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League OneMatchweek 43THE MATCH CENTRE

Stockport County vs Port Vale match centre

Stockport County badgeStockport CountyHome · 3 in league
WDLWD
Momentum↗ Rising51/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
1:2
UK time · Europe/London
Port Vale badgePort ValeAway · 22 in league
DLWLL
Momentum↘ Falling25/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
O. Bailey86′
M. Sherif4′
J. Lawrence-Gabriel23′
Edgeley Park · StockportSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.1%Stockport County
Draw4.0%at full time
Current result estimate95.9%Port Vale
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Stockport County 4.1% · no further goal 91.9% · Port Vale 4.0%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Stockport CountyPort Vale
7Corner Kicks1
13Fouls10
2Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves1
570Total passes295
477Passes accurate207

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

League One: Regular season

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Lincoln46+48103—
2Cardiff46+4091—
3Stockport County47+1277—
4Bradford46+777—
5Bolton46+1875—
6Stevenage46+375—
7Luton46+1274—
8Plymouth46+1273—
9Huddersfield46+1067—
10Mansfield Town46+1265—
11Wycombe46+1163—
12Reading46+463—
13Blackpool46-1160—
14Doncaster46-1960—
15Barnsley46-559—
16Wigan46-956—
17Burton Albion46-1054—
18Peterborough46-453—
19AFC Wimbledon46-2153—
20Leyton Orient46-1252—
21Exeter City46-949—
22Port Vale47-2445—
23Rotherham46-3041—
24Northampton46-3535—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Stockport County 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Port Vale 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Port Vale

2/10Wins
0.5Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Port Vale’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Stockport County at home with Port Vale away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 04:51 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

League One · 2025/26 · all league matches

Stockport CountyPort Vale
44Matches played44
74Points earned39
21Wins9
1.6Goals scored / match0.8
1.3Goals conceded / match1.3
12Clean sheets13
8Failed to score23

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Stockport County at home with Port Vale away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Stockport County

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Dave Challinor
  1. 34C. AddaiG
  2. 48C. GardnerD
  3. 19K. WoottonD
  4. 15E. PyeD
  5. 23B. OsbornD
  6. 26O. NorwoodM
  7. 27O. BaileyM
  8. 7J. DiamondM
  9. 28J. StokesM
  10. 11M. MothersilleM
  11. 29A. SidibehF
Substitutes (7)

1 · B. Hinchliffe

14 · T. Edun

4 · L. Bate

9 · T. Olaofe

20 · L. Barry

22 · B. Andresson

45 · C. Grogan

Port Vale

Confirmed formation3-4-3Jon Brady
  1. 46J. GauciG
  2. 6J. Lawrence-GabrielD
  3. 35T. MagloireD
  4. 25C. HumphreysD
  5. 28G. WardM
  6. 12R. WaltersM
  7. 8B. GarrityM
  8. 15L. GordonM
  9. 33G. HallF
  10. 21M. Sherif
  11. 19B. WaineF
Substitutes (7)

13 · B. Amos

50 · O. Hernandez

11 · E. Archer

18 · R. Croasdale

4 · B. Heneghan

7 · G. Byers

23 · J. Shorrock

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Stockport County

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Corey Addai906.6—0—37—
Che Gardner456.3—0—275
Kyle Wootton906.9—01554
Ethan Pye907.0—0—714
Ben Osborn907.3—0—722
Oliver Norwood908.3—1—1162
Odin Bailey907.9102403
Jack Diamond656.9—03211
Josh Stokes456.5—0—16—
Malik Mothersille456.0—0—111
Adama Sidibeh656.7—0110—
Tayo Edun457.0—0—391
Christy Grogan456.7—0—28—
Louie Barry456.3—0118—
Lewis Bate256.9—0123—
Benoný Breki Andrésson256.2—013—
Ben Hinchliffe———————
Isaac Olaofe———————

Port Vale

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Joe Gauci906.3—0—36—
Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel907.510118—
Tyler Magloire906.6—0—21—
Cameron Humphreys906.6—0—32—
Grant Ward766.6—0—422
Rhys Walters897.0—01232
Ben Garrity906.9—0130—
Liam Gordon907.2—0—363
George Hall456.9—1161
Martin Sherif897.010110—
Ben Waine457.0—1—142
Ethon Archer457.2—03192
Onel Hernandez456.6—0—9—
Ben Heneghan146.6—0—1—
George Byers1——0—1—
Ryan Croasdale1——0—2—
Ben Amos———————
Jack Shorrock———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerStockport CountyDrawPort Vale
Bet3651.335.257.00

Snapshot from 28 Apr 2026, 18:05 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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