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Estonia vs Moldova match centre

Estonia badgeEstoniaHome · 4 in league
LLLDL
Momentum↓ Low8/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London
Moldova badgeMoldovaAway · 5 in league
LLLLL
Momentum↓ Low0/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
M. Kait12′
S. Bodisteanu64′
A. Le Coq Arena · TallinnSeason 2024/25Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
EstoniaMoldova
—Corner Kicks—
—Fouls—
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
—Goalkeeper Saves—
—Total passes—
—Passes accurate—

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Estonia 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Moldova 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Estonia

1/10Wins
0.6Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect Estonia’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Moldova

1/9Wins
0.7Goals / game
3.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Moldova’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Estonia at home with Moldova away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:48 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

World Cup - Qualification Europe · 2024/25 · all league matches

EstoniaMoldova
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Estonia at home with Moldova away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Estonia

Confirmed formationPending
  1. 1K. HeinG
  2. 19M. Schjonning-LarsenD
  3. 3M. PaskotsiD
  4. 18K. MetsD
  5. 23V. SinyavskiyD
  6. 9I. Yakovlev
  7. 8M. SoometsM
  8. 4M. KaitM
  9. 7R. SaarmaM
  10. 14P. KristalF
  11. 15R. SappinenF
Substitutes (12)

12 · M. Igonen

22 · H. Perk

2 · M. Kuusk

5 · R. R. Shein

6 · R. Peetson

10 · K. Palumets

11 · K. Mustmaa

13 · M. Paalberg

16 · J. Tamm

17 · M. Miller

20 · M. Vetkal

21 · A. Tamm

Moldova

Confirmed formation5-3-2Sergiu Cleşcenco
  1. 23A. Kozhukhar
  2. 16D. ForovD
  3. 14A. CraciunD
  4. 4V. BabogloD
  5. 6M. GherasimencovD
  6. 2O. ReabciukD
  7. 11M. CaimacovM
  8. 22V. RataM
  9. 18V. BogaciucM
  10. 21S. PerciunF
  11. 17V. PostolachiF
Substitutes (12)

1 · D. Celeadnic

12 · C. Avram

3 · M. Stefan

5 · I. Iovu

7 · V. Damascan

8 · I. Botnari

9 · A. Boiciuc

10 · S. Bodisteanu

13 · M. Lupan

15 · I. Bors

19 · D. Dumbravanu

20 · S. Platica

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Estonia

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Karl Hein906.6—0—43—
Michael Schjønning-Larsen907.2—0—581
Maksim Paskotsi907.0—01801
Karol Mets906.9—0—1101
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy907.3—0—481
Ioan Yakovlev906.3—0215—
Markus Soomets907.0—0—661
Mattias Käit857.7102351
Robi Saarma596.6—0291
Patrik Kristal596.9—01171
Rauno Sappinen826.6—01171
Rocco Robert Shein316.3—0—20—
Karel Mustmaa316.5—0—81
Alex Matthias Tamm86.3—0—1—
Marten-Chris Paalberg106.6—0—21
Matvei Igonen———————
Henri Perk———————
Märten Kuusk———————
Rasmus Peetson———————
Joonas Tamm———————
Martin Miller———————
Martin Vetkal———————
Kevor Palumets———————

Moldova

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Andrii Kozhukhar907.0—0—31—
Danila Forov816.9—01233
Artur Crăciun626.9—0—271
Vladyslav Babohlo906.9—0—331
Mihail Gherasimencov907.2—01481
Oleg Reabciuk906.6—01292
Mihail Caimacov457.0—0—112
Vadim Rață626.9—0—26—
Victor Bogaciuc456.7—0—171
Sergiu Perciun906.6—01211
Virgiliu Postolachi907.7—1325—
Ştefan Bodişteanu457.710218—
Mihai Lupan456.2—0—9—
Mihail Stefan286.9—0—6—
Ion Borș286.9—019—
Sergiu Plătică97.2—0161
Dumitru Celeadnic———————
Cristian Avram———————
Iurie Iovu———————
Daniel Dumbravanu———————
Ilie Botnari———————
Vitalie Damașcan———————
Alexandru Boiciuc———————
2024/25 STANDINGS

World Cup - Qualification Europe table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Group I. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Norway88003753224
WWWWW
2Italy86022112918
LWWWW
3Israel84041920-112
WLLLW
4Estonia8116821-134
LDLLL
5Moldova8017532-271
LLDLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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