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League OneMatchweek 43THE MATCH CENTRE

Rotherham vs Barnsley match centre

Rotherham badgeRotherhamHome · 23 in league
DLLDL
Momentum↓ Low12/100OlderLatest
65′ · Live
0:2
UK time · Europe/London
Barnsley badgeBarnsleyAway · 15 in league
DDLDL
Momentum↓ Low18/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
A. Phillips37′
T. Bradshaw64′
Aesseal New York Stadium · RotherhamSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

65′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.2%Rotherham
Draw2.1%at full time
Current result estimate97.7%Barnsley
Another goal42.5%before full time

Next goal: Rotherham 20.5% · no further goal 57.5% · Barnsley 22.0%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
RotherhamBarnsley
3Corner Kicks2
7Fouls6
0Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves2
322Total passes165
234Passes accurate87

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

League One: Regular season

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Lincoln46+48103—
2Cardiff46+4091—
3Stockport County46+1377—
4Bradford46+777—
5Bolton46+1875—
6Stevenage46+375—
7Luton46+1274—
8Plymouth46+1273—
9Huddersfield46+1067—
10Mansfield Town46+1265—
11Wycombe46+1163—
12Reading46+463—
13Barnsley47-362↑ 2
14Blackpool46-1160↓ 1
15Doncaster46-1960↓ 1
16Wigan46-956—
17Burton Albion46-1054—
18Peterborough46-453—
19AFC Wimbledon46-2153—
20Leyton Orient46-1252—
21Exeter City46-949—
22Port Vale46-2542—
23Rotherham47-3241—
24Northampton46-3535—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Rotherham 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Barnsley 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Rotherham

1/10Wins
0.4Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect Rotherham’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Barnsley

2/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Barnsley’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Rotherham at home with Barnsley away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 06:46 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

League One · 2025/26 · all league matches

RotherhamBarnsley
40Matches played39
37Points earned51
9Wins13
0.9Goals scored / match1.5
1.5Goals conceded / match1.6
9Clean sheets2
18Failed to score10

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Rotherham at home with Barnsley away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Rotherham

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Lee Clark
  1. 13T. CannG
  2. 15J. BaptisteD
  3. 18L. AgbaireD
  4. 3Z. JulesD
  5. 6R. JamesD
  6. 4L. KellyM
  7. 44D. GoreM
  8. 29G. BiancheriM
  9. 24H. GrayM
  10. 19J. BensonM
  11. 10S. NombeF
Substitutes (7)

50 · B. Childs

11 · A. Martha

20 · D. Watmore

2 · J. Rafferty

9 · J. Hugill

22 · D. Hall

51 · C. Lee

Barnsley

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Conor Hourihane
  1. 1O. GoodmanG
  2. 7C. O'KeeffeD
  3. 6M. de GevigneyD
  4. 15E. O'ConnellD
  5. 32J. EarlD
  6. 30J. BlandM
  7. 45V. YoganathanM
  8. 8A. PhillipsM
  9. 22P. KellyM
  10. 18S. BanksM
  11. 9T. BradshawF
Substitutes (7)

51 · K. Flavell

4 · M. Roberts

14 · N. Ogbeta

5 · J. Shepherd

27 · T. Watson

19 · R. Cleary

39 · L. Farrell

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Rotherham

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Ted Cann906.6—0—32—
Jamal Baptiste905.9—0—72—
Lenny Agbaire456.5—0—35—
Zak Jules907.2—0172—
Reece James906.2—0—542
Liam Kelly586.5—0—301
Daniel Gore906.6—0—643
Gabriele Biancheri456.3—02131
Harry Gray906.3—0218—
Josh Benson666.3—0—291
Sam Nombe908.3101211
ArJany Martha455.9—0113—
Denzel Hall456.7—0—282
Duncan Watmore326.7—0—18—
Jordan Hugill246.7—0—6—
Cohen Lee———————
Ben Childs———————
Joe Rafferty———————

Barnsley

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Owen Goodman906.5—0—27—
Corey O'Keeffe906.2—0119—
Maël de Gevigney906.5—01181
Eoghan O'Connell905.7—0—221
Josh Earl787.2—0—214
Jonathan Bland907.2—11332
Vimal Yoganathan907.0—0—246
Adam Phillips787.911324—
Patrick Kelly896.9—1—252
Scott Banks697.0—0—131
Tom Bradshaw897.620318—
Reyes Cleary216.7—0—41
Jack Shepherd126.3—0—4—
Tennai Watson126.3—0—4—
Leo Farrell96.5—0—2—
Marc Roberts96.3—0—1—
Nathanael Ogbeta———————
Kieran Flavell———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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