1. FC Köln
1/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect 1. FC Köln’s results
BundesligaMatchweek 29THE MATCH CENTRE1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen match centre
66′ · Live
2:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
S. El Mala7′ (pen)
R. Ache65′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
66′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate98.9%1. FC Köln
Draw1.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Werder Bremen
Another goal53.5%before full time
Next goal: 1. FC Köln 39.2% · no further goal 46.5% · Werder Bremen 14.3%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.1. FC KölnWerder Bremen
3.470Expected goals · API-Football0.920
3Shots on target1
15Total Shots3
59%Ball Possession41%
4Corner Kicks3
7Fouls6
—Yellow Cards—
0Red Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves2
358Total passes251
322Passes accurate207
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Bundesliga Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | +86 | 89 | — |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 34 | +36 | 73 | — |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 34 | +19 | 65 | — |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 34 | +22 | 62 | — |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | +13 | 61 | — |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | +21 | 59 | — |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | -6 | 47 | — |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | -4 | 44 | — |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | -16 | 43 | — |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | -9 | 40 | — |
| 11 |  Union Berlin | 34 | -14 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | -11 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV | 34 | -14 | 38 | — |
| 14 | 1. FC Köln | 35 | -12 | 35 | — |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen | 35 | -25 | 32 | — |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | -24 | 29 | — |
| 17 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
| 18 |  FC St. Pauli | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
1. FC Köln 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Werder Bremen 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Werder Bremen
3/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Werder Bremen’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
1. FC Köln
10 matchesResults1 wins · 4 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.9
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Eintracht FrankfurtAway · Bundesliga2–2Borussia MönchengladbachHome · Bundesliga3–3Hamburger SVAway · Bundesliga1–1Borussia DortmundHome · Bundesliga1–2FC AugsburgAway · Bundesliga0–21899 HoffenheimHome · Bundesliga2–2VfB StuttgartAway · Bundesliga1–3RB LeipzigHome · Bundesliga1–2VfL WolfsburgHome · Bundesliga1–0SC FreiburgAway · Bundesliga1–2
Werder Bremen
10 matchesResults3 wins · 1 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
RB LeipzigHome · Bundesliga1–2VfL WolfsburgAway · Bundesliga1–0FSV Mainz 05Home · Bundesliga0–2Union BerlinAway · Bundesliga4–11. FC HeidenheimHome · Bundesliga2–0FC St. PauliAway · Bundesliga1–2Bayern MünchenHome · Bundesliga0–3SC FreiburgAway · Bundesliga0–1Borussia MönchengladbachHome · Bundesliga1–1Bayer LeverkusenAway · Bundesliga0–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare 1. FC Köln at home with Werder Bremen away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:58 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
1. FC KölnWerder Bremen
28Matches played28
27Points earned28
6Wins7
1.5Goals scored / match1.1
1.8Goals conceded / match1.8
3Clean sheets6
4Failed to score11
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares 1. FC Köln at home with Werder Bremen away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
1. FC Köln
Confirmed formation5-3-2Lukas Kwasniok
- 1
Marvin SchwäbeG - 29
Jan ThielmannD - 28
Sebastian SebulonsenD - 22
Jahmai Simpson-PuseyD - 39
Cenk ÖzkaçarD - 32
Kristoffer LundD - 16
Jakub KamińskiM - 6
Eric MartelM - 18
Ísak Bergmann JóhannessonM - 13
Said El MalaF - 9
Ragnar AcheF
Substitutes (9)
33 · Rav van den Berg
5 · Tom Krauß
8 · Denis Huseinbašić
7 · Luca Waldschmidt
27 · Felipe Chávez
37 · Linton Maina
30 · Marius Bülter
17 · Alessio Castro-Montes
20 · Ron-Robert Zieler
Werder Bremen
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Daniel Thioune
- 30
Mio BackhausG - 3
Yukinari SugawaraD - 32
Marco FriedlD - 5
Amos PieperD - 27
Felix AguM - 14
Senne LynenM - 10
Leonardo BittencourtM - 2
Olivier DemanM - 17
Marco GrüllF - 20
Romano SchmidF - 11
Justin NjinmahF
Substitutes (9)
25 · Markus Kolke
19 · Jovan Milošević
29 · Salim Musah
24 · Patrice Čović
33 · Mick Schmetgens
31 · Karim Coulibaly
23 · Isaac Schmidt
4 · Niklas Stark
7 · Samuel Mbangula
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
1. FC Köln
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Schwäbe | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 23 | — |
| Sebastian Sebulonsen | 86 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 38 | 1 |
| Jahmai Simpson-Pusey | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 67 | 1 |
| Cenk Özkaçar | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 77 | — |
| Kristoffer Lund | 45 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 30 | — |
| Jan Thielmann | 67 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 1 |
| Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 47 | — |
| Eric Martel | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 61 | 1 |
| Jakub Kamiński | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 50 | — |
| Ragnar Ache | 76 | 6.3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | — |
| Said El Mala | 67 | 6.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | — |
| Alessio Castro-Montes | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 27 | — |
| Linton Maina | 23 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Marius Bülter | 23 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 8 | — |
| Luca Waldschmidt | 14 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 2 | 5 | — |
| Tom Krauß | 13 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Rav van den Berg | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Denis Huseinbašić | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Felipe Chávez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ron-Robert Zieler | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Werder Bremen
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mio Backhaus | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 33 | — |
| Yukinari Sugawara | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 1 |
| Amos Pieper | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 47 | 3 |
| Marco Friedl | 24 | 4.2 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 1 |
| Olivier Deman | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 32 | 1 |
| Senne Lynen | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 39 | 1 |
| Leonardo Bittencourt | 84 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 38 | 3 |
| Marco Grüll | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 |
| Romano Schmid | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 47 | — |
| Felix Agu | 78 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 2 |
| Justin Njinmah | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 2 |
| Salim Musah | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 1 |
| Karim Coulibaly | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 1 |
| Isaac Schmidt | 12 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Jovan Milošević | 15 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Markus Kolke | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Patrice Čović | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mick Schmetgens | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Niklas Stark | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel Mbangula | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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