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Premier LeagueMatchweek 32
EnglandTHE MATCH CENTRE

Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa match centre

Nottingham Forest badgeNottingham ForestHome · 16 in league
LDLDW
Momentum↗ Rising39/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:1
UK timeStored 90-minute score.
Aston Villa badgeAston VillaAway · 4 in league
LWLWW
Momentum↗ Rising66/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Murillo23′ (og)
City Ground · NottinghamSeason 2025/26Back to matches
Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research Odds unavailable 90-minute estimates · prices may change.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

FULL TIME
Nottingham ForestAston Villa
7Corner Kicks3
15Fouls9
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
5Goalkeeper Saves4
320Total passes468
266Passes accurate415

— means unavailable.

Statistics snapshot: 303164 min old.

BEYOND THE SCORE

The quality of the chances.

See what the scoreline alone can’t tell you.

UNDERSTAT · RECORDED xG
Nottingham Forest0.85xG

1 goals +0.15 vs xG

CHANCE QUALITYxGFull-time analysis
Aston Villa1.36xG

1 goals -0.36 vs xG

38%Share of total xG · not a win probability62%

Read the performance, then the result. Compare each team’s goals with its xG to see whether the score matched the chances. Explore individual shots below when available.

Every chance has a story.

Bigger circles mean higher-quality chances. Ringed circles are goals.

Nottingham Forest Aston VillaBoth teams attack →
Aston Villa · John McGinn · 5′ · Missed Shots · 0.03 xGNottingham Forest · Morgan Gibbs-White · 7′ · Blocked Shot · 0.06 xGNottingham Forest · Neco Williams · 8′ · Saved Shot · 0.01 xGAston Villa · Victor Lindelöf · 20′ · Missed Shots · 0.07 xGNottingham Forest · Murillo · 23′ · Own Goal · 0.00 xGAston Villa · Morgan Rogers · 36′ · Shot On Post · 0.09 xGNottingham Forest · Neco Williams · 38′ · Goal · 0.02 xGNottingham Forest · Elliot Anderson · 40′ · Blocked Shot · 0.02 xGNottingham Forest · Neco Williams · 42′ · Saved Shot · 0.02 xGNottingham Forest · Murillo · 43′ · Missed Shots · 0.12 xGNottingham Forest · Morgan Gibbs-White · 44′ · Saved Shot · 0.04 xGNottingham Forest · Igor Jesus · 49′ · Missed Shots · 0.08 xGAston Villa · Youri Tielemans · 50′ · Missed Shots · 0.01 xGNottingham Forest · Igor Jesus · 53′ · Missed Shots · 0.04 xGAston Villa · Amadou Onana · 61′ · Saved Shot · 0.02 xGNottingham Forest · Morgan Gibbs-White · 62′ · Missed Shots · 0.11 xGAston Villa · John McGinn · 64′ · Saved Shot · 0.04 xGAston Villa · Ross Barkley · 66′ · Saved Shot · 0.03 xGAston Villa · Morgan Rogers · 66′ · Missed Shots · 0.46 xGNottingham Forest · Elliot Anderson · 67′ · Missed Shots · 0.02 xGNottingham Forest · Callum Hudson-Odoi · 70′ · Blocked Shot · 0.06 xGNottingham Forest · Chris Wood · 74′ · Missed Shots · 0.13 xGNottingham Forest · Neco Williams · 74′ · Blocked Shot · 0.04 xGNottingham Forest · Callum Hudson-Odoi · 77′ · Blocked Shot · 0.09 xGAston Villa · Ollie Watkins · 79′ · Missed Shots · 0.33 xGAston Villa · Ian Maatsen · 85′ · Saved Shot · 0.19 xGAston Villa · Matthew Cash · 86′ · Saved Shot · 0.02 xGAston Villa · Victor Lindelöf · 86′ · Missed Shots · 0.07 xG

28 recorded shots · select or tab to a circle · locations normalised to the same attacking direction

