VfB Stuttgart
5/10Wins
2.2Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect VfB Stuttgart’s results
BundesligaMatchweek 26THE MATCH CENTREVfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig match centre
90′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
D. Undav56′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate95.7%VfB Stuttgart
Draw4.2%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%RB Leipzig
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: VfB Stuttgart 3.8% · no further goal 91.9% · RB Leipzig 4.3%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.VfB StuttgartRB Leipzig
1.020Expected goals · API-Football1.120
3Shots on target4
12Total Shots9
58%Ball Possession42%
5Corner Kicks6
3Fouls15
1Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves2
482Total passes350
370Passes accurate252
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Bundesliga Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | +86 | 89 | — |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 34 | +36 | 73 | — |
| 3 | VfB Stuttgart | 35 | +23 | 65 | ↑ 1 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 35 | +18 | 65 | ↓ 1 |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | +13 | 61 | — |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | +21 | 59 | — |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | -6 | 47 | — |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | -4 | 44 | — |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | -16 | 43 | — |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | -9 | 40 | — |
| 11 |  Union Berlin | 34 | -14 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | -11 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV | 34 | -14 | 38 | — |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 34 | -14 | 32 | — |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen | 34 | -23 | 32 | — |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | -24 | 29 | — |
| 17 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
| 18 |  FC St. Pauli | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
VfB Stuttgart 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
RB Leipzig 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
RB Leipzig
4/9Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect RB Leipzig’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
VfB Stuttgart
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game2.2
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FC PortoHome · UEFA Europa League1–2FSV Mainz 05Away · Bundesliga2–2VfL WolfsburgHome · Bundesliga4–0CelticHome · UEFA Europa League0–11. FC HeidenheimAway · Bundesliga3–3CelticAway · UEFA Europa League4–11. FC KölnHome · Bundesliga3–1FC St. PauliAway · Bundesliga1–2Holstein KielAway · DFB Pokal3–0SC FreiburgHome · Bundesliga1–0
RB Leipzig
9 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals8 of 9
Both teams scored7 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FC AugsburgHome · Bundesliga2–1Hamburger SVAway · Bundesliga2–1Borussia DortmundHome · Bundesliga2–2VfL WolfsburgHome · Bundesliga2–2Bayern MünchenAway · DFB Pokal0–21. FC KölnAway · Bundesliga2–1FSV Mainz 05Home · Bundesliga1–21. FC HeidenheimAway · Bundesliga3–0Bayern MünchenHome · Bundesliga1–5
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare VfB Stuttgart at home with RB Leipzig away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:51 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
VfB StuttgartRB Leipzig
25Matches played25
47Points earned47
14Wins14
2.0Goals scored / match1.9
1.4Goals conceded / match1.4
9Clean sheets9
2Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares VfB Stuttgart at home with RB Leipzig away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
VfB Stuttgart
Confirmed formation3-4-1-2Sebastian Hoeness
- 33
A. NubelG - 29
F. JeltschD - 14
L. JaquezD - 3
R. HendriksD - 18
J. LewelingM - 16
A. KarazorM - 6
A. StillerM - 10
C. FuhrichM - 11
B. El KhannoussF - 9
E. DemirovicF - 26
D. UndavF
Substitutes (9)
1 · F. Bredlow
7 · M. Mittelstadt
24 · J. Chabot
28 · N. Nartey
2 · A. Al Dakhil
30 · C. Andres
8 · T. Tomas
22 · L. Assignon
25 · Jeremy Arevalo
RB Leipzig
Confirmed formation4-3-3Ole Werner
- 26
M. VandevoordtG - 17
R. BakuD - 4
W. OrbanD - 23
C. LukebaD - 22
D. RaumD - 6
E. BanzuziM - 13
N. SeiwaldM - 14
C. BaumgartnerM - 49
Y. DiomandeF - 40
Romulo CardosoF - 7
A. NusaF
Substitutes (9)
25 · L. Zingerle
9 · J. Bakayoko
5 · E. Bitshiabu
10 · B. Gruda
27 · T. Gomis
35 · M. Finkgrafe
39 · B. Henrichs
24 · X. Schlager
11 · C. Harder
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
VfB Stuttgart
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Nübel | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 55 | — |
| Finn Jeltsch | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 50 | 4 |
| Luca Jaquez | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 48 | — |
| Ramon Hendriks | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 47 | 3 |
| Jamie Leweling | 81 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 28 | 3 |
| Atakan Karazor | 85 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 54 | 5 |
| Angelo Stiller | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 58 | 2 |
| Chris Führich | 68 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 32 | — |
| Bilal El Khannouss | 69 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 41 | 1 |
| Ermedin Demirović | 69 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 18 | 2 |
| Deniz Undav | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 1 |
| Maximilian Mittelstädt | 22 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | — |
| Nikolas Nartey | 21 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Tiago Tomás | 21 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Lorenz Assignon | 9 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Chema Andrés | 11 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Fabian Bredlow | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jeff Chabot | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ameen Al-Dakhil | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jeremy Arevalo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
RB Leipzig
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maarten Vandevoordt | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 37 | — |
| Ridle Baku | 88 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 30 | — |
| Willi Orbán | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 29 | — |
| Castello Lukeba | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 47 | 2 |
| David Raum | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 48 | — |
| Ezechiel Banzuzi | 64 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 1 |
| Nicolas Seiwald | 71 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 21 | 3 |
| Christoph Baumgartner | 90 | 5.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 34 | — |
| Yan Diomande | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 33 | — |
| Rômulo | 71 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 13 | — |
| Antonio Nusa | 71 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Brajan Gruda | 26 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 6 | — |
| Xaver Schlager | 19 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 1 |
| Johan Bakayoko | 19 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Conrad Harder | 19 | 5.6 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Benjamin Henrichs | 8 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Leopold Zingerle | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| El Chadaille Bitshiabu | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Max Finkgräfe | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tidiam Gomis | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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