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League OneMatchweek 40THE MATCH CENTRE

Northampton vs Barnsley match centre

Northampton badgeNorthamptonHome · 24 in league
LLLLL
Momentum↓ Low0/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
0:1
UK time · Europe/London
Barnsley badgeBarnsleyAway · 15 in league
DDLDL
Momentum↓ Low18/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
R. Cleary37′
Sixfields Stadium · NorthamptonSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research No stored odds · open the match for form and team context Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.1%Northampton
Draw3.9%at full time
Current result estimate96.0%Barnsley
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Northampton 4.1% · no further goal 91.9% · Barnsley 4.0%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
NorthamptonBarnsley
4Corner Kicks2
13Fouls10
1Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves1
300Total passes425
193Passes accurate318

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

League One: Regular season

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Lincoln46+48103—
2Cardiff46+4091—
3Stockport County46+1377—
4Bradford46+777—
5Bolton46+1875—
6Stevenage46+375—
7Luton46+1274—
8Plymouth46+1273—
9Huddersfield46+1067—
10Mansfield Town46+1265—
11Wycombe46+1163—
12Reading46+463—
13Barnsley47-462↑ 2
14Blackpool46-1160↓ 1
15Doncaster46-1960↓ 1
16Wigan46-956—
17Burton Albion46-1054—
18Peterborough46-453—
19AFC Wimbledon46-2153—
20Leyton Orient46-1252—
21Exeter City46-949—
22Port Vale46-2542—
23Rotherham46-3041—
24Northampton47-3635—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Northampton 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Barnsley 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Northampton

0/10Wins
0.7Goals / game
2.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 10 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 9 available matches.

Inspect Northampton’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Barnsley

1/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Barnsley’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Northampton at home with Barnsley away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 09:02 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

League One · 2025/26 · all league matches

NorthamptonBarnsley
44Matches played44
35Points earned56
9Wins14
0.8Goals scored / match1.5
1.6Goals conceded / match1.6
10Clean sheets3
18Failed to score12

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Northampton at home with Barnsley away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Northampton

Confirmed formation5-3-2Colin Calderwood
  1. 1L. BurgeG
  2. 12N. Guinness-WalkerD
  3. 3C. McCarthyD
  4. 35M. DycheD
  5. 5J. GuthrieD
  6. 26K. McAdamD
  7. 14T. FornahM
  8. 4D. CampbellM
  9. 8C. McGeehanM
  10. 15J. EvansF
  11. 7S. HoskinsF
Substitutes (7)

34 · R. Fitzsimons

9 · T. Eaves

11 · K. Swyer

17 · M. Jacobs

10 · E. List

27 · J. Vale

23 · T. Taylor

Barnsley

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Conor Hourihane
  1. 51K. Flavell
  2. 7C. O'KeeffeD
  3. 6M. de GevigneyD
  4. 15E. O'ConnellD
  5. 32J. EarlD
  6. 30J. BlandM
  7. 48L. ConnellM
  8. 22P. KellyM
  9. 10D. McGoldrickM
  10. 19R. ClearyM
  11. 9T. BradshawF
Substitutes (7)

1 · O. Goodman

18 · S. Banks

17 · G. Gent

5 · J. Shepherd

8 · A. Phillips

50 · K. Nwakali

39 · L. Farrell

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Northampton

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Lee Burge906.3—0—31—
Nesta Guinness-Walker907.3—01274
Conor McCarthy906.9—01242
Max Dyche906.5—0—45—
Jon Guthrie726.9—0—20—
Kyle McAdam907.2—01301
Tyrese Fornah906.3—0—311
Dean Campbell807.3—01473
Cameron McGeehan907.0—03252
Jake Evans906.5—01142
Sam Hoskins906.6—0215—
Elliot List186.9—013—
Tom Eaves106.3—0———
Ross Fitzsimons———————
Terry Taylor———————
Michael Jacobs———————
Jack Vale———————
Kamarai Swyer———————

Barnsley

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Kieran Flavell907.2—0—29—
Corey O'Keeffe846.9—0—381
Maël de Gevigney907.2—0—381
Eoghan O'Connell907.7—0—441
Josh Earl907.2—0—673
Jonathan Bland906.9—0—432
Luca Connell907.6—0—612
Patrick Kelly736.9—1—321
David McGoldrick906.6—02352
Reyes Cleary727.3102191
Tom Bradshaw456.6—024—
Adam Phillips456.3—0119—
Scott Banks187.0—01——
Leo Farrell176.3—0—2—
Kelechi Nwakali106.3—0—2—
Owen Goodman———————
Jack Shepherd———————
Georgie Gent———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerNorthamptonDrawBarnsley
Bet3652.803.902.15

Snapshot from 28 Apr 2026, 18:05 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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