov | 39 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Vladyslav Vanat | 70 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 17 | — |
| Nazar Voloshyn | 51 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 15 | — |
| Oleg Ocheretko | 20 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | — |
| Artem Dovbyk | 20 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Artem Bondarenko | 9 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1 |
| Vladyslav Veleten | 9 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Heorhiy Bushchan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dmytro Riznyk | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bogdan Mykhaylichenko | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oleksandr Svatok | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Valeriy Bondar | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Volodymyr Brazhko | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oleksandr Nazarenko | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2024/25 STANDINGS
League centre ↗World Cup - Qualification Europe table
Current standings · Group D. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  France | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 16 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Ukraine | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 | WLWWD |
| 3 | Iceland | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 7 | LWDLL |
| 4 |  Azerbaijan | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 1 | LLLLD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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