View recorded shots as a table 28 shots
Recorded shots · minute shown as elapsed minute + 1
MinuteTeam / playerOutcomexG
5′John McGinnAston VillaMissed Shots0.03
7′Morgan Gibbs-WhiteNottingham ForestBlocked Shot0.06
8′Neco WilliamsNottingham ForestSaved Shot0.01
20′Victor LindelöfAston VillaMissed Shots0.07
23′MurilloNottingham ForestOwn Goal0.00
36′Morgan RogersAston VillaShot On Post0.09
38′Neco WilliamsNottingham ForestGoal0.02
40′Elliot AndersonNottingham ForestBlocked Shot0.02
42′Neco WilliamsNottingham ForestSaved Shot0.02
43′MurilloNottingham ForestMissed Shots0.12
44′Morgan Gibbs-WhiteNottingham ForestSaved Shot0.04
49′Igor JesusNottingham ForestMissed Shots0.08
50′Youri TielemansAston VillaMissed Shots0.01
53′Igor JesusNottingham ForestMissed Shots0.04
61′Amadou OnanaAston VillaSaved Shot0.02
62′Morgan Gibbs-WhiteNottingham ForestMissed Shots0.11
64′John McGinnAston VillaSaved Shot0.04
66′Ross BarkleyAston VillaSaved Shot0.03
66′Morgan RogersAston VillaMissed Shots0.46
67′Elliot AndersonNottingham ForestMissed Shots0.02
70′Callum Hudson-OdoiNottingham ForestBlocked Shot0.06
74′Chris WoodNottingham ForestMissed Shots0.13
74′Neco WilliamsNottingham ForestBlocked Shot0.04
77′Callum Hudson-OdoiNottingham ForestBlocked Shot0.09
79′Ollie WatkinsAston VillaMissed Shots0.33
85′Ian MaatsenAston VillaSaved Shot0.19
86′Matthew CashAston VillaSaved Shot0.02
86′Victor LindelöfAston VillaMissed Shots0.07

Verified source record refreshed 22 Sep 2026, 19:04 UTC. Post-match data, not a live feed.

How to use expected goals

xG measures chance quality. A shot worth 0.20 xG would be scored about 20 times in 100 comparable attempts. Add the shots together to describe the chances a team created.

Compare the performance with the result. Goals above xG means the team scored more than its chance total; goals below xG means it scored less. It does not prove luck, predict the next result or guarantee a correction.

Keep the context. Penalties, red cards, game state and opponents matter. Use several matches and the home/away filter. xG share is a share of chance quality, not a win probability. Different data providers can calculate different xG values.

CHANCE QUALITY, IN CONTEXT.Understat post-match evidence · separate from Kickoff Edge’s predictions
MODEL OUTLOOK

Match forecast

Model estimate unavailable.

Goals & BTTS

90 minutes

Total goals · 2.5

Over—
Under—

Both teams to score

Yes—
No—

Model estimates unavailable

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Season form /10 · Ability /99 (EA FC 27) · Prev = previous season.

Nottingham Forest

Home0 listed

Availability report unavailable.

Aston Villa

Away0 listed

Availability report unavailable.

· Ability: EA FC 27 base ratings.

Season overview

Premier League · 2025/26

League season · all league matches

1.0Goals scored / match1.4
1.4Goals conceded / match1.2
8Clean sheets9
14Failed to score9
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions · previous 365 days.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Starting XIs

Season form /10 · Ability /99 (EA FC 27) · — unavailable.

Nottingham Forest

Formation4-2-3-1Vitor Pereira
  1. 26M. SelsForm 6.8Ability —G
  2. 34O. AinaForm 6.9Ability —D
  3. 31N. MilenkovicForm 6.8Ability 80D
  4. 5MurilloForm 7.0Ability 82D
  5. 3N. WilliamsForm 6.9Ability —D
  6. 6I. SangareForm 7.0Ability 78M
  7. 8E. AndersonForm 7.4Ability —M
  8. 21O. HutchinsonForm 6.8Ability —M
  9. 10M. Gibbs-WhiteForm 6.9Ability —M
  10. 7C. Hudson-OdoiForm 6.9Ability —M
  11. 19Igor JesusForm 6.6Ability 77F
Substitutes (9)

