Borussia Dortmund
6/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Borussia Dortmund’s results
BundesligaMatchweek 27THE MATCH CENTREBorussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV match centre
90′ · Live
3:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
R. Bensebaini73′ (pen)
S. Guirassy78′
R. Bensebaini84′ (pen)
P. Otele19′
A. S. Lokonga38′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate96.5%Borussia Dortmund
Draw3.4%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Hamburger SV
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Borussia Dortmund 4.5% · no further goal 91.9% · Hamburger SV 3.6%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
6.200Expected goals · API-Football1.470
7Shots on target4
23Total Shots4
69%Ball Possession31%
10Corner Kicks3
8Fouls8
1Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves4
520Total passes241
452Passes accurate173
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Bundesliga Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | +86 | 89 | — |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 35 | +37 | 76 | — |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 34 | +19 | 65 | — |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 34 | +22 | 62 | — |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | +13 | 61 | — |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | +21 | 59 | — |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | -6 | 47 | — |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | -4 | 44 | — |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | -16 | 43 | — |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | -9 | 40 | — |
| 11 |  Union Berlin | 34 | -14 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | -11 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV | 35 | -15 | 38 | — |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 34 | -14 | 32 | — |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen | 34 | -23 | 32 | — |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | -24 | 29 | — |
| 17 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
| 18 |  FC St. Pauli | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Borussia Dortmund 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Hamburger SV 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Hamburger SV
3/9Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Hamburger SV’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Borussia Dortmund
10 matchesResults6 wins · 1 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FC AugsburgHome · Bundesliga2–01. FC KölnAway · Bundesliga2–1Bayern MünchenHome · Bundesliga2–3AtalantaAway · UEFA Champions League1–4RB LeipzigAway · Bundesliga2–2AtalantaHome · UEFA Champions League2–0FSV Mainz 05Home · Bundesliga4–0VfL WolfsburgAway · Bundesliga2–11. FC HeidenheimHome · Bundesliga3–2InterHome · UEFA Champions League0–2
Hamburger SV
9 matchesResults3 wins · 5 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals4 of 9
Both teams scored6 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
See results
1. FC KölnHome · Bundesliga1–1VfL WolfsburgAway · Bundesliga2–1RB LeipzigHome · Bundesliga1–2FSV Mainz 05Away · Bundesliga1–1Union BerlinHome · Bundesliga3–21. FC HeidenheimAway · Bundesliga2–0Bayern MünchenHome · Bundesliga2–2FC St. PauliAway · Bundesliga0–0Borussia MönchengladbachHome · Bundesliga0–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Borussia Dortmund at home with Hamburger SV away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:50 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
26Matches played26
58Points earned30
17Wins7
2.1Goals scored / match1.1
1.0Goals conceded / match1.4
12Clean sheets6
0Failed to score9
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Borussia Dortmund at home with Hamburger SV away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Borussia Dortmund
Confirmed formation3-5-2Niko Kovac
- 1
G. KobelG - 49
L. ReggianiD - 3
W. AntonD - 4
N. SchlotterbeckD - 26
J. RyersonM - 20
M. SabitzerM - 7
J. BellinghamM - 8
F. NmechaM - 24
D. SvenssonM - 14
M. BeierF - 27
K. AdeyemiF
Substitutes (9)
33 · A. Meyer
25 · N. Sule
21 · F. Silva
10 · J. Brandt
9 · S. Guirassy
5 · R. Bensebaini
6 · S. Ozcan
17 · C. Chukwuemeka
2 · Y. Couto
Hamburger SV
Confirmed formation3-4-3Merlin Polzin
- 1
D. Heuer FernandesG - 17
W. OmariD - 44
L. VuskovicD - 25
J. TorunarighaD - 2
W. MikelbrencisM - 6
A. S. LokongaM - 21
N. RembergM - 28
M. MuheimM - 20
F. VieiraF - 11
R. KonigsdorfferF - 27
P. OteleF
Substitutes (9)
12 · S. Tangvik
7 · J. Dompe
14 · R. Philippe
19 · D. Downs
45 · F. Balde
49 · O. Stange
16 · G. Gocholeishvili
8 · D. Elfadli
23 · A. Gronbaek
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Borussia Dortmund
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregor Kobel | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Luca Reggiani | 45 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 41 | 1 |
| Waldemar Anton | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 81 | 4 |
| Nico Schlotterbeck | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 78 | — |
| Julian Ryerson | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 40 | 1 |
| Marcel Sabitzer | 58 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Jobe Bellingham | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 61 | 3 |
| Felix Nmecha | 89 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 3 | 55 | 1 |
| Daniel Svensson | 58 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 1 |
| Maximilian Beier | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | 5 | 22 | 2 |
| Karim Adeyemi | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 7 | — |
| Ramy Bensebaini | 45 | 8.3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 41 | — |
| Serhou Guirassy | 45 | 6.7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | — |
| Carney Chukwuemeka | 32 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 1 |
| Fábio Silva | 32 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 14 | — |
| Julian Brandt | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Alexander Meyer | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Niklas Süle | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Salih Özcan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yan Couto | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Hamburger SV
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Heuer Fernandes | 90 | 8.2 | — | 0 | — | 42 | — |
| Warmed Omari | 89 | 5.7 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 3 |
| Luka Vušković | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Jordan Torunarigha | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 30 | 1 |
| William Mikelbrencis | 89 | 6.5 | — | 1 | — | 17 | 3 |
| Albert Sambi Lokonga | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 1 |
| Nicolai Remberg | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 3 |
| Miro Muheim | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 24 | 7 |
| Fábio Vieira | 67 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 1 | 20 | 1 |
| Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer | 79 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 16 | — |
| Philip Otele | 68 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | — |
| Damion Downs | 23 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Fabio Baldé | 22 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 3 | 4 |
| Otto Stange | 11 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 4 | 2 |
| Jean-Luc Dompé | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Rayan Philippe | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | 1 |
| Sander Tangvik | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giorgi Gocholeishvili | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Elfadli | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Albert Grønbæk | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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