Heracles
1/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
2.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Heracles’s results
EredivisieMatchweek 30THE MATCH CENTREHeracles vs Ajax match centre
90′ · Live
0:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Godts16′
S. Berghuis17′
S. Berghuis47′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.0%Heracles
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate100.0%Ajax
Another goal7.1%before full time
Next goal: Heracles 4.6% · no further goal 92.9% · Ajax 2.5%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.HeraclesAjax
1.250Expected goals · API-Football1.920
2Shots on target6
13Total Shots18
40%Ball Possession60%
6Corner Kicks5
10Fouls4
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
3Goalkeeper Saves2
299Total passes484
245Passes accurate420
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
EredivisieProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 33 | +52 | 81 | — |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 33 | +24 | 62 | — |
| 3 |  Ajax | 34 | +24 | 58 | ↑ 2 |
| 4 |  Twente | 33 | +23 | 58 | ↓ 1 |
| 5 |  NEC Nijmegen | 33 | +23 | 56 | ↓ 1 |
| 6 |  AZ Alkmaar | 33 | +7 | 51 | — |
| 7 |  Utrecht | 33 | +11 | 50 | — |
| 8 |  Heerenveen | 33 | +4 | 50 | — |
| 9 |  Groningen | 33 | +3 | 45 | — |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -21 | 43 | — |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -12 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 33 | +2 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 33 | -25 | 37 | — |
| 14 |  Excelsior | 33 | -14 | 35 | — |
| 15 |  Telstar | 33 | -7 | 34 | — |
| 16 |  FC Volendam | 33 | -19 | 32 | — |
| 17 |  NAC Breda | 33 | -23 | 28 | — |
| 18 | Heracles | 34 | -52 | 19 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Heracles 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Ajax 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Ajax
2/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Ajax’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Heracles
10 matchesResults1 wins · 2 draws · 7 losses
Goals scored per game0.8
Goals conceded per game2.6
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
HeerenveenAway · Eredivisie1–4ExcelsiorHome · Eredivisie1–1AZ AlkmaarAway · Eredivisie0–4UtrechtHome · Eredivisie0–0PSV EindhovenHome · Eredivisie1–3GO Ahead EaglesAway · Eredivisie0–4NAC BredaHome · Eredivisie0–1NEC NijmegenAway · Eredivisie1–4Fortuna SittardHome · Eredivisie2–1FeyenoordAway · Eredivisie2–4
Ajax
10 matchesResults2 wins · 5 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
TwenteHome · Eredivisie1–2FeyenoordAway · Eredivisie1–1Sparta RotterdamHome · Eredivisie4–0GroningenAway · Eredivisie1–3PEC ZwolleAway · Eredivisie0–0NEC NijmegenHome · Eredivisie1–1Fortuna SittardHome · Eredivisie4–1AZ AlkmaarAway · Eredivisie1–1ExcelsiorAway · Eredivisie2–2Olympiakos PiraeusHome · UEFA Champions League1–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Heracles at home with Ajax away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:38 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Eredivisie · 2025/26 · all league matches
HeraclesAjax
29Matches played29
19Points earned48
5Wins12
1.2Goals scored / match1.9
2.6Goals conceded / match1.3
2Clean sheets7
12Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Heracles at home with Ajax away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Heracles
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ernest Faber
- 22
R. PasveerG - 3
J. WieckhoffD - 4
D. MiraniD - 18
A. Van HoorenbeeckD - 24
I. MesikD - 10
T. BrunsM - 32
S. SchepermanM - 17
T. van GilstM - 8
M. EngelsM - 9
N. UnuvarM - 25
L. ZeefuikF
Substitutes (11)
30 · R. Mantel
16 · T. Jansink
73 · W. Ould Chikh
6 · S. Cestic
7 · B. Limbombe
20 · R. Bozinovski
5 · D. van der Kust
14 · E. Ahlstrand
19 · L. Kulenovic
21 · Y. Borges Sanches
39 · S. Blokhuis
Ajax
Confirmed formation4-3-3Oscar Garcia Junyent
- 26
M. PaesG - 3
A. GaaeiD - 37
J. SutaloD - 15
Y. BaasD - 2
L. RosaD - 10
O. GloukhM - 4
K. ItakuraM - 24
J. MokioM - 23
S. BerghuisF - 25
W. WeghorstF - 11
M. GodtsF
Substitutes (12)
62 · A. el Hani
52 · P. Reverson
9 · K. Dolberg
32 · T. Tomiyasu
5 · O. Wijndal
17 · O. Edvardsen
43 · R. Bounida
30 · A. Bouwman
48 · S. Steur
53 · M. van der Lans
7 · M. Carrizo
19 · D. Konadu
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Heracles
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remko Pasveer | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| Jannes Wieckhoff | 55 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 3 |
| Damon Mirani | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 43 | 2 |
| Alec Van Hoorenbeeck | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 49 | 1 |
| Ivan Mesík | 65 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 18 | 3 |
| Thomas Bruns | 45 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 4 |
| Sem Scheperman | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 3 |
| Tristan van Gilst | 55 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 1 |
| Mario Engels | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 10 | — |
| Naci Ünüvar | 54 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 10 | 2 |
| Lequincio Zeefuik | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 10 | — |
| Sava Arangel Čestić | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 4 | 25 | 2 |
| Luka Kulenović | 36 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Erik Ahlstrand | 35 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 1 |
| Djevencio van der Kust | 35 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 13 | 3 |
| Walid Ould-Chikh | 25 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 10 | — |
| Sil Blokhuis | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robin Mantel | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rhys Bozinovski | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yvandro Borges Sanches | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bryan Limbombe | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Timo Jansink | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Ajax
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maarten Paes | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 33 | — |
| Anton Gaaei | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 4 |
| Josip Šutalo | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 69 | 2 |
| Youri Baas | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 52 | 3 |
| Lucas Rosa | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 53 | 4 |
| Oscar Gloukh | 84 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 1 | 51 | 2 |
| Ko Itakura | 66 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 38 | 2 |
| Jorthy Mokio | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 3 | 35 | 7 |
| Steven Berghuis | 84 | 9.6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 40 | — |
| Wout Weghorst | 90 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 2 | 36 | 2 |
| Mika Godts | 87 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 37 | 1 |
| Takehiro Tomiyasu | 13 | 4.6 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 1 |
| Sean Steur | 13 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Oliver Edvardsen | 13 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Aaron Bouwman | 10 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Mylo van der Lans | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Owen Wijndal | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Don-Angelo Konadu | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aymean el Hani | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Reverson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rayane Bounida | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kasper Dolberg | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maher Carrizo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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