27 · S. OrtegaForm 7.0Ability —

11 · C. WoodForm 6.6Ability —

22 · R. YatesForm 6.7Ability —

29 · D. BakwaForm 6.6Ability 76

25 · L. NetzForm 6.7Ability 73

24 · J. McAteeForm 6.5Ability —

16 · N. DominguezForm 6.8Ability —

14 · D. NdoyeForm 6.6Ability —

4 · MoratoForm 7.0Ability 75

Aston Villa

Formation4-2-3-1Unai Emery
  1. 40M. BizotForm 6.5Ability 77G
  2. 2M. CashForm 6.8Ability —D
  3. 3V. LindelofForm 6.7Ability —D
  4. 14P. TorresForm 6.9Ability 81D
  5. 12L. DigneForm 6.8Ability 80D
  6. 24A. OnanaForm 7.0Ability —M
  7. 8Y. TielemansForm 7.2Ability —M
  8. 7J. McGinnForm 7.0Ability 83M
  9. 6R. BarkleyForm 6.8Ability 77M
  10. 27M. RogersForm 6.8Ability —M
  11. 11O. WatkinsForm 6.9Ability —F
Substitutes (9)

64 · J. WrightForm —Ability —

31 · L. BaileyForm 6.6Ability —

21 · Douglas LuizForm 7.0Ability 78

22 · I. MaatsenForm 6.6Ability —

26 · L. BogardeForm 6.6Ability —

18 · T. AbrahamForm 6.6Ability —

10 · E. BuendiaForm 6.9Ability —

4 · E. KonsaForm 7.0Ability —

16 · A. GarciaForm 6.5Ability 73

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Nottingham Forest

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Matz Sels957.2———28—
Ola Aina897.6———393
Nikola Milenković956.9———373
Murillo955.6——147—
Neco Williams958.21—3243
Ibrahim Sangaré956.9———324
Elliot Anderson956.9——1431
Omari Hutchinson656.3———21—
Morgan Gibbs-White846.3——222—
Callum Hudson-Odoi957.5—1—231
Igor Jesus896.3——213—
Chris Wood306.5——15—
Nicolás Domínguez116.3———1—
Dan Ndoye6——————
Ryan Yates6——————
Stefan Ortega———————
Morato———————
James McAtee———————
Luca Netz———————
Dilane Bakwa———————

Aston Villa

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Marco Bizot956.2———37—
Matty Cash916.5——142—
Victor Lindelöf956.5——2651
Pau Torres956.9———771
Lucas Digne786.7———374
Amadou Onana957.0——1512
Youri Tielemans957.2——1443
John McGinn957.3——235—
Ross Barkley777.2——1251
Morgan Rogers786.2——2332
Ollie Watkins876.0——115—
Douglas Luiz186.9———14—
Emiliano Buendía176.3———6—
Ian Maatsen176.9——15—
Tammy Abraham86.5—————
Andrés García4————1—
Ezri Konsa———————
Lamare Bogarde———————
Leon Bailey———————
James Wright———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Premier League table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Premier League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Arsenal38267571274485
WWWWW
2Manchester City38239677354278
LDWWD
3Manchester United382011769501971
WWDWW
4Aston Villa38198115649765
WWDLL
5Liverpool381791263531060
DLDLW
6Bournemouth38131875854457
DDWWD
7Sunderland381412124248-654
WWDDL
8Brighton381411135246653
LLWLW
9Brentford381411135552353
DDLWL
10Chelsea381410145852652
LWDLL
11Fulham38157164751-452
WDLLW
12Newcastle38147175355-249
LWDWL
13Everton381310154750-349
LLDDL
14Leeds381114134956-747
LWDWD
15Crystal Palace381112154151-1045
LDLDL
16Nottingham Forest381111164851-344
DLDWW
17Tottenham381011174857-941
WLDWW
18West Ham38109194665-1939
WLLLW
19Burnley38410243875-3722
DLDLL
20Wolves38311242768-4120
DDLDL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

Match-winner odds unavailable.

AT A GLANCE

Match details

Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 32
Venue
City Ground
Referee
Michael Salisbury, England
Kickoff
12 Apr · 14:00 UK
Match data by API-Football
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