Paris Saint Germain
8/10Wins
2.9Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Paris Saint Germain’s results
Ligue 1Matchweek 32THE MATCH CENTREParis Saint Germain vs Lorient match centre
90′ · Live
2:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
I. Mbaye6′
W. Zaire-Emery62′
P. Pagis12′
A. Tosin78′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate4.5%Paris Saint Germain
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.0%Lorient
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Paris Saint Germain 4.6% · no further goal 92.3% · Lorient 3.1%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Paris Saint GermainLorient
1.990Expected goals · API-Football0.790
6Shots on target3
24Total Shots5
68%Ball Possession32%
12Corner Kicks2
9Fouls7
1Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves4
602Total passes288
552Passes accurate232
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Ligue 1 Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 35 | +45 | 77 | — |
| 2 |  Lens | 34 | +31 | 70 | — |
| 3 |  Lille | 34 | +15 | 61 | — |
| 4 |  Lyon | 34 | +13 | 60 | — |
| 5 |  Marseille | 34 | +18 | 59 | — |
| 6 |  Rennes | 34 | +9 | 59 | — |
| 7 |  Monaco | 34 | +6 | 54 | — |
| 8 |  Strasbourg | 34 | +11 | 53 | — |
| 9 |  Lorient | 35 | -3 | 46 | — |
| 10 |  Toulouse | 33 | +1 | 44 | — |
| 11 |  Paris FC | 34 | -3 | 44 | — |
| 12 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 34 | -12 | 39 | — |
| 13 |  Angers | 34 | -19 | 36 | — |
| 14 |  Le Havre | 34 | -12 | 35 | — |
| 15 |  Auxerre | 34 | -10 | 34 | — |
| 16 |  Nice | 34 | -23 | 32 | — |
| 17 |  Nantes | 33 | -23 | 23 | — |
| 18 |  Metz | 34 | -44 | 17 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Paris Saint Germain 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Lorient 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Lorient
2/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Lorient’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Paris Saint Germain
10 matchesResults8 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.9
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Bayern MünchenHome · UEFA Champions League5–4AngersAway · Ligue 13–0LyonHome · Ligue 11–2LiverpoolAway · UEFA Champions League2–0LiverpoolHome · UEFA Champions League2–0ToulouseHome · Ligue 13–1NiceAway · Ligue 14–0ChelseaAway · UEFA Champions League3–0ChelseaHome · UEFA Champions League5–2MonacoHome · Ligue 11–3
Lorient
10 matchesResults2 wins · 5 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Paris Saint Germain at home with Lorient away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:48 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Ligue 1 · 2025/26 · all league matches
Paris Saint GermainLorient
30Matches played30
69Points earned41
22Wins10
2.3Goals scored / match1.3
0.9Goals conceded / match1.5
16Clean sheets6
2Failed to score9
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Paris Saint Germain at home with Lorient away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Paris Saint Germain
Confirmed formation4-3-3Enrique Luis
- 89
R. MarinG - 24
S. MayuluD - 4
L. BeraldoD - 51
W. PachoD - 21
L. HernandezD - 19
Lee Kang-InM - 8
F. RuizM - 27
D. FernandezM - 49
I. MbayeF - 14
D. DoueF - 29
B. BarcolaF
Substitutes (9)
80 · B. Laurendon
5 · Marquinhos
10 · O. Dembele
87 · J. Neves
33 · W. Zaire-Emery
7 · K. Kvaratskhelia
53 · T. Cordier
57 · P. Mounguengue
55 · S. Coulibaly
Lorient
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Olivier Pantaloni
- 38
Y. MvogoG - 32
N. AdjeiD - 3
M. TalbiD - 25
A. FayeD - 77
P. KatserisM - 6
L. AbergelM - 8
N. CadiouM - 43
A. KouassiM - 62
A. AvomF - 10
P. PagisF - 12
B. DiengF
Substitutes (9)
21 · B. Kamara
2 · Igor Silva
29 · D. Karim
17 · J. Makengo
15 · A. Tosin
95 · I. Toure
44 · D. Yongwa
9 · M. Bamba
28 · S. Soumano
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Paris Saint Germain
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renato Marin | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Senny Mayulu | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 4 | 48 | 1 |
| Lucas Beraldo | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 89 | 1 |
| Willian Pacho | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 63 | — |
| Lucas Hernández | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 69 | 3 |
| Kang-in Lee | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 65 | 1 |
| Fabián Ruiz | 61 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 69 | — |
| Dro Fernández | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 30 | 2 |
| Ibrahim Mbaye | 62 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | — |
| Désiré Doué | 75 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 3 | 35 | 2 |
| Bradley Barcola | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 38 | 3 |
| Warren Zaïre-Emery | 29 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | — |
| João Neves | 28 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 39 | — |
| Pierre Mounguengue | 15 | 5.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Bilal Laurendon | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marquinhos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samba Coulibaly | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thomas Cordier | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ousmane Dembélé | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Lorient
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yvon Mvogo | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 51 | — |
| Nathaniel Adjei | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 2 |
| Montassar Talbi | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 34 | 1 |
| Abdoulaye Faye | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 35 | 2 |
| Panos Katseris | 80 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 4 |
| Laurent Abergel | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| Noah Cadiou | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| Arsène Kouassi | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 1 |
| Arthur Avom Ebong | 73 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 1 |
| Pablo Pagis | 72 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | — |
| Ahmadou Bamba Dieng | 72 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Aiyegun Tosin | 18 | 8.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | — | — |
| Karim Dermane | 18 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Jean Victor Makengo | 17 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Darlin Yongwa | 10 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Bingourou Kamara | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Igor Silva | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Souleymane Isaak Touré | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Bamba | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sambou Soumano | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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