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La LigaMatchweek 33THE MATCH CENTRE

Mallorca vs Valencia match centre

Mallorca badgeMallorcaHome · 18 in league
LLDWL
Momentum↗ Rising29/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
1:1
UK time · Europe/London
Valencia badgeValenciaAway · 9 in league
WWLWL
Momentum→ Steady54/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Samu Costa49′
U. Sadiq67′
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix · Palma de MallorcaSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate4.3%Mallorca
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.3%Valencia
Another goal7.7%before full time

Next goal: Mallorca 4.3% · no further goal 92.3% · Valencia 3.3%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
MallorcaValencia
5Corner Kicks4
6Fouls11
0Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves6
480Total passes325
416Passes accurate265

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Primera División

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Barcelona38+5994—
2Real Madrid38+4286—
3Villarreal38+2672—
4Atletico Madrid38+1869—
5Real Betis38+1160—
6Celta Vigo38+554—
7Getafe38-651—
8Rayo Vallecano38-350—
9Valencia39-950—
10Real Sociedad38-246—
11Espanyol38-1246—
12Athletic Club38-1545—
13Elche38-843↑ 2
14Mallorca39-1043↑ 4
15Alaves38-1243↓ 1
16Sevilla38-1443↓ 3
17Osasuna38-642—
18Levante38-1442↓ 2
19Girona38-1641—
20Oviedo38-3429—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Mallorca 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Valencia 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Mallorca

4/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect Mallorca’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Valencia

4/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Valencia’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Mallorca at home with Valencia away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:38 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

La Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches

MallorcaValencia
31Matches played31
34Points earned35
9Wins9
1.3Goals scored / match1.1
1.5Goals conceded / match1.5
4Clean sheets8
8Failed to score8

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Mallorca at home with Valencia away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Mallorca

Confirmed formation4-3-1-2Martin Demichelis
  1. 1L. RomanG
  2. 23P. MaffeoD
  3. 24M. ValjentD
  4. 5O. MascarellD
  5. 22J. MojicaD
  6. 12Samu CostaM
  7. 10S. DarderM
  8. 8M. MorlanesM
  9. 20P. TorreM
  10. 7V. MuriqiF
  11. 11T. AsanoF
Substitutes (12)

25 · Pichu Cuellar

9 · A. Prats

6 · A. Sanchez

19 · J. Llabres

28 · C. Riba

4 · M. Kumbulla

3 · T. Lato

2 · M. Morey Bauza

27 · D. Lopez

30 · J. Kalumba

17 · J. Virgili

39 · J. Garcia

Valencia

Confirmed formation4-4-2Carlos Corberan
  1. 1S. DimitrievskiG
  2. 12T. RendallD
  3. 5C. TarregaD
  4. 18PepeluD
  5. 14J. GayaD
  6. 16D. LopezM
  7. 23F. UgrinicM
  8. 2G. RodriguezM
  9. 17L. RamazaniM
  10. 6U. SadiqF
  11. 15L. BeltranF
Substitutes (12)

13 · C. Rivero

20 · Renzo Saravia

7 · A. Danjuma

19 · D. Raba

11 · L. Rioja

8 · J. Guerra

29 · L. Nunez

9 · H. Duro

10 · A. Almeida

21 · J. Vazquez

26 · Rubo

40 · J. Fontanet

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Mallorca

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Leo Román907.5—0—42—
Pablo Maffeo906.9—0—382
Martin Valjent907.5—0—632
Omar Mascarell767.2—0—653
Johan Mojica906.6—0—50—
Samú Costa908.0103463
Sergi Darder907.9—12541
Manu Morlanes767.0—01494
Pablo Torre856.9—01401
Vedat Muriqi906.9—0320—
Takuma Asano566.2—0281
Jan Virgili347.9—027—
David López146.6—0—6—
Antonio Sánchez146.6—0—111
Javi Llabrés126.6—015—
Iván Cuéllar———————
Marash Kumbulla———————
Mateu Morey———————
Toni Lato———————
Cesc Riba———————
Jandro García———————
Justin-Noel Kalumba———————
Abdon———————

Valencia

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Stole Dimitrievski908.9—0—35—
Thierry Correia116.7—0—4—
César Tárrega906.5—0133—
Pepelu907.2—0—382
Jose Gaya906.6—0—322
Diego López606.3—0—16—
Filip Ugrinić606.9—0—223
Guido Rodríguez906.6—0—42—
Largie Ramazani896.9—0321—
Umar Sadiq906.9102161
Lucas Beltrán606.2—0—91
Renzo Saravia796.5—01473
Javier Guerra307.3—1—12—
Luis Rioja306.7—0—13—
Arnaut Danjuma306.3—0—8—
Jesús Vázquez1——0—1—
Cristian Rivero———————
Rubén Iranzo———————
Joel Fontanet Paredes———————
André Almeida———————
Lucas Núñez———————
Hugo Duro———————
Dani Raba———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerMallorcaDrawValencia
Bet3652.503.202.90

Snapshot from 20 Apr 2026, 21:14 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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