Atletico Madrid
4/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Atletico Madrid’s results
Copa del ReyFinalTHE MATCH CENTREAtletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad match centre
′ · Live
2:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
A. Lookman18′
J. Alvarez83′
A. Barrenetxea1′
M. Oyarzabal45+1′ (pen)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
Waiting for a stable live match state
Atletico MadridReal Sociedad
—Expected goals · API-Football—
4Shots on target6
19Total Shots15
63%Ball Possession37%
5Corner Kicks6
17Fouls17
2Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves2
708Total passes416
607Passes accurate315
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
FinalAtletico Madrid 2–2 Real Sociedad
→Current progressionLevel
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Atletico Madrid 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Real Sociedad 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Real Sociedad
5/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Real Sociedad’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Atletico Madrid
10 matchesResults4 wins · 0 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game1.9
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
BarcelonaHome · UEFA Champions League1–2SevillaAway · La Liga1–2BarcelonaAway · UEFA Champions League2–0BarcelonaHome · La Liga1–2Real MadridAway · La Liga2–3TottenhamAway · UEFA Champions League2–3GetafeHome · La Liga1–0TottenhamHome · UEFA Champions League5–2Real SociedadHome · La Liga3–2BarcelonaAway · Copa del Rey0–3
Real Sociedad
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Atletico Madrid at home with Real Sociedad away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 05:53 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Copa del Rey · 2025/26 · all league matches
Atletico MadridReal Sociedad
5Matches played7
12Points earned21
4Wins7
2.6Goals scored / match2.1
1.0Goals conceded / match0.7
3Clean sheets4
1Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Atletico Madrid at home with Real Sociedad away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Atletico Madrid
Confirmed formation4-4-2Diego Simeone
- 1
Juan MussoG - 16
Nahuel MolinaD - 18
Marc PubillD - 24
Robin Le NormandD - 3
Matteo RuggeriD - 20
Giuliano SimeoneM - 14
Marcos LlorenteM - 6
KokeM - 22
Ademola LookmanM - 7
Antoine GriezmannF - 19
Julián AlvarezF
Substitutes (11)
13 · Jan Oblak
32 · Javier Boñar
15 · Clément Lenglet
5 · Johnny Cardoso
8 · Pablo Barrios
21 · Obed Vargas
10 · Alejandro Baena
23 · Nicolás González
11 · Thiago Almada
4 · Rodrigo Mendoza
9 · Alexander Sorloth
Real Sociedad
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Pellegrino Matarazzo
- 13
Unai MarreroG - 2
Jon AramburuD - 31
Jon MartinD - 16
Duje Caleta-CarD - 17
Sergio GómezD - 8
Beñat TurrientesM - 18
Carlos SolerM - 7
Ander BarrenetxeaM - 24
Luka SučićM - 11
Goncalo GuedesM - 10
Mikel OyarzabalF
Substitutes (11)
1 · Álex Remiro
38 · Luken Beitia
3 · Aihen Muñoz
6 · Aritz Elustondo
22 · Wesley
12 · Yangel Herrera
4 · Jon Gorrotxategi
15 · Pablo Marín
14 · Takefusa Kubo
23 · Brais Méndez
9 · Orri Steinn Óskarsson
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Atletico Madrid
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Musso | 120 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 40 | — |
| Nahuel Molina | 78 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 43 | — |
| Marc Pubill | 120 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 76 | 3 |
| Robin Le Normand | 120 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 77 | 1 |
| Matteo Ruggeri | 62 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 41 | 2 |
| Giuliano Simeone | 70 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 1 |
| Marcos Llorente | 99 | 7.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 45 | 6 |
| Koke | 120 | 8.2 | — | 0 | — | 133 | 2 |
| Ademola Lookman | 62 | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | — |
| Antoine Griezmann | 70 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 2 | 31 | — |
| Julián Alvarez | 120 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 46 | — |
| Nicolás González | 58 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 2 |
| Alexander Sorloth | 58 | 5.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 16 | — |
| Alejandro Baena | 50 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 28 | 1 |
| Thiago Almada | 50 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 43 | 1 |
| Johnny Cardoso | 42 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 18 | 3 |
| Clément Lenglet | 21 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 1 |
| Jan Oblak | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javier Boñar | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pablo Barrios | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Obed Vargas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Mendoza | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Real Sociedad
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unai Marrero | 120 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 55 | — |
| Jon Aramburu | 113 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 5 |
| Jon Martin | 120 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 45 | 2 |
| Duje Caleta-Car | 120 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 33 | — |
| Sergio Gómez | 88 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 1 |
| Beñat Turrientes | 68 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 29 | — |
| Carlos Soler | 120 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 42 | 1 |
| Ander Barrenetxea | 68 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | — |
| Luka Sučić | 120 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 35 | 4 |
| Goncalo Guedes | 78 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 23 | 3 |
| Mikel Oyarzabal | 78 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 2 |
| Jon Gorrotxategi | 52 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 2 |
| Pablo Marín | 52 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Aihen Muñoz | 42 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 3 |
| Orri Steinn Óskarsson | 42 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 13 | — |
| Takefusa Kubo | 32 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 1 |
| Aritz Elustondo | 8 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Álex Remiro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luken Beitia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wesley | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yangel Herrera | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brais Méndez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Copa del Rey table
Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Standings are not available for this competition and season.
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Sociedad |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.70 | 4.10 |
Snapshot from 18 Apr 2026, 12:01 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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