SC Freiburg
5/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect SC Freiburg’s results
BundesligaMatchweek 34THE MATCH CENTRESC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig match centre
90′ · Live
4:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Beste24′
I. Matanovic26′
M. Ginter47′
D. Scherhant75′
A. Ouedraogo33′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate100.0%SC Freiburg
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%RB Leipzig
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: SC Freiburg 3.7% · no further goal 91.9% · RB Leipzig 4.5%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.SC FreiburgRB Leipzig
1.530Expected goals · API-Football1.130
5Shots on target6
11Total Shots13
41%Ball Possession59%
1Corner Kicks2
12Fouls7
0Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
5Goalkeeper Saves1
325Total passes470
265Passes accurate415
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Bundesliga Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | +86 | 89 | — |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 34 | +36 | 73 | — |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 35 | +16 | 65 | — |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 34 | +22 | 62 | — |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | +13 | 61 | — |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | +21 | 59 | — |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 35 | -3 | 50 | — |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | -4 | 44 | — |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | -16 | 43 | — |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | -9 | 40 | — |
| 11 |  Union Berlin | 34 | -14 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | -11 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV | 34 | -14 | 38 | — |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 34 | -14 | 32 | — |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen | 34 | -23 | 32 | — |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | -24 | 29 | — |
| 17 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
| 18 |  FC St. Pauli | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
SC Freiburg 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
RB Leipzig 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
RB Leipzig
8/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect RB Leipzig’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
SC Freiburg
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Hamburger SVAway · Bundesliga2–3SC BragaHome · UEFA Europa League3–1VfL WolfsburgHome · Bundesliga1–1SC BragaAway · UEFA Europa League1–2Borussia DortmundAway · Bundesliga0–4VfB StuttgartAway · DFB Pokal1–11. FC HeidenheimHome · Bundesliga2–1Celta VigoAway · UEFA Europa League3–1FSV Mainz 05Away · Bundesliga1–0Celta VigoHome · UEFA Europa League3–0
RB Leipzig
10 matchesResults8 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.1
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FC St. PauliHome · Bundesliga2–1Bayer LeverkusenAway · Bundesliga1–4Union BerlinHome · Bundesliga3–1Eintracht FrankfurtAway · Bundesliga3–1Borussia MönchengladbachHome · Bundesliga1–0Werder BremenAway · Bundesliga2–11899 HoffenheimHome · Bundesliga5–0VfB StuttgartAway · Bundesliga0–1FC AugsburgHome · Bundesliga2–1Hamburger SVAway · Bundesliga2–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare SC Freiburg at home with RB Leipzig away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:48 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
SC FreiburgRB Leipzig
32Matches played32
44Points earned62
12Wins19
1.4Goals scored / match2.0
1.7Goals conceded / match1.3
6Clean sheets11
9Failed to score3
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares SC Freiburg at home with RB Leipzig away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
SC Freiburg
0wins5MEETINGS
RB Leipzig
4winsNov 2023 – Jan 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with SC Freiburg first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
SC Freiburg
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Julian Schuster
- 1
N. AtuboluG - 29
P. TreuD - 28
M. GinterD - 3
P. LienhartD - 33
J. MakengoD - 8
M. EggesteinM - 27
N. HoflerM - 19
J. BesteM - 44
J. ManzambiM - 7
D. ScherhantM - 31
I. MatanovicF
Substitutes (9)
21 · F. Muller
32 · V. Grifo
17 · L. Kubler
9 · L. Holer
26 · M. Philipp
43 · B. Ogbus
30 · C. Gunter
5 · A. Jung
22 · C. Irie
RB Leipzig
Confirmed formation4-3-3Ole Werner
- 1
P. GulacsiG - 39
B. HenrichsD - 4
W. OrbanD - 23
C. LukebaD - 35
M. FinkgrafeD - 20
A. OuedraogoM - 13
N. SeiwaldM - 14
C. BaumgartnerM - 10
B. GrudaF - 11
C. HarderF - 49
Y. DiomandeF
Substitutes (9)
26 · M. Vandevoordt
9 · J. Bakayoko
40 · Romulo Cardoso
5 · E. Bitshiabu
27 · T. Gomis
24 · X. Schlager
17 · R. Baku
7 · A. Nusa
6 · E. Banzuzi
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
SC Freiburg
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Atubolu | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 39 | — |
| Philipp Treu | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 33 | 5 |
| Matthias Ginter | 72 | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 42 | 1 |
| Philipp Lienhart | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 39 | — |
| Jordy Makengo | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | 30 | 3 |
| Maximilian Eggestein | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 2 |
| Nicolas Höfler | 60 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 13 | 3 |
| Jan-Niklas Beste | 60 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | — |
| Johan Manzambi | 72 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 2 | 21 | 1 |
| Derry Scherhant | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 3 |
| Igor Matanović | 86 | 8.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | — |
| Lukas Kübler | 30 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 3 |
| Vincenzo Grifo | 30 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 2 |
| Bruno Ogbus | 18 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 1 |
| Lucas Höler | 18 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Maximilian Philipp | 9 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Florian Müller | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Günter | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anthony Jung | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cyriaque Irié | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
RB Leipzig
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Péter Gulácsi | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Benjamin Henrichs | 63 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 1 |
| Willi Orbán | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 83 | 2 |
| Castello Lukeba | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 89 | 4 |
| Max Finkgräfe | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 48 | 6 |
| Assan Ouédraogo | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 1 |
| Nicolas Seiwald | 73 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 46 | 5 |
| Christoph Baumgartner | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 43 | 2 |
| Brajan Gruda | 63 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Conrad Harder | 73 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 12 | — |
| Yan Diomande | 80 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 3 | 23 | — |
| Ridle Baku | 27 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 20 | — |
| Antonio Nusa | 27 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 1 |
| Tidiam Gomis | 17 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Rômulo | 17 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 6 | — |
| Johan Bakayoko | 10 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Maarten Vandevoordt | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| El Chadaille Bitshiabu | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Xaver Schlager | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ezechiel Banzuzi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | SC Freiburg | Draw | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.70 | 2.30 |
Snapshot from 16 May 2026, 04:22 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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