Italy
6/10Wins
2.5Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Italy’s results
World Cup - Qualification EuropeGroup Stage - 8THE MATCH CENTREItaly vs Israel match centre
Full time
3:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Retegui45′ (pen)
M. Retegui74′
G. Mancini90′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
ItalyIsrael
3.260Expected goals · API-Football0.420
6Shots on target2
16Total Shots8
53%Ball Possession47%
4Corner Kicks3
16Fouls8
2Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves2
477Total passes443
415Passes accurate392
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Italy 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Israel 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Israel
5/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Israel’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Italy
10 matchesResults6 wins · 1 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game2.5
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
EstoniaAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe3–1IsraelAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe5–4EstoniaHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe5–0MoldovaHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe2–0NorwayAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe0–3GermanyAway · UEFA Nations League3–3GermanyHome · UEFA Nations League1–2FranceHome · UEFA Nations League1–3BelgiumAway · UEFA Nations League1–0IsraelHome · UEFA Nations League4–1
Israel
10 matchesResults5 wins · 1 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
NorwayAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe0–5ItalyHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe4–5MoldovaAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe4–0SlovakiaHome · Friendlies1–0EstoniaAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe3–1NorwayHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe2–4EstoniaHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe2–1BelgiumHome · UEFA Nations League1–0FranceAway · UEFA Nations League0–0ItalyAway · UEFA Nations League1–4
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Italy at home with Israel away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 00:26 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
World Cup - Qualification Europe · 2024/25 · all league matches
ItalyIsrael
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Italy at home with Israel away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Italy
Confirmed formation3-5-2Ivan Gennaro Gattuso
- 1
G. DonnarummaG - 22
G. Di LorenzoD - 23
G. ManciniD - 13
R. CalafioriD - 20
A. CambiasoM - 18
N. BarellaM - 5
M. LocatelliM - 8
S. TonaliM - 3
F. DimarcoM - 10
G. RaspadoriF - 9
M. ReteguiF
Substitutes (12)
12 · A. Meret
14 · G. Vicario
2 · M. Gabbia
4 · L. Spinazzola
6 · D. Udogie
7 · R. Orsolini
11 · R. Piccoli
15 · F. Esposito
16 · B. Cristante
17 · D. Frattesi
19 · N. Cambiaghi
21 · D. Coppola
Israel
Confirmed formation4-3-3Ran Ben Shimon
- 18
O. GlazerG - 2
E. DasaD - 5
O. BlorianD - 4
M. BaltaxaD - 3
R. RevivoD - 20
D. BitonM - 15
E. PeretzM - 11
O. GloukhM - 13
A. KhalailiF - 9
T. BariboF - 10
M. SolomonF
Substitutes (12)
1 · D. Peretz
23 · A. Tzur
6 · O. Gandelman
7 · Y. Shua
8 · E. Azoulay
12 · I. Noy
14 · G. Mizrahi
16 · M. Abu Fani
17 · D. Gropper
19 · D. Turgeman
21 · N. Stoioanov
22 · S. Turiel
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Italy
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianluigi Donnarumma | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 28 | — |
| Giovanni Di Lorenzo | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 66 | 1 |
| Gianluca Mancini | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 57 | — |
| Riccardo Calafiori | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 60 | 1 |
| Andrea Cambiaso | 85 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 41 | 3 |
| Nicolò Barella | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 52 | 7 |
| Manuel Locatelli | 86 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 60 | 1 |
| Sandro Tonali | 89 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 40 | 1 |
| Federico Dimarco | 90 | 7.5 | — | 1 | — | 33 | 1 |
| Giacomo Raspadori | 45 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 12 | — |
| Mateo Retegui | 89 | 9.2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 |
| Francesco Pio Esposito | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 |
| Leonardo Spinazzola | 10 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Bryan Cristante | 9 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Roberto Piccoli | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Nicolò Cambiaghi | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Alex Meret | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guglielmo Vicario | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matteo Gabbia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Destiny Udogie | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Coppola | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Riccardo Orsolini | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Davide Frattesi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Israel
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omri Glazer | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 54 | — |
| Eli Dasa | 89 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 27 | 1 |
| Or Blorian | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 45 | — |
| Matan Baltaxa | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 77 | 1 |
| Roy Revivo | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 1 |
| Dan Biton | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 53 | 1 |
| Eliel Peretz | 75 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 37 | 1 |
| Oscar Gloukh | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 47 | 1 |
| Anan Khalaili | 73 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 24 | 1 |
| Tai Baribo | 72 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 16 | — |
| Manor Solomon | 89 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 27 | — |
| Dor Turgeman | 18 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Stav Torial | 17 | 5.2 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Mohammad Abu Fani | 15 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | — |
| Guy Mizrahi | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Yarden Shua | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Daniel Peretz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Assaf Tsur | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Denny Gropper | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikita Stoinov | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Omri Gandelman | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ethane Azoulay | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Itamar Noy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2024/25 STANDINGS
League centre ↗World Cup - Qualification Europe table
Current standings · Group I. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Norway
Estonia
MoldovaTHE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST
Open practice slip +Try it with virtual funds
Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗
Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →