Paris Saint Germain
7/10Wins
2.4Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Paris Saint Germain’s results
Ligue 1Matchweek 26THE MATCH CENTREParis Saint Germain vs Nantes match centre
90′ · Live
3:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
K. Kvaratskhelia13′ (pen)
D. Doue37′
K. Kvaratskhelia50′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate100.0%Paris Saint Germain
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Nantes
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Paris Saint Germain 4.2% · no further goal 91.9% · Nantes 3.9%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Paris Saint GermainNantes
2.16Expected goals · API-Football0.82
6Shots on target3
14Total Shots10
71%Ball Possession29%
7Corner Kicks6
10Fouls6
2Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves3
706Total passes282
637Passes accurate221
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Ligue 1 Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 35 | +48 | 79 | — |
| 2 |  Lens | 34 | +31 | 70 | — |
| 3 |  Lille | 34 | +15 | 61 | — |
| 4 |  Lyon | 34 | +13 | 60 | — |
| 5 |  Marseille | 34 | +18 | 59 | — |
| 6 |  Rennes | 34 | +9 | 59 | — |
| 7 |  Monaco | 34 | +6 | 54 | — |
| 8 |  Strasbourg | 34 | +11 | 53 | — |
| 9 |  Lorient | 34 | -3 | 45 | — |
| 10 |  Toulouse | 33 | +1 | 44 | — |
| 11 |  Paris FC | 34 | -3 | 44 | — |
| 12 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 34 | -12 | 39 | — |
| 13 |  Angers | 34 | -19 | 36 | — |
| 14 |  Le Havre | 34 | -12 | 35 | — |
| 15 |  Auxerre | 34 | -10 | 34 | — |
| 16 |  Nice | 34 | -23 | 32 | — |
| 17 |  Nantes | 34 | -26 | 23 | — |
| 18 |  Metz | 34 | -44 | 17 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Paris Saint Germain 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Nantes 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Nantes
1/10Wins
0.7Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Nantes’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Paris Saint Germain
10 matchesResults7 wins · 1 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.4
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
LyonHome · Ligue 11–2LiverpoolAway · UEFA Champions League2–0LiverpoolHome · UEFA Champions League2–0ToulouseHome · Ligue 13–1NiceAway · Ligue 14–0ChelseaAway · UEFA Champions League3–0ChelseaHome · UEFA Champions League5–2MonacoHome · Ligue 11–3Le HavreAway · Ligue 11–0MonacoHome · UEFA Champions League2–2
Nantes
10 matchesResults1 wins · 3 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game0.7
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Paris Saint Germain at home with Nantes away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 5 Oct, 17:30 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Ligue 1 · 2025/26 · all league matches
Paris Saint GermainNantes
28Matches played29
63Points earned20
20Wins4
2.2Goals scored / match0.9
0.9Goals conceded / match1.6
14Clean sheets6
2Failed to score12
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Paris Saint Germain at home with Nantes away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Paris Saint Germain
Confirmed formation4-3-3Enrique Luis
- 39
M. SafonovG - 2
A. HakimiD - 5
MarquinhosD - 6
I. ZabarnyiD - 33
W. Zaire-EmeryD - 87
J. NevesM - 4
L. BeraldoM - 27
D. FernandezM - 14
D. DoueF - 10
O. DembeleF - 7
K. KvaratskheliaF
Substitutes (9)
30 · L. Chevalier
8 · F. Ruiz
9 · G. Ramos
24 · S. Mayulu
21 · L. Hernandez
19 · Lee Kang-In
51 · W. Pacho
29 · B. Barcola
49 · I. Mbaye
Nantes
Confirmed formation5-3-2Vahid Halilhodzic
- 1
A. LopesG - 22
M. AcapandieD - 24
F. GuilbertD - 2
Ali YoussefD - 3
N. CozzaD - 27
D. MachadoD - 8
J. LepenantM - 28
I. SissokoM - 66
L. LerouxM - 31
Mostafa MohamedF - 10
M. AblineF
Substitutes (9)
30 · P. Carlgren
19 · Y. El Arabi
72 · S. Doucoure
52 · B. Deuff
26 · U. Radakovic
6 · C. Awaziem
37 · I. Ganago
17 · D. Tabibou
11 · B. Guirassy
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Paris Saint Germain
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matvey Safonov | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Achraf Hakimi | 60 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 53 | 1 |
| Marquinhos | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 80 | — |
| Ilya Zabarnyi | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 84 | — |
| Warren Zaïre-Emery | 60 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 73 | 2 |
| João Neves | 60 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 41 | — |
| Lucas Beraldo | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 51 | 2 |
| Dro Fernández | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 53 | 4 |
| Désiré Doué | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 61 | 2 |
| Ousmane Dembélé | 65 | 7.9 | — | 1 | 2 | 42 | — |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 65 | 9.3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 50 | 1 |
| Lucas Hernandez | 30 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 43 | — |
| Fabián Ruiz | 30 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 41 | — |
| Senny Mayulu | 30 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 24 | — |
| Bradley Barcola | 25 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 10 | — |
| Ibrahim Mbaye | 25 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 1 |
| Lucas Chevalier | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Willian Pacho | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kang-in Lee | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Ramos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nantes
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Lopes | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Mathieu Acapandié | 79 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 20 | — |
| Frederic Guilbert | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 19 | — |
| Ali Youssef | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 2 |
| Nicolas Cozza | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 1 |
| Deiver Machado | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 1 |
| Johann Lepenant | 73 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 35 | 1 |
| Ibrahima Sissoko | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 32 | 2 |
| Louis Leroux | 65 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 1 |
| Mostafa Mohamed | 65 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 13 | 1 |
| Matthis Abline | 80 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 3 | 13 | — |
| Dehmaine Tabibou | 25 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Ignatius Ganago | 25 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Bahmed Deuff | 17 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 |
| Chidozie Awaziem | 11 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Youssef El Arabi | 10 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Patrik Carlgren | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sékou Doucoure | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Uros Radakovic | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bahereba Guirassy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Paris Saint Germain | Draw | Nantes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.18 | 7.50 | 13.00 |
Snapshot from 21 Apr 2026, 18:16 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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