Osasuna
4/7Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Osasuna’s results
La LigaMatchweek 25THE MATCH CENTREOsasuna vs Real Madrid match centre
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
A. Budimir38′ (pen)
R. Garcia90′
Vinicius Junior73′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
OsasunaReal Madrid
2.050Expected goals · API-Football1.690
2Shots on target5
13Total Shots15
39%Ball Possession61%
3Corner Kicks7
19Fouls10
2Yellow Cards4
Red Cards
4Goalkeeper Saves1
353Total passes570
294Passes accurate511
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Osasuna 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Real Madrid 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Real Madrid
7/9Wins
2.6Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Real Madrid’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Osasuna
7 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals4 of 7
Both teams scored4 of 7
Past results, not predictions.
Real Madrid
9 matchesResults7 wins · 1 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.6
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals5 of 9
Both teams scored5 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Osasuna at home with Real Madrid away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:08 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
La Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
OsasunaReal Madrid
24Matches played24
30Points earned60
8Wins19
1.2Goals scored / match2.2
1.2Goals conceded / match0.8
6Clean sheets11
9Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Osasuna at home with Real Madrid away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Osasuna
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Alessio Lisci
- 1
S. HerreraG - 19
V. RosierD - 24
A. CatenaD - 5
J. HerrandoD - 20
J. GalanD - 7
J. MoncayolaM - 6
L. TorroM - 14
R. GarciaM - 10
A. OrozM - 21
V. MunozM - 17
A. BudimirF
Substitutes (11)
13 · A. Fernandez
31 · D. Stamatakis
3 · J. Cruz
8 · I. Munoz
9 · R. Garcia
11 · K. Barja
16 · M. Gomez
18 · R. Moro
23 · A. Bretones
29 · A. Osambela
41 · I. Arguibide
Real Madrid
Confirmed formation4-4-2Alvaro Arbeloa
- 1
T. CourtoisG - 2
D. CarvajalD - 17
R. AsencioD - 4
D. AlabaD - 18
A. CarrerasD - 8
F. ValverdeM - 15
A. GulerM - 14
A. TchouameniM - 6
E. CamavingaM - 10
K. MbappeF - 7
Vinicius JuniorF
Substitutes (11)
13 · A. Lunin
43 · S. Mestre
12 · T. Alexander-Arnold
16 · G. Garcia
19 · D. Ceballos
20 · F. Garcia
21 · B. Diaz
22 · A. Rudiger
23 · F. Mendy
30 · F. Mastantuono
45 · T. Pitarch
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Osasuna
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergio Herrera | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Valentin Rosier | 83 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 2 |
| Alejandro Catena | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 34 | — |
| Jorge Herrando | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Javi Galán | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 47 | 1 |
| Jon Moncayola | 83 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 1 |
| Lucas Torró | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 43 | 2 |
| Rubén García | 66 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 27 | 1 |
| Aimar Oroz | 71 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 34 | — |
| Victor Muñoz | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Ante Budimir | 67 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | — |
| Abel Bretones | 24 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Raúl García de Haro | 23 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| Iker Muñoz | 19 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 7 | — |
| Iñigo Arguibide | 13 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Raúl Moro | 13 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 7 | — |
| Aitor Fernández | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dimitrios Stamatakis | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Cruz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Asier Osambela | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Moi Gómez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kike Barja | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Real Madrid
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thibaut Courtois | 90 | 5.2 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Daniel Carvajal | 64 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 40 | 1 |
| Raúl Asencio | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 65 | 1 |
| David Alaba | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 68 | 3 |
| Álvaro Carreras | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 60 | 2 |
| Federico Valverde | 75 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 43 | — |
| Arda Güler | 82 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 55 | 1 |
| Aurélien Tchouaméni | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 54 | 1 |
| Eduardo Camavinga | 64 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 48 | 3 |
| Kylian Mbappé | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 36 | — |
| Vinícius Júnior | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 38 | — |
| Trent Alexander-Arnold | 26 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | — |
| Brahim Díaz | 26 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 20 | — |
| Gonzalo García | 15 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 3 | 1 |
| Dani Ceballos | 8 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Andriy Lunin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Mestre | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ferland Mendy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antonio Rüdiger | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fran García | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thiago Pitarch | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Franco Mastantuono | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗La Liga table
Current standings · Primera División. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95 | 36 | 59 | 94 | LWLWW |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77 | 35 | 42 | 86 | WWWLW |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72 | 46 | 26 | 72 | WLLDW |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62 | 44 | 18 | 69 | LWWLW |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59 | 48 | 11 | 60 | WLWDW |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 54 | WDLWW |
| 7 |  Getafe | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 51 | WLWDL |
| 8 |  Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 50 | WWDDW |
| 9 |  Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 49 | WWDWL |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59 | 61 | -2 | 46 | DLDDL |
| 11 |  Espanyol | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 46 | DWWLL |
| 12 |  Athletic Club | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43 | 58 | -15 | 45 | LDLLW |
| 13 |  Sevilla | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 60 | -14 | 43 | LLWWW |
| 14 |  Alaves | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 43 | LWWDL |
| 15 |  Elche | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 | DWLDL |
| 16 |  Levante | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 42 | LWWWL |
| 17 | Osasuna | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 42 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Mallorca | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 42 | WLLDW |
| 19 |  Girona | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 41 | DLDDL |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 29 | LLLDL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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