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Ligue 1Matchweek 34THE MATCH CENTRE

Nice vs Metz match centre

Nice badgeNiceHome · 16 in league
LLDDW
Momentum↗ Rising40/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
0:0
UK time · Europe/London
Metz badgeMetzAway · 18 in league
LLDDL
Momentum↓ Low14/100OlderLatest
Allianz Riviera · NiceSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate3.9%Nice
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.7%Metz
Another goal7.7%before full time

Next goal: Nice 3.9% · no further goal 92.3% · Metz 3.7%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
NiceMetz
9Corner Kicks4
10Fouls13
2Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves3
459Total passes489
403Passes accurate425

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Ligue 1

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Paris Saint Germain34+4576—
2Lens34+3170—
3Lille34+1561—
4Lyon34+1360—
5Marseille34+1859—
6Rennes34+959—
7Monaco34+654—
8Strasbourg34+1153—
9Lorient34-345—
10Toulouse33+144—
11Paris FC34-344—
12Stade Brestois 2934-1239—
13Angers34-1936—
14Le Havre34-1235—
15Auxerre34-1034—
16Nice35-2333—
17Nantes33-2323—
18Metz35-4418—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Nice 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Metz 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Nice

2/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Nice’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Metz

0/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
2.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect Metz’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Nice at home with Metz away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:58 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Ligue 1 · 2025/26 · all league matches

NiceMetz
32Matches played32
31Points earned16
7Wins3
1.2Goals scored / match1.0
1.8Goals conceded / match2.3
5Clean sheets6
10Failed to score13

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Nice at home with Metz away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Nice

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Claude Puel
  1. 80Y. DioufG
  2. 33A. MendyD
  3. 4DanteD
  4. 37K. PeprahD
  5. 92J. ClaussM
  6. 8M. SansonM
  7. 24C. VanhoutteM
  8. 2A. AbdiM
  9. 32K. BoudacheF
  10. 10S. DiopF
  11. 11E. WahiF
Substitutes (9)

31 · M. Dupe

6 · H. Boudaoui

28 · J. Bah

21 · I. Jansson

90 · Kevin

55 · Y. Ndayishimiye

99 · S. Abdul Samed

25 · M. Cho

20 · T. Louchet

Metz

Confirmed formation4-3-3Benoit Tavenot
  1. 1J. FischerG
  2. 70B. SarrD
  3. 38S. SaneD
  4. 15T. YegbeD
  5. 2M. ColinD
  6. 33B. MunongoM
  7. 21B. StambouliM
  8. 12A. ToureM
  9. 10G. HeinF
  10. 11G. KvilitaiaF
  11. 9G. AbuashviliF
Substitutes (9)

16 · R. Jean-Baptiste

5 · J. Gbamin

97 · F. Ballo-Toure

30 · H. Diallo

4 · U. Mboula

35 · J. Pandore

39 · K. Kouao

8 · B. Traore

29 · I. Guerti

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Nice

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Yehvann Diouf908.2—0—26—
Antoine Mendy907.7—01642
Dante908.0—01661
Kojo Peprah Oppong908.2—0—653
Jonathan Clauss787.2—0—311
Morgan Sanson877.3—0—375
Charles Vanhoutte456.6—01272
Ali Abdi906.7—05321
Kaïl Boudache456.6—0—18—
Sofiane Diop726.6—0333—
Elye Wahi906.2—0—11—
Hicham Boudaoui457.0—02341
Mohamed Ali Cho457.0—0216—
Isak Jansson186.6—0151
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi126.7—0—3—
Tom Louchet86.7—0—7—
Maxime Dupé———————
Abdulay Juma Bah———————
Youssouf Ndayishimiye———————
Salis Abdul Samed———————

Metz

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Jonathan Fischer907.3—0—35—
Bouna Sarr907.3—02555
Sadibou Sané908.3—0—452
Terry Yegbe907.5—0—56—
Maxime Colin907.3—0—482
Believe Munongo656.7—01273
Benjamin Stambouli657.0—0—48—
Alpha Touré856.9—01396
Gauthier Hein907.2—0169—
Giorgi Kvilitaia906.3—01261
Giorgi Abuashvili757.2—03231
Jean-Philippe Gbamin256.7—0—16—
Boubacar Traoré256.5—0111—
Jahyann Pandore156.3—0—92
Urie-Michel Mboula106.6—0—2—
Romain Jean-Baptiste———————
Koffi Kouao———————
Fodé Ballo-Touré———————
Ismaël Guerti———————
Habibou Diallo———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerNiceDrawMetz
Bet3651.335.259.00

Snapshot from 17 May 2026, 08:18 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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