Bayer Leverkusen
2/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Bayer Leverkusen’s results
BundesligaMatchweek 28THE MATCH CENTREBayer Leverkusen vs VfL Wolfsburg match centre
90′ · Live
5:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
A. Grimaldo30′ (pen)
A. Grimaldo44′
P. Schick53′ (pen)
E. Tapsoba68′
I. Maza73′
J. Wind16′
J. Maehle31′
C. Eriksen38′ (pen)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate99.9%Bayer Leverkusen
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%VfL Wolfsburg
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Bayer Leverkusen 4.4% · no further goal 91.9% · VfL Wolfsburg 3.7%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Bayer LeverkusenVfL Wolfsburg
4.200Expected goals · API-Football2.020
10Shots on target5
23Total Shots11
68%Ball Possession32%
11Corner Kicks2
8Fouls11
1Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves5
557Total passes269
485Passes accurate207
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Bundesliga Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | +86 | 89 | — |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 34 | +36 | 73 | — |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 34 | +19 | 65 | — |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 35 | +23 | 62 | ↑ 2 |
| 5 |  VfB Stuttgart | 34 | +22 | 62 | ↓ 1 |
| 6 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | +13 | 61 | ↓ 1 |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | -6 | 47 | — |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | -4 | 44 | — |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | -16 | 43 | — |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | -9 | 40 | — |
| 11 |  Union Berlin | 34 | -14 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | -11 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV | 34 | -14 | 38 | — |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 34 | -14 | 32 | — |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen | 34 | -23 | 32 | — |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 35 | -26 | 29 | — |
| 17 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
| 18 |  FC St. Pauli | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Bayer Leverkusen 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
VfL Wolfsburg 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
VfL Wolfsburg
0/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect VfL Wolfsburg’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Bayer Leverkusen
10 matchesResults2 wins · 6 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
1. FC HeidenheimAway · Bundesliga3–3ArsenalAway · UEFA Champions League0–2Bayern MünchenHome · Bundesliga1–1ArsenalHome · UEFA Champions League1–1SC FreiburgAway · Bundesliga3–3FSV Mainz 05Home · Bundesliga1–1Olympiakos PiraeusHome · UEFA Champions League0–0Union BerlinAway · Bundesliga0–1Olympiakos PiraeusAway · UEFA Champions League2–0FC St. PauliHome · Bundesliga4–0
VfL Wolfsburg
10 matchesResults0 wins · 3 draws · 7 losses
Goals scored per game0.9
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Werder BremenHome · Bundesliga0–11899 HoffenheimAway · Bundesliga1–1Hamburger SVHome · Bundesliga1–2VfB StuttgartAway · Bundesliga0–4FC AugsburgHome · Bundesliga2–3RB LeipzigAway · Bundesliga2–2Borussia DortmundHome · Bundesliga1–21. FC KölnAway · Bundesliga0–1FSV Mainz 05Away · Bundesliga1–31. FC HeidenheimHome · Bundesliga1–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Bayer Leverkusen at home with VfL Wolfsburg away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:58 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Bayer LeverkusenVfL Wolfsburg
27Matches played27
46Points earned21
13Wins5
1.9Goals scored / match1.3
1.3Goals conceded / match2.1
7Clean sheets1
4Failed to score6
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Bayer Leverkusen at home with VfL Wolfsburg away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Bayer Leverkusen
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Kasper Hjulmand
- 1
M. FlekkenG - 8
R. AndrichD - 5
L. BadeD - 12
E. TapsobaD - 42
M. CulbreathM - 25
E. PalaciosM - 6
E. FernandezM - 20
A. GrimaldoM - 30
I. MazaF - 23
N. TellaF - 35
C. KofaneF
Substitutes (9)
18 · J. Omlin
28 · J. Blaswich
14 · P. Schick
15 · T. Oermann
7 · J. Hofmann
10 · M. Tillman
19 · E. Poku
17 · E. Ben Seghir
16 · A. Tape
VfL Wolfsburg
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Dieter Hecking
- 1
K. GrabaraG - 6
J. BelocianD - 3
D. VavroD - 4
K. KoulierakisD - 26
S. KumbediM - 24
C. EriksenM - 5
Vini SouzaM - 21
J. MaehleM - 39
P. WimmerF - 9
M. AmouraF - 23
J. WindF
Substitutes (9)
12 · P. Pervan
27 · M. Arnold
31 · Y. Gerhardt
32 · M. Svanberg
19 · J. Lindstrom
17 · D. Pejcinovic
25 · A. Zehnter
11 · A. Daghim
7 · K. Shiogai
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Bayer Leverkusen
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Flekken | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Robert Andrich | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 73 | 1 |
| Loïc Badé | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 70 | 1 |
| Edmond Tapsoba | 90 | 6.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 83 | 1 |
| Montrell Culbreath | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 33 | 2 |
| Exequiel Palacios | 90 | 7.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 122 | 2 |
| Ezequiel Fernández | 45 | 6.5 | — | 1 | 1 | 26 | — |
| Alejandro Grimaldo | 90 | 9.0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 79 | 1 |
| Ibrahim Maza | 90 | 8.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 55 | 2 |
| Nathan Tella | 81 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 3 | 31 | — |
| Christian Kofane | 88 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 1 |
| Patrik Schick | 45 | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | — |
| Ernest Poku | 9 | 7.9 | — | 1 | — | 6 | — |
| Malik Tillman | 9 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | — |
| Jonas Hofmann | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Axel Tape | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Janis Blaswich | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonas Omlin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tim Oermann | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eliesse Ben Seghir | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
VfL Wolfsburg
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamil Grabara | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 35 | — |
| Jeanuël Belocian | 90 | 5.6 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 1 |
| Denis Vavro | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 25 | 1 |
| Konstantinos Koulierakis | 90 | 5.6 | — | 1 | 1 | 28 | 2 |
| Saël Kumbedi | 82 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 3 |
| Christian Eriksen | 81 | 6.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 1 |
| Vinícius Souza | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 29 | 4 |
| Joakim Mæhle | 90 | 6.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 1 |
| Patrick Wimmer | 66 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 19 | 2 |
| Mohamed Amoura | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 3 | 16 | 3 |
| Jonas Wind | 81 | 8.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | — |
| Jesper Lindstrøm | 24 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 4 | 2 |
| Maximilian Arnold | 9 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Dženan Pejčinović | 9 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Mattias Svanberg | 8 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Yannick Gerhardt | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kento Shiogai | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Zehnter | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adam Daghim | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pavao Pervan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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