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BundesligaMatchweek 27THE MATCH CENTRE

1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach match centre

1. FC Köln badge1. FC KölnHome · 14 in league
LDLLD
Momentum↓ Low14/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
3:3
UK time · Europe/London
Borussia Mönchengladbach badgeBorussia MönchengladbachAway · 12 in league
LLWLW
Momentum→ Steady46/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
S. El Mala4′
R. Ache7′
E. Martel84′
J. Castrop1′
P. Sander20′
J. Castrop60′
RheinEnergieSTADION · CologneSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate2.4%1. FC Köln
Draw93.4%at full time
Current result estimate4.2%Borussia Mönchengladbach
Another goal6.7%before full time

Next goal: 1. FC Köln 2.5% · no further goal 93.3% · Borussia Mönchengladbach 4.2%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
1. FC KölnBorussia Mönchengladbach
5Corner Kicks2
7Fouls13
7Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves2
371Total passes347
295Passes accurate267

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Bundesliga

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Bayern München34+8689—
2Borussia Dortmund34+3673—
3RB Leipzig34+1965—
4VfB Stuttgart34+2262—
51899 Hoffenheim34+1361—
6Bayer Leverkusen34+2159—
7SC Freiburg34-647—
8Eintracht Frankfurt34-444—
9FC Augsburg34-1643—
10FSV Mainz 0534-940—
11Borussia Mönchengladbach35-1139↑ 1
12Union Berlin34-1439↓ 1
13Hamburger SV34-1438—
141. FC Köln35-1433—
15Werder Bremen34-2332—
16VfL Wolfsburg34-2429—
171. FC Heidenheim34-3126—
18FC St. Pauli34-3126—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

1. FC Köln 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

1. FC Köln

2/9Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect 1. FC Köln’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare 1. FC Köln at home with Borussia Mönchengladbach away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:06 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches

1. FC KölnBorussia Mönchengladbach
26Matches played26
25Points earned28
6Wins7
1.4Goals scored / match1.2
1.7Goals conceded / match1.7
3Clean sheets10
4Failed to score10

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares 1. FC Köln at home with Borussia Mönchengladbach away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

1. FC Köln

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Lukas Kwasniok
  1. 1M. SchwabeG
  2. 36C. NeumannD
  3. 33R. van den BergD
  4. 39C. OzkacarD
  5. 32K. LundD
  6. 18I. JohannessonM
  7. 6E. MartelM
  8. 37L. MainaM
  9. 16J. KaminskiM
  10. 13S. El MalaM
  11. 9R. AcheF
Substitutes (9)

20 · R. Zieler

44 · M. Kobbing

11 · F. Kainz

7 · L. Waldschmidt

29 · J. Thielmann

27 · F. Chavez

3 · D. Heintz

30 · M. Bulter

38 · Y. Niang

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Eugen Polanski
  1. 33M. NicolasG
  2. 16P. SanderD
  3. 30N. ElvediD
  4. 4K. DiksD
  5. 29J. ScallyM
  6. 27R. ReitzM
  7. 6Y. EngelhardtM
  8. 17J. CastropM
  9. 9F. HonoratF
  10. 7K. StogerF
  11. 15H. TabakovicF
Substitutes (9)

42 · T. Pereira Cardoso

18 · S. Machino

13 · G. Reyna

38 · H. Bolin

26 · L. Ullrich

2 · F. C. Chiarodia

36 · W. Mohya

5 · M. Friedrich

10 · F. Neuhaus

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

1. FC Köln

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Marvin Schwäbe905.9—0—42—
Cenny Neumann705.9—0—252
Rav van den Berg906.9—0—492
Cenk Özkaçar906.6—0—561
Kristoffer Lund906.3—01412
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson707.0—1224—
Eric Martel867.3101482
Linton Maina776.2—0—191
Jakub Kamiński907.6—11282
Said El Mala776.61026—
Ragnar Ache777.6102151
Jan Thielmann206.6—0—6—
Felipe Chávez206.6—0—8—
Florian Kainz136.9—1—6—
Luca Waldschmidt136.7—012—
Marius Bülter136.3—0—3—
Ron-Robert Zieler———————
Matthias Köbbing———————
Dominique Heintz———————
Youssoupha Niang———————

Borussia Mönchengladbach

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Moritz Nicolas906.2—0—33—
Philipp Sander907.2101382
Nico Elvedi906.5—0—50—
Kevin Diks906.0—0—52—
Joseph Scally886.9—0—193
Rocco Reitz906.6—0149—
Yannik Engelhardt906.3—1—41—
Jens Castrop858.920319—
Franck Honorat886.7—1—201
Kevin Stöger857.0—0—252
Haris Tabaković905.5—0—13—
Lukas Ullrich106.7—0—4—
Hugo Bolin106.7—0—2—
Marvin Friedrich2——0—7—
Shuto Machino2——0—1—
Tiago Pereira Cardoso———————
Fabio Chiarodia———————
Wael Mohya———————
Giovanni Reyna———————
Florian Neuhaus———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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