RB Leipzig
6/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect RB Leipzig’s results
BundesligaMatchweek 31THE MATCH CENTRERB Leipzig vs Union Berlin match centre
90′ · Live
3:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Finkgrafe22′
Romulo Cardoso25′
R. Baku63′
D. Doekhi78′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate100.0%RB Leipzig
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Union Berlin
Another goal8.0%before full time
Next goal: RB Leipzig 4.9% · no further goal 92.0% · Union Berlin 3.1%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.RB LeipzigUnion Berlin
4.190Expected goals · API-Football0.180
9Shots on target1
18Total Shots4
67%Ball Possession33%
10Corner Kicks4
6Fouls10
1Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves5
575Total passes281
500Passes accurate201
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Bundesliga Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | +86 | 89 | — |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 34 | +36 | 73 | — |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 35 | +21 | 68 | — |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 34 | +22 | 62 | — |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | +13 | 61 | — |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | +21 | 59 | — |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | -6 | 47 | — |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | -4 | 44 | — |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | -16 | 43 | — |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | -9 | 40 | — |
| 11 |  Union Berlin | 35 | -16 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | -11 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV | 34 | -14 | 38 | — |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 34 | -14 | 32 | — |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen | 34 | -23 | 32 | — |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | -24 | 29 | — |
| 17 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
| 18 |  FC St. Pauli | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
RB Leipzig 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Union Berlin 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Union Berlin
2/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect Union Berlin’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
RB Leipzig
10 matchesResults6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Eintracht FrankfurtAway · Bundesliga3–1Borussia MönchengladbachHome · Bundesliga1–0Werder BremenAway · Bundesliga2–11899 HoffenheimHome · Bundesliga5–0VfB StuttgartAway · Bundesliga0–1FC AugsburgHome · Bundesliga2–1Hamburger SVAway · Bundesliga2–1Borussia DortmundHome · Bundesliga2–2VfL WolfsburgHome · Bundesliga2–2Bayern MünchenAway · DFB Pokal0–2
Union Berlin
10 matchesResults2 wins · 2 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game0.9
Goals conceded per game1.9
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
VfL WolfsburgHome · Bundesliga1–21. FC HeidenheimAway · Bundesliga1–3FC St. PauliHome · Bundesliga1–1Bayern MünchenAway · Bundesliga0–4SC FreiburgAway · Bundesliga1–0Werder BremenHome · Bundesliga1–4Borussia MönchengladbachAway · Bundesliga0–1Bayer LeverkusenHome · Bundesliga1–0Hamburger SVAway · Bundesliga2–3Eintracht FrankfurtHome · Bundesliga1–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare RB Leipzig at home with Union Berlin away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:25 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
RB LeipzigUnion Berlin
30Matches played30
59Points earned32
18Wins8
2.0Goals scored / match1.1
1.3Goals conceded / match1.8
11Clean sheets6
3Failed to score8
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares RB Leipzig at home with Union Berlin away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
RB Leipzig
Confirmed formation4-3-3Ole Werner
- 26
M. VandevoordtG - 17
R. BakuD - 4
W. OrbanD - 5
E. BitshiabuD - 35
M. FinkgrafeD - 20
A. OuedraogoM - 24
X. SchlagerM - 14
C. BaumgartnerM - 49
Y. DiomandeF - 40
Romulo CardosoF - 7
A. NusaF
Substitutes (9)
1 · P. Gulacsi
16 · L. Klostermann
9 · J. Bakayoko
10 · B. Gruda
33 · A. Maksimovic
27 · T. Gomis
39 · B. Henrichs
19 · K. Nedeljkovic
11 · C. Harder
Union Berlin
Confirmed formation3-5-2Marie-Louise Eta
- 1
F. RonnowG - 5
D. DoekhiD - 14
L. QuerfeldD - 4
D. LeiteD - 28
C. TrimmelM - 13
A. SchaferM - 8
R. KhediraM - 19
J. HabererM - 15
T. RotheM - 7
O. BurkeF - 23
A. IlicF
Substitutes (9)
25 · C. Klaus
33 · A. Kral
18 · J. Juranovic
21 · T. Skarke
10 · I. Ansah
34 · S. Nsoki
39 · D. Kohn
6 · A. Kemlein
9 · L. Burcu
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
RB Leipzig
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maarten Vandevoordt | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 40 | — |
| Ridle Baku | 79 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 57 | 1 |
| Willi Orban | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 91 | 4 |
| El Chadaille Bitshiabu | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 89 | 1 |
| Max Finkgräfe | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 65 | 2 |
| Assan Ouédraogo | 68 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 28 | — |
| Xaver Schlager | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 82 | 3 |
| Christoph Baumgartner | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 5 | 41 | 1 |
| Yan Diomande | 79 | 8.2 | — | 1 | — | 39 | 1 |
| Rômulo | 68 | 6.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | — |
| Antonio Nusa | 89 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 3 | 29 | — |
| Brajan Gruda | 22 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Conrad Harder | 22 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 2 | 1 |
| Benjamin Henrichs | 11 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 1 |
| Johan Bakayoko | 11 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 7 | — |
| Tidiam Gomis | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Péter Gulácsi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kosta Nedeljković | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lukas Klostermann | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrija Maksimović | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Union Berlin
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frederik Ronnow | 31 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Danilho Doekhi | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 4 |
| Leopold Querfeld | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 32 | 3 |
| Diogo Leite | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 3 |
| Christopher Trimmel | 60 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 23 | 1 |
| András Schäfer | 83 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 32 | 2 |
| Rani Khedira | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 1 |
| Janik Haberer | 60 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 3 |
| Tom Rothe | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 1 |
| Oliver Burke | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 24 | — |
| Andrej Ilić | 59 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | — |
| Carl Klaus | 59 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Ilyas Ansah | 31 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Josip Juranović | 30 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | 9 | 3 |
| Aljoscha Kemlein | 30 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 18 | 2 |
| Livan Burcu | 11 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Stanley N'Soki | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tim Skarke | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Král | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Derrick Köhn | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | RB Leipzig | Draw | Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 5.25 | 7.00 |
Snapshot from 23 Apr 2026, 21:19 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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