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League OneMatchweek 44THE MATCH CENTRE

Exeter City vs Stockport County match centre

Exeter City badgeExeter CityHome · 21 in league
LLDLW
Momentum↗ Rising32/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:3
UK time · Europe/London
Stockport County badgeStockport CountyAway · 3 in league
WWDLW
Momentum↘ Falling64/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
R. Cole35′
T. Tuterov70′
M. Mothersille9′
J. Stokes29′
O. Bailey77′
St James Park · ExeterSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.1%Exeter City
Draw3.5%at full time
Current result estimate96.4%Stockport County
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Exeter City 3.7% · no further goal 91.9% · Stockport County 4.4%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Exeter CityStockport County
2Corner Kicks6
8Fouls5
0Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
8Goalkeeper Saves3
294Total passes569
189Passes accurate466

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

League One: Regular season

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Lincoln46+48103—
2Cardiff46+4091—
3Stockport County47+1480—
4Bradford46+777—
5Bolton46+1875—
6Stevenage46+375—
7Luton46+1274—
8Plymouth46+1273—
9Huddersfield46+1067—
10Mansfield Town46+1265—
11Wycombe46+1163—
12Reading46+463—
13Blackpool46-1160—
14Doncaster46-1960—
15Barnsley46-559—
16Wigan46-956—
17Burton Albion46-1054—
18Peterborough46-453—
19AFC Wimbledon46-2153—
20Leyton Orient46-1252—
21Exeter City47-1049—
22Port Vale46-2542—
23Rotherham46-3041—
24Northampton46-3535—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Exeter City 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Stockport County 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Exeter City

1/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 9 available matches.

Inspect Exeter City’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Stockport County

5/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Stockport County’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Exeter City at home with Stockport County away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:55 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

League One · 2025/26 · all league matches

Exeter CityStockport County
43Matches played41
47Points earned70
12Wins20
1.1Goals scored / match1.5
1.3Goals conceded / match1.2
13Clean sheets12
16Failed to score7

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Exeter City at home with Stockport County away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Exeter City

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Dan Green
  1. 23Jack BycroftG
  2. 2Jack McMillanD
  3. 40Edward JamesD
  4. 26Pierce SweeneyD
  5. 21Danny AndrewD
  6. 45Charlie CumminsM
  7. 29Kevin McDonaldM
  8. 14Ilmari NiskanenM
  9. 12Reece ColeM
  10. 7Carlos Mendes GomesM
  11. 9Jayden WarehamF
Substitutes (7)

32 · Frankie Phillips

20 · Luca Woodhouse

28 · Timur Tutierov

6 · Ethan Brierley

17 · Akeel Higgins

10 · Jack Aitchison

27 · Josh Magennis

Stockport County

Confirmed formation4-2-2-2Dave Challinor
  1. 34Corey AddaiG
  2. 12Roman DixonD
  3. 19Kyle WoottonD
  4. 15Ethan PyeD
  5. 14Adetayo EdunD
  6. 26Oliver NorwoodM
  7. 23Ben OsbornM
  8. 7Jack DiamondM
  9. 11Malik MothersilleM
  10. 28Josh StokesF
  11. 29Adama SidibehF
Substitutes (7)

1 · Ben Hinchliffe

45 · Christy Grogan

27 · Odin Bailey

18 · Lewis Fiorini

4 · Lewis Bate

20 · Louie Barry

9 · Isaac Olaofe

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Exeter City

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Jack Bycroft908.210140—
Jack McMillan906.2—0—315
Edward James757.7—0—20—
Pierce Sweeney906.5—01371
Danny Andrew906.9—1—231
Charlie Cummins757.0—01153
Kevin McDonald566.6—0—181
Ilmari Niskanen907.2—1—326
Reece Cole757.510123—
Carlos Mendes Gomes626.5—0—16—
Jayden Wareham906.6—03112
Ethan Brierley347.0—01141
Timur Tutierov287.51025—
Luca Woodhouse156.5—019—
Jack Aitchison156.7—0—71
Josh Magennis156.9—0—6—
Frankie Phillips———————
Akeel Higgins———————

Stockport County

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Corey Addai907.6—0—49—
Roman Dixon906.7—0—303
Kyle Wootton906.9—0—682
Ethan Pye906.9—0—991
Adetayo Edun456.6—0132—
Oliver Norwood907.0—0—882
Ben Osborn906.9—0—682
Jack Diamond896.6—02251
Malik Mothersille607.511323—
Josh Stokes717.6103222
Adama Sidibeh606.7—01101
Odin Bailey456.910129—
Louie Barry306.7—02131
Isaac Olaofe306.6—02131
Lewis Fiorini196.5—0—9—
Lewis Bate1——0—1—
Ben Hinchliffe———————
Christy Grogan———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerExeter CityDrawStockport County
Bet3653.253.502.05

Snapshot from 17 Apr 2026, 18:26 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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