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League OneMatchweek 40THE MATCH CENTRE

Exeter City vs Leyton Orient match centre

Exeter City badgeExeter CityHome · 21 in league
LLLLL
Momentum↓ Low0/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
0:0
UK time · Europe/London
Leyton Orient badgeLeyton OrientAway · 20 in league
LWWWW
Momentum↗ Rising86/100OlderLatest
St James Park · ExeterSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research No stored odds · open the match for form and team context Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate3.6%Exeter City
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.9%Leyton Orient
Another goal7.7%before full time

Next goal: Exeter City 3.7% · no further goal 92.3% · Leyton Orient 4.0%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Exeter CityLeyton Orient
6Corner Kicks3
15Fouls7
1Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves2
272Total passes351
175Passes accurate269

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

League One: Regular season

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Lincoln46+48103—
2Cardiff46+4091—
3Stockport County46+1377—
4Bradford46+777—
5Bolton46+1875—
6Stevenage46+375—
7Luton46+1274—
8Plymouth46+1273—
9Huddersfield46+1067—
10Mansfield Town46+1265—
11Wycombe46+1163—
12Reading46+463—
13Blackpool46-1160—
14Doncaster46-1960—
15Barnsley46-559—
16Wigan46-956—
17Burton Albion46-1054—
18Peterborough46-453—
19Leyton Orient47-1253↑ 1
20AFC Wimbledon46-2153↓ 1
21Exeter City47-950—
22Port Vale46-2542—
23Rotherham46-3041—
24Northampton46-3535—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Exeter City 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Leyton Orient 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Exeter City

0/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
2.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect Exeter City’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Leyton Orient

5/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 9 available matches.

Inspect Leyton Orient’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Exeter City at home with Leyton Orient away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 09:52 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

League One · 2025/26 · all league matches

Exeter CityLeyton Orient
39Matches played38
42Points earned48
11Wins14
1.1Goals scored / match1.5
1.4Goals conceded / match1.7
11Clean sheets7
14Failed to score8

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Exeter City at home with Leyton Orient away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Exeter City

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Dan Green
  1. 23J. BycroftG
  2. 2J. McMillanD
  3. 26P. SweeneyD
  4. 20L. WoodhouseD
  5. 21D. AndrewD
  6. 45C. CumminsM
  7. 29K. McDonaldM
  8. 14I. NiskanenM
  9. 12R. ColeM
  10. 7C. MendesM
  11. 9J. WarehamF
Substitutes (7)

32 · F. Phillips

10 · J. Aitchison

6 · E. Brierley

19 · S. Cox

17 · A. Higgins

3 · R. Rydel

15 · J. Yfeko

Leyton Orient

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Richie Wellens
  1. 12W. DennisG
  2. 28S. ClareD
  3. 6W. ForresterD
  4. 4J. SimpsonD
  5. 3J. MorrisD
  6. 22A. AbdulaiM
  7. 15T. BakinsonM
  8. 44T. ArchibaldM
  9. 25C. WellensM
  10. 11D. MitchellM
  11. 32D. BallardF
Substitutes (7)

33 · K. Cahill

14 · M. Craig

16 · K. Casey

5 · D. Happe

8 · I. El Mizouni

7 · O. O'Neill

20 · S. Perkins

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Exeter City

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Jack Bycroft957.9———34—
Jack McMillan956.9———221
Pierce Sweeney957.2———362
Luca Woodhouse957.2———223
Danny Andrew467.5———11—
Charlie Cummins806.9——1201
Kevin McDonald617.0———182
Ilmari Niskanen956.3———224
Reece Cole806.3——3211
Carlos Mendes Gomes616.6———112
Jayden Wareham956.9——3281
Johnly Yfeko497.2———10—
Ethan Brierley346.7———13—
Akeel Higgins346.5——16—
Ryan Rydel156.3———1—
Jack Aitchison156.3———4—
Frankie Phillips———————
Sonny Cox———————

Leyton Orient

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Will Dennis957.2———27—
Sean Clare186.5———51
William Forrester957.7———483
Jack Simpson957.6———691
James Morris957.2———321
Azeem Abdulai456.3———11—
Tyreeq Bakinson956.9———353
Theodore Archibald957.3——3223
Charlie Wellens956.3——118—
Demetri Mitchell676.3——114—
Dominic Ballard956.6——2111
Michael Craig276.9———51
Daniel Happe507.0———291
Idris El Mizouni506.9———292
Ollie O'Neill286.9———8—
Killian Cahill———————
Kaelan Casey———————
Sonny Perkins———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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