Atletico Madrid
3/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Atletico Madrid’s results
La LigaMatchweek 32THE MATCH CENTREAtletico Madrid vs Athletic Club match centre
90′ · Live
3:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
A. Griezmann49′
A. Sorloth54′
A. Sorloth90+3′
A. Paredes23′
G. Guruzeta90+7′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate95.8%Atletico Madrid
Draw4.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Athletic Club
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Atletico Madrid 3.8% · no further goal 91.9% · Athletic Club 4.3%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Atletico MadridAthletic Club
1.910Expected goals · API-Football0.470
4Shots on target3
6Total Shots11
54%Ball Possession46%
3Corner Kicks4
6Fouls12
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves1
547Total passes449
468Passes accurate372
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primera DivisiónProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | +59 | 94 | — |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 38 | +42 | 86 | — |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 38 | +26 | 72 | — |
| 4 | Atletico Madrid | 39 | +19 | 72 | — |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 38 | +11 | 60 | — |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo | 38 | +5 | 54 | — |
| 7 |  Getafe | 38 | -6 | 51 | — |
| 8 |  Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -3 | 50 | — |
| 9 |  Valencia | 38 | -9 | 49 | — |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad | 38 | -2 | 46 | — |
| 11 |  Espanyol | 38 | -12 | 46 | — |
| 12 |  Athletic Club | 39 | -16 | 45 | — |
| 13 |  Elche | 38 | -8 | 43 | ↑ 2 |
| 14 |  Alaves | 38 | -12 | 43 | — |
| 15 |  Sevilla | 38 | -14 | 43 | ↓ 2 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 38 | -6 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 17 |  Mallorca | 38 | -10 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 18 |  Levante | 38 | -14 | 42 | ↓ 2 |
| 19 |  Girona | 38 | -16 | 41 | — |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 38 | -34 | 29 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Atletico Madrid 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Athletic Club 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Athletic Club
4/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Athletic Club’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Atletico Madrid
10 matchesResults3 wins · 1 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game1.9
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
ElcheAway · La Liga2–3Real SociedadHome · Copa del Rey2–2BarcelonaHome · UEFA Champions League1–2SevillaAway · La Liga1–2BarcelonaAway · UEFA Champions League2–0BarcelonaHome · La Liga1–2Real MadridAway · La Liga2–3TottenhamAway · UEFA Champions League2–3GetafeHome · La Liga1–0TottenhamHome · UEFA Champions League5–2
Athletic Club
10 matchesResults4 wins · 1 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game0.9
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Atletico Madrid at home with Athletic Club away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 10:13 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
La Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Atletico MadridAthletic Club
32Matches played32
57Points earned41
17Wins12
1.7Goals scored / match1.1
1.1Goals conceded / match1.4
12Clean sheets6
4Failed to score11
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Atletico Madrid at home with Athletic Club away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Atletico Madrid
Confirmed formation4-4-2Diego Simeone
- 13
J. OblakG - 14
M. LlorenteD - 18
M. PubillD - 15
C. LengletD - 3
M. RuggeriD - 20
G. SimeoneM - 8
P. BarriosM - 6
KokeM - 10
A. BaenaM - 7
A. GriezmannF - 9
A. SorlothF
Substitutes (11)
31 · S. Esquivel
1 · J. Musso
23 · N. Gonzalez
16 · N. Molina
21 · O. Vargas
32 · J. Bonar
4 · R. Mendoza
24 · R. Le Normand
19 · J. Alvarez
5 · J. Cardoso
34 · J. Diaz
Athletic Club
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ernesto Valverde
- 1
U. SimonG - 2
A. GorosabelD - 3
D. VivianD - 4
A. ParedesD - 17
Y. BerchicheD - 16
I. Ruiz de GalarretaM - 30
A. RegoM - 9
I. WilliamsM - 20
U. GomezM - 10
N. WilliamsM - 11
G. GuruzetaF
Substitutes (12)
27 · A. Padilla
14 · A. Laporte
7 · A. Berenguer
5 · Y. Alvarez
12 · J. Areso
23 · R. Navarro
22 · N. Serrano
49 · E. Garcia
6 · M. Vesga
8 · O. Sancet
25 · Izeta
19 · A. Boiro
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Atletico Madrid
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Oblak | 98 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 23 | — |
| Marcos Llorente | 63 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 51 | 1 |
| Marc Pubill | 98 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 82 | 2 |
| Clément Lenglet | 98 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 74 | 1 |
| Matteo Ruggeri | 98 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 43 | 2 |
| Giuliano Simeone | 72 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 41 | 2 |
| Pablo Barrios | 58 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 43 | — |
| Koke | 72 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 63 | 3 |
| Alejandro Baena | 98 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | 38 | — |
| Antoine Griezmann | 63 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | — |
| Alexander Sorloth | 98 | 9.3 | 2 | — | 5 | 17 | 1 |
| Johnny Cardoso | 40 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 13 | 2 |
| Nahuel Molina | 35 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 15 | 4 |
| Nicolás González | 35 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 7 | — |
| Robin Le Normand | 26 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 9 | 2 |
| Obed Vargas | 26 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 8 | 3 |
| Salvi Esquivel | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Musso | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julio Díaz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javier Boñar | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Mendoza | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julián Alvarez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Athletic Club
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unai Simón | 98 | 5.3 | — | — | — | 40 | — |
| Andoni Gorosabel | 98 | 5.9 | — | — | — | 32 | 1 |
| Daniel Vivian | 98 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 56 | 2 |
| Aitor Paredes | 98 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 71 | — |
| Yuri Berchiche | 63 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 1 |
| Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta | 70 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | 33 | 3 |
| Alejandro Rego | 98 | 6.7 | — | 1 | — | 45 | 2 |
| Iñaki Williams | 70 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 14 | — |
| Unai Gómez | 63 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 14 | 1 |
| Nico Williams | 70 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 20 | 2 |
| Gorka Guruzeta | 98 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 4 | 22 | — |
| Adama Boiro | 35 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 25 | 3 |
| Oihan Sancet | 35 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 9 | 1 |
| Robert Navarro | 28 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 1 |
| Álex Berenguer | 28 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 11 | — |
| Mikel Vesga | 28 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 1 |
| Alex Padilla | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jesús Areso | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yeray Álvarez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aymeric Laporte | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nico Serrano | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eder Garcia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Urko Izeta | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Atletico Madrid | Draw | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.70 | 3.50 |
Snapshot from 25 Apr 2026, 06:40 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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