Chelsea
2/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Chelsea’s results
FA CupQuarter-finalsTHE MATCH CENTREChelsea vs Port Vale match centre
90′ · Live
7:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Hato2′
Joao Pedro25′
J. Lawrence-Gabriel42′ (og)
T. Adarabioyo57′
Andrey Santos69′
Estevao82′
A. Garnacho90+2′ (pen)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate100.0%Chelsea
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Port Vale
Another goal8.0%before full time
Next goal: Chelsea 5.1% · no further goal 92.0% · Port Vale 2.9%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.ChelseaPort Vale
4.130Expected goals · API-Football0.070
10Shots on target0
19Total Shots4
77%Ball Possession23%
8Corner Kicks2
9Fouls9
0Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves5
664Total passes198
617Passes accurate135
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
Quarter-finalsChelsea 7–0 Port Vale
→Current progressionChelsea
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Chelsea 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Port Vale 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Port Vale
3/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Port Vale’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Chelsea
10 matchesResults2 wins · 3 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
EvertonAway · Premier League0–3Paris Saint GermainHome · UEFA Champions League0–3NewcastleHome · Premier League0–1Paris Saint GermainAway · UEFA Champions League2–5WrexhamAway · FA Cup2–2Aston VillaAway · Premier League4–1ArsenalAway · Premier League1–2BurnleyHome · Premier League1–1Hull CityAway · FA Cup4–0LeedsHome · Premier League2–2
Port Vale
10 matchesResults3 wins · 3 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game0.8
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Chelsea at home with Port Vale away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 07:39 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
FA Cup · 2025/26 · all league matches
ChelseaPort Vale
3Matches played5
9Points earned15
3Wins5
4.3Goals scored / match1.8
1.0Goals conceded / match0.2
1Clean sheets4
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Chelsea at home with Port Vale away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Chelsea
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Liam Rosenior
- 1
R. SanchezG - 27
M. GustoD - 29
W. FofanaD - 4
T. AdarabioyoD - 21
J. HatoD - 45
R. LaviaM - 17
Andrey SantosM - 7
P. NetoM - 10
C. PalmerM - 41
EstêvãoM - 20
Joao PedroF
Substitutes (9)
28 · T. Sharman-Lowe
49 · A. Garnacho
19 · M. Sarr
3 · M. Cucurella
9 · L. Delap
25 · M. Caicedo
14 · D. Essugo
34 · J. Acheampong
76 · R. Kavuma McQueen
Port Vale
Confirmed formation5-4-1Jon Brady
- 46
J. GauciG - 6
J. Lawrence-GabrielD - 24
Kyle JohnD - 25
C. HumphreysD - 5
C. HallD - 15
L. GordonD - 8
B. GarrityM - 12
R. WaltersM - 14
F. OjoM - 19
B. WaineM - 21
M. Sherif
Substitutes (9)
13 · B. Amos
9 · J. Stockley
33 · G. Hall
11 · E. Archer
45 · A. Gray
18 · R. Croasdale
35 · T. Magloire
26 · J. Shipley
27 · E. Campbell
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Chelsea
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Sánchez | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 30 | — |
| Malo Gusto | 85 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 1 | 71 | — |
| Wesley Fofana | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 98 | — |
| Tosin Adarabioyo | 90 | 8.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 98 | — |
| Jorrel Hato | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 61 | — |
| Roméo Lavia | 78 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 76 | 2 |
| Andrey Santos | 90 | 8.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 87 | 4 |
| Pedro Neto | 61 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 1 | 47 | — |
| Cole Palmer | 62 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 3 | 37 | — |
| Estêvão | 90 | 8.5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 1 |
| João Pedro | 61 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | — |
| Liam Delap | 29 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Alejandro Garnacho | 29 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | — |
| Dário Essugo | 28 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Ryan Kavuma-McQueen | 12 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Josh Acheampong | 8 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Marc Cucurella | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Teddy Sharman-Lowe | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Moisés Caicedo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mamadou Sarr | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Port Vale
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Gauci | 90 | 5.3 | — | 0 | — | 27 | — |
| Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel | 90 | 4.2 | — | 0 | — | 10 | 2 |
| Kyle John | 85 | 5.0 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 1 |
| Cameron Humphreys | 90 | 5.7 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 2 |
| Connor Hall | 90 | 4.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 30 | 2 |
| Liam Gordon | 65 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 |
| Ben Garrity | 74 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 3 |
| Rhys Walters | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 22 | 1 |
| Funso Ojo | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 2 |
| Martin Sherif | 65 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Ben Waine | 65 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 1 |
| Elijah Campbell | 25 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| George Hall | 25 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 2 | 1 |
| Andre Gray | 25 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Ethon Archer | 16 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Tyler Magloire | 8 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Jordan Shipley | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Croasdale | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ben Amos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jayden Stockley | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗FA Cup table
Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Standings are not available for this competition and season.
